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Thundersnow12

February 4th-7th Winter Storm Potential

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The thin dying band between Peoria and Bloomington managed to park over my backyard this past hour, so that's pretty nice! Looks like the snow is going to be fairly light from here on out though. I'm guessing there is about 2.5" on the ground now. Season's biggest snow is still Halloween here, so I wonder if there's a chance that will fall today.

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13 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Big

It was a quick 2 so there's that.  Now down to a high end light/borderline moderate snow.

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Mesoscale Discussion 0082
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0507 PM CST Wed Feb 05 2020

   Areas affected...Northern Indiana into southern Michigan and far
   northwest Ohio

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 052307Z - 060130Z

   SUMMARY...Moderate to occasionally heavy snow is expected through
   the evening.

   DISCUSSION...Isentropic ascent has led to a broad area of light to
   moderate snow across much of the southern Great Lakes. While
   snowfall rates should remain in the half inch per hour range across
   most of the region, deep frontogenesis in the 850 to 500 mb layer
   will lead to some banding and localized heavier snowfall rates
   approaching 1 inch per hour. Composite reflectivity indicates the
   heaviest band may be starting to develop from Rensselaer, IN
   northeastward through Goshen and toward Jackson, Michigan. The
   heavier snow rates will be limited due to the short duration of
   snow, but these rates could persist for 1 to 2 hours across the
   aforementioned region.
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2 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Gonna remain flakeless here it seems.  Would have been another nocturnal nickel and dimer anyway.  Pass.

On to the next.

That would've been better than the eternal pingerfest I got going on lol

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1 hour ago, snowstormcanuck said:

Man models have been wildly inconsistent with that secondary development.  GFS/RGEM really trying to play-up tomorrow night vs. tonight imby.

Tricky call. RGEM has been consistent for a few runs now with that secondary low. 

Let's see tonights 00Z HRRR and RGEM runs. 

I'm going with ~3" for tonights wave. 

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1 hour ago, snowstormcanuck said:

Man models have been wildly inconsistent with that secondary development.  GFS/RGEM really trying to play-up tomorrow night vs. tonight imby.

I'm actually flying up to Quebec City on Saturday morning for the winter carnival. They're calling for between 10 and 12" there, followed by a high of 5 below on Saturday. I'm hyped...so long as my flight makes it up there on Saturday morning.

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Have about 2 1/2 -3" here, official NWS measurement is 2 1/2" as of half hour ago.

 

I'm the only one on my block with clear and salted sidewalks, lawsuits for thee, but not for me :lol:

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1 hour ago, cyclone77 said:

Gonna remain flakeless here it seems.  Would have been another nocturnal nickel and dimer anyway.  Pass.

On to the next.

The next one may be kinder to you. Rainer for the rest south of Madtown

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