IWXwx Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Just now, Jackstraw said: Yeah forgot how loud thunder is in colder denser air. No ground strikes but certainly lit up the sky for about 10 minutes. Was never really in the game for frozen with this one (except 10 days out lol). Really not looking forward to 48 hours of deluge coming. Not to "rain" on those to the NW parade but I'm rooting for some big convection down south to put a big dent in the gulf flow. It takes forever to dry out when we get decent rain in the winter. I'm with you there. It might cost someone a few inches of snow, but I don't want to see the 4-6" of rain that some of the models have been puking out. I don't enjoy a quagmire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maneee Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 (Couldn’t get into my account till now) 18 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Seems these setups always surprise one way or the other. So many factors at play, that even a small change has significant sensible weather impacts someone is getting snow that doesn’t expect it, and vise versa This completely sums up my thoughts. Although, hate to see us miss 18 inches— have a couple reasons why I think there’s a slim chance eastern Wisconsin will get close. But yeah, someone is getting something they don’t expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 *ape like hooting noises ensue* 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoalCityWxMan Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 3 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: *ape like hooting noises ensue* ...start of a trend.....? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, CoalCityWxMan said: ...start of a trend.....? The start of the reckoning, no less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 10 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: *ape like hooting noises ensue* That would screw up a lot of forecasts. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 58 minutes ago, Natester said: You mean the main storm (aka wave two)? Both waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 5 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Both waves. Oh, well, the models disagree (except the HRRR) when it comes to Erie, Illinois getting sleet from the first wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Trend with 0z guidance thus far is to have that front across N/C. IL tomorrow evening/night to end up further N/NW. In turn, means less sleet/freezing rain for NE. IL and more rain, due to a later change over. Paging Alek... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Well the game hasn't begun for you folks up north but us folks down here are getting the scuba gear out. The skies just opened up here and it is absolutely pouring. This is pretty impressive for January ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 The GFS has finally juiced up wave #1, joining the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 00z GFS still hanging on with more snow/ice farther southeast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 15 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Trend with 0z guidance thus far is to have that front across N/C. IL tomorrow evening/night to end up further N/NW. In turn, means less sleet/freezing rain for NE. IL and more rain, due to a later change over. Paging Alek... Can we keep ORD below 12.6" total for the season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Can we keep ORD below 12.6" total for the season?I think 1.8” is needed to reach that mark.Right now I’d say we pass it.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Although not to the extent of the 00z ARW, the ARW2 came in with something sort of similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Just now, Hoosier said: Although not to the extent of the 00z ARW, the ARW2 came in with something sort of similar. Not sure what to make of this lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Just now, Hoosier said: Not sure what to make of this lol Does this model have any kind of good track record so far this season? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Sciascia said: Does this model have any kind of good track record so far this season? So many models, so many runs, so many flavors. Your bound to find one that tastes good.lol 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Cary67 said: So many models, so many runs, so many flavors. Your bound to find one that tastes good.lol Well then trust the ICON. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 6 minutes ago, Cary67 said: So many models, so many runs, so many flavors. Your bound to find one that tastes good.lol True. Speaking of which, anyone got the JMA? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Was slated to get some hours of flight training in this Saturday but opted not to. Bad start to the weekend if you’re on a flight in or out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 We're all aware that the CMC shifted south right? It's also weak sauce but thought I'd say something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 0z GFS in full-on troll mode for mby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: We're all aware that the CMC shifted south right? It's also weak sauce but thought I'd say something Southeast and weak with wave 2, yes, but also juiced and nw with wave 1. It actually has Cedar Rapids/Iowa City getting nothing as the waves split the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Even colder... destroys Howell now. I'll be in Marquette for this one and will miss out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said: Trend with 0z guidance thus far is to have that front across N/C. IL tomorrow evening/night to end up further N/NW. In turn, means less sleet/freezing rain for NE. IL and more rain, due to a later change over. Paging Alek... This was unsurprising from the start with the lack of a decent airmass and WAA on steroids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 If it wasn't 45 degrees out I'd swear it was a sultry July night outside. Constant rumbles of thunder, moderate steady rain. I didn't fall asleep in January did I? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 Getting a t storm now here at Fortville at midnight with some quite vivid lightning. First t storm of year! From a winter storm system! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 10, 2020 Share Posted January 10, 2020 From a snow perspective, I just want to see at least a brief period of rippage before the sun sets later Saturday. Would love a warning criteria snow event, but that isn't in the cards with this 1-2 punch system. If we can get an inch or two of sleet, and then add an inch or two of snow then that would make it look pretty wintry to be sure. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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