Chicago Storm Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegoweather Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 9 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Epic ice/snowstorm. Axis of 12”+ snow, and 1-2”+ ice. And it’s still going at 84hr, end of run. . Plus 3"+ rain all within 150 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 7 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: . Given the low placement of the never-fails NAM, I would actually expect guidance to trend southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 6 minutes ago, wegoweather said: Plus 3"+ rain all within 150 miles. And 40-60mph wind gusts for a lengthy time across much of the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 18 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Epic ice/snowstorm. Axis of 12”+ snow, and 1-2”+ ice. And it’s still going at 84hr, end of run. . What is interesting is the CAA really starts to strengthen from 66-84hr turning a lot of the rain to freezing rain. It would be interesting if A. this is a start of a trend and B. what would happen beyond that. With all the convection that will be south, it wouldn't surprise me to see the low further south as well especially if the system doesn't take a negative tilt which the NAM didn't do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Yeah that was some insane CAA coming in late in the game there on the NAM... Exciting runs still to come!! Anything is possible here in SE MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 8, 2020 Author Share Posted January 8, 2020 The upper low closing off/wrapping up earlier on aided in it then sliding more east this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LansingWeather Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 21 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: . I am relieved the NAM is in that area. I was expecting before it ran to be the most NW, this is do able for my area. Especially if we get a bit of a settling to the SE a tad in coming cycles. Rooting for an ice storm IMBY because they are so rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 35 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Epic ice/snowstorm. Axis of 12”+ snow, and 1-2”+ ice. And it’s still going at 84hr, end of run. . but most of the ice falls in a rather short time...heavy rates..a lot won't freeze and just run off The huge Oklahoma to MO/AR ice storms are usually consistent light to moderate overrunning events that sometime last 2 days..but on the flip side usually with light winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 FWIW ICON is more south than previous runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 0z GFS just a smidge north with round one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 0z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 43 minutes ago, AWMT30 said: FWIW ICON is more south than previous runs And very warm aloft fwiw. Not sure how it scores tho. Seems to have none of the ice-n-mix all the others show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 GFS & Euro not on the same page, particularly for Iowa/Wisconsin. The GFS is faster with the southern energy and remains more connected to the northern energy racing across Canada, so the system gets tilted positive and is yanked more eastward. The 12z Euro was slower with the southern energy and the two streams remain more detached, allowing the southern wave to cut to the lakes as the northern energy gets out of the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 9 minutes ago, RogueWaves said: And very warm aloft fwiw. Not sure how it scores tho. Seems to have none of the ice-n-mix all the others show. Yeah that would be a big time ice storm here in lower Michigan verbatim of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Crazy precip estimates for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 00Z CMC isn't much different than the 12z run. Sfc low cuts just south of Chicago. Rain for most of us except eastern Iowa and Wisconsin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Final call at MDW: 1.9” of rain, 1” of backside snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Unless I'm mistaken, the northern consensus shown on the GEFS for a bit now just ate shit. More of a pronounced second lobe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 UK is southeast a bit tonight, removing all snow from Iowa from the main wave, but still amps up nicely and lays a swath of heavy snow through Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 0z GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Tonight's model runs that followed the NAM had a tough act to follow to be sure. Wintry side of the storm seems very thread-the-needle like, so it's going to be a few more days before I'd feel comfortable about how things will lay out on the wintry side of the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Surprised no one has beat me to making this comment, but the Euro jumped way back south to drop snow over LOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LansingWeather Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Malacka11 said: do you have the map of freezing rain on that run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 0z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Tonight's model runs that followed the NAM had a tough act to follow to be sure. Wintry side of the storm seems very thread-the-needle like, so it's going to be a few more days before I'd feel comfortable about how things will lay out on the wintry side of the system. What a tough forecast. So many intricacies to it that we won't have a really good handle on probably til Thursday. I'm not doing the grids and AFD for the storm tonight but we're in good hands with my colleague who is taking it on. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 1 minute ago, LansingWeather said: do you have the map of freezing rain on that run? Pivotal doesn't have freezing rain QPF for Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 1 minute ago, LansingWeather said: do you have the map of freezing rain on that run? Sorry, I don't think Pivotal Weather has that data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 8, 2020 Share Posted January 8, 2020 Small changes in the speed of the northern and southern waves will have a significant impact on this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.