DaveNay

Is it completely out of the question for Irma to blow through the Florida Straight and make her turn north toward Mobile, AL or even NOLA?

Is it just me or do the short range precipitation forecasts seem to be more inaccurate this summer? It seems like the 72-120 hour forecasts are very flakey. From one update to another they will cycle from 10% chance of rain to 80% chance of rain. Even the 24-48hr forecasts seem to have a lot more "misses" than in previous summers. Was there a recent change to the models used for precipitation forecasting that I am noticing behaving different?

That cell accelerated like a Ferrari on the radar loop

Must have been quite limited north to south. Barely had any notable winds here ~6mi south of DKB

Riiiight. What's a Cubit?

There's nothing between DeKalb and Denver but a barbed wire fence, and it fell down in '73.

I will be happy to not have to deal with three weeks of mud around the farm.

You can't get much of a better ditch to be in during a tornado than Mattiessen.

Had about three miles worth of "thick rain" driving home from the Chinese buffet. Nothing sticking to the fields, road, or truck but the windshield splatters were bigger than typical. Temp was 37. Sent from my Nexus 5X using Tapatalk

Get's a A from me! <runs and hides> I'm not at all a winter weather weenie. I use you guys as my canary in a coal mine. If everyone is whining about how pathetic winter is, then I am in good shape. It's also why I don't post much....my opinion is far from the majority.

Remembering GHD I...

A bit of surprise snow and icing this evening. I88 was slicker than snail snot between Naperville and DeKalb. Three accidents with emergency services and 4-5 single car in ditch accidents.

The Weather Channel (TV) just put up a graphic showing up to 12" of snow fore North Carolina between Raleigh and the coast tomorrow. That's going to shut down the entire state for sure.

http://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140-6736(14)62114-0.pdf There are some interesting conclusions in the study report. The one that jumps out at me the most is that abnormal cold has more of an effect in regions that are typically mild because they are ill-prepared for it. For example, houses in the Atlanta area aren't as well insulated as in Minneapolis, so that when a cold snap hits, the effect is far more noticeable. There are some excerpts in this article as well. http://www.treehugger.com/health/cold-deadlier-heat.html