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Thundersnow12

January 10th-12th Winter Storm Potential

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1.5" official at the airport, highest storm report in so far is a whopping 3" in the southern suburbs of Omaha

Tough break after 6"+ forecasts around Nebraska City

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Still freezing raining here.  Not quite a tenth of an inch of ice accumulation, though.  Should change over to snow in a couple hours.

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13 minutes ago, snowlover2 said:

Tornado warning near St. Louis.

That complex is zapping the moisture transport

 

00z HRRR  to far north with max amounts as the complex moves ENE and not NE,,same for 18z NAM

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Open the windows in MI. tonight.   Last night we had a taste of that 50 at midnight here.  Now back to regular scheduled winter and 36 rain all night.

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Just now, cyclone77 said:

Yeah been freezing for a little while now.  No sleet yet.

ugh hope it flips over soon for you.  

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0728 PM FREEZING RAIN BLOOMFIELD 40.75N 92.42W  

01/10/2020 M0.20 INCH DAVIS IA PUBLIC    

0.2 INCH ICE ACCUMULATION WITH SOME POWER   OUTAGES NOTED.

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5 minutes ago, UMB WX said:

ugh hope it flips over soon for you.  

Pretty marginal conditions, with the temp still hovering at 32.  Don't think the glazing will be very efficient unless the temp drops a few more degrees.  High rates are slowing it down as well.  I'm actually not worried at all about losing power, etc.  

New triple R shows about 1/4" precip falling as all snow after 22z tomorrow for here/QC.  Looks like most of the snow will fall after dark per usual.  

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Just now, cyclone77 said:

Pretty marginal conditions, with the temp still hovering at 32.  Don't think the glazing will be very efficient unless the temp drops a few more degrees.  High rates are slowing it down as well.  I'm actually not worried at all about losing power, etc.  

New triple R shows about 1/4" precip falling as all snow after 22z tomorrow for here/QC.  Looks like most of the snow will fall after dark per usual.  

High rates is what slowed ice accretion here.  Just a bit of a glazing on everything with icicles hanging down.  Lucked out here.  Had we got over a tenth of an inch of ice, then it would have been a different story (potential power outages due to the wind).

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1 minute ago, Natester said:

High rates is what slowed ice accretion here.  Just a bit of a glazing on everything with icicles hanging down.  Lucked out here.  Had we got over a tenth of an inch of ice, then it would have been a different story (potential power outages due to the wind).

That's good.  Sounds like you guys will be going over to snow soon.  

 

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At 8:05 pm CST, the first area of moderate to heavy rain was pushing toward Joliet. Over the next 1-2 hours, moderate to heavy rain will move into the Chicago area. By the time the storm ends, Chicago will likely have picked up a 2-day precipitation total of 1.50"-3.00". There have been only 6 cases in January where 2-day precipitation came to 2.00" or more. Records go back to 1871.

Detroit will likely see its heaviest one and two-day total on record. The January daily record is 1.76", which fell on January 12, 1908. The January two-day record is 1.90", which was record on January 3-4, 1993.

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5 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Pretty marginal conditions, with the temp still hovering at 32.  Don't think the glazing will be very efficient unless the temp drops a few more degrees.  High rates are slowing it down as well.  I'm actually not worried at all about losing power, etc.  

New triple R shows about 1/4" precip falling as all snow after 22z tomorrow for here/QC.  Looks like most of the snow will fall after dark per usual.  

good to hear the glazing conditions are not ideal.   sucks this isn't sleet or snow  yet though.  you're are racking up the qpf.

Good luck the rest of tonight and round 2.

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Looking at the 3km NAM, I'm not a big fan of the big wall of convection from the gulf up to Indiana tomorrow, with the deformation zone sort of detached and hanging back to the west.  Hoping the models aren't overdoing the 2nd wave, as it looks like it may be quite moisture starved.  Think we've seen this sort of scenario before where the detached deformation zone really underperforms.  Hope that isn't the case with this system..

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