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jburns

Mid to Long Term Discussion 2020

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On 2/3/2020 at 5:14 PM, burrel2 said:

Setup for Saturday night looks pretty good to me. Especially for the mountains. Just need the trough to dig a little more. Temps above the surface look good. Boundary layer may be problematic but there is still room for that to trend better. 

My optimism paid off for a change!  Still time for a bust though I guess...

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15 hours ago, mackerel_sky said:

It couldn’t be?? That’s a trace

It is the third trace of the winter. I am predicting based on measurable.

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Congrats to all our peeps in GA and S.C. that scored today, especially the NW corner.  Who knew northern GA was the place to be for snow in the SE.  For the rest of us we better hope we can squeeze out a surprise this upcoming weekend.  Looks like the western trough and SE ridge come back with a vengeance the following week.  

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13 hours ago, eyewall said:

Great, another rain event

why couldn't one of these events be snow, where is the cold when you need it? :sled:

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24 minutes ago, Tacoma said:

why couldn't one of these events be snow, where is the cold when you need it? :sled:

Exactly. We remain at a trace here.

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We are so far from a winter pattern it isnt even funny.  You look at what it going on in the mountain west and that tells you all you need to know.  Colorado is measuring every snowfall in multiple feet. Another record year out there.  And here we sit relying on freak events and perfect timing to satisfy cravings.  

Its gonna be a rough 9 months to next November.  :(

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NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction) continues to support the idea of a concentrated area of heavy rain this week over North Alabama. There will be a sharp cut-off on the southern periphery, most likely somewhere around I-20. Rain amounts of 4-6 inches are possible somewhere in that 60-100 mile wide strip, and flooding issues (both flash flooding and river flooding) are likely.

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69

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Next 10 days of rain on the Euro is 2 months worth in some areas. I don't know how we avoid major flooding if this pattern continues..

qpf_acc.us_ma (3).png

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1 hour ago, eyewall said:

the next severe event in NC ;)

Most accurate comment of the day... 

In other fantasy news... I'd take this look 10/10 and see what we could cook up. Won't happen but that's pretty

fantasy.png

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1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Most accurate comment of the day... 

In other fantasy news... I'd take this look 10/10 and see what we could cook up. Won't happen but that's pretty

fantasy.png

As crazy as this month has been already, who knows???  It is possible we could time up a winter storm on the backside of one of these monsoons since there is cold air in NA, albeit on the wrong side of the continent.

 

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6 hours ago, Isopycnic said:

Fantasy snow. 

9C886C9D-2769-4C9E-90D3-0D1CD3C50F2C.jpeg

It should be a felony to post a d10+ map unless it shows a blizzard for Puerto Rico.

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