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ORH_wxman

Feb 1-2 storm threat

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1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Not sure what some were/are expecting out of this,   Seems like some are looking for Jan 2005. 

Let's just say 970 s are always intriguing this close.

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6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

 

 

Yeah that’s why folks are looking for a bigger event.  It’s either fish or big hit.  

It won’t do anything if it scrapes SE Mass...air mass looks pretty shitty.

Well again it can be a big storm that scrapes,  doesn't have to be a bomb or a fish storm. 

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This shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Everything has had massive NW or N shifts all winter.  The storm last weekend shifted 250 miles in the last 72 hours 

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1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said:

This shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Everything has had massive NW or N shifts all winter.  The storm last weekend shifted 250 miles in the last 72 hours 

This is hardly the same setup.

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19 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

This is hardly the same setup.

definitely but the backdrop is pretty similar...high-latitude blocking is lacking, and so on.

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27 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

This shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Everything has had massive NW or N shifts all winter.  The storm last weekend shifted 250 miles in the last 72 hours 

Because the ridging psuedo block in atlantic canada ahead of the upper level low weakened with time. Why do you think that trend has anything to do with this storm? 

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6 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:

definitely but the backdrop is pretty similar...high-latitude blocking is lacking, and so on.

Fast flow and lack of blocking decreases the chances of phasing and thus a northwest trend. So I don't see how that works in this instance. 

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Just now, OSUmetstud said:

Fast flow and lack of blocking decreases the chances of phasing and thus a northwest trend. So I don't see how that works in this instance. 

The pacific isnt as bad as we saw all winter. We actually have a brief spike right now.

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1 minute ago, OSUmetstud said:

Because the ridging psuedo block in atlantic canada ahead of the upper level low weakened with time. Why do you think that trend has anything to do with this storm? 

Congrats 

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32 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

This shouldn’t really surprise anyone.  Everything has had massive NW or N shifts all winter.  The storm last weekend shifted 250 miles in the last 72 hours 

Happens with the majority of Miller A storms.

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scooter would probably be the big winner if this pulled a phase outta its azz given fast flow, no blocking

this thing could only come so far NW it isn't gonna ride over the canal, so if this did phase and go "big" more than likely this would be an i-95 storm with CJ enhancement and prolly weenie band NW of that (best case scenario)

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9 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Because the ridging psuedo block in atlantic canada ahead of the upper level low weakened with time. Why do you think that trend has anything to do with this storm? 

Regardless of what type or storm or trend, what he’s saying is that the models are having trouble. That itself moves storms around as we track. 

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5 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Fast flow and lack of blocking decreases the chances of phasing and thus a northwest trend. So I don't see how that works in this instance. 

The flow is fast but I'd wager this deal would be well OTS in a -nao with the pac like itnis

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3 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

Regardless of what type or storm or trend, what he’s saying is that the models are having trouble. That itself moves storms around as we track. 

right...

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