Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Looks like snow threat SNE next Friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 10 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: Ryan was saying last night most of the rain holds off till Sunday. Just chance of a shower Fri/Sat Will be very warm but cloudy windy. Doubt we see much sun. I say 53 for a high. Sunday rain 55 . Think that's a good day to watch the Pats, wait... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 13 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: Already booked a Tee time for Saturday, I’m gonna enjoy it. But man it just doesn’t feel right It happens every winter. We always have a day or two around 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like snow threat SNE next Friday Wake me in 7 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 What the hell are kids gonna go outside in winter if it’s warm? It’s mud and not that warm. They aren’t gonna be playing on swing sets lol. They’re inside warm or cold 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No hyperbole, windows open, grilling, kids playing, and probably some plant bulbs pushing up in spots. I'm down. These recent shitty weekends with the kids has me losing my mind. Maybe a little Zach Brown band playing with an IPA in hand. I like pack but I would be legitimately jealous if missing 60+ with no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: What the hell are kids gonna go outside in winter if it’s warm? It’s mud and not that warm. They aren’t gonna be playing on swing sets lol. They’re inside warm or cold Outside riding bikes, doing all sorts of stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Just now, CoastalWx said: Outside riding bikes, doing all sorts of stuff. Lol. No they’re not . They’ll be inside on phones and tablets 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol. No they’re not . They’ll be inside on phones and tablets Oh they'll be out. And so will I. 6z euro is a furnace Sunday into srn ME and NH. You ACATT peeps need to embrace this. It's going to change after next week, but for God's sake enjoy it for once. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol. No they’re not . They’ll be inside on phones and tablets I have an 8 and 6 year old that find any reason to go outside, in pretty much any weather...they are definitely in the minority. They will go on "play dates" which end up sitting inside and watching tv or playing on some sort of electronic device. It is sad, I remember never wanting to be inside while growing up, I still don't.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Caveats apply obviously, but the GFS is finally beginning to resemble winter, EURO as well. Could we be turning the corner in 7-10 days? Torch it, then track it?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oh they'll be out. And so will I. 6z euro is a furnace Sunday into srn ME and NH. You ACATT peeps need to embrace this. It's going to change after next week, but for God's sake enjoy it for once. On the pavement playing hopscotch? You won’t be on grass . It’ll be windy and cloudy with showers at times. I could see you shooting hoops with the kids in driveway for a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 33 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Clouds wind rain. Puddle jumping? Daddy is making kids play outside as he enjoys nfl playoffs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 HWW Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: On the pavement playing hopscotch? You won’t be on grass . It’ll be windy and cloudy with showers at times. I could see you shooting hoops with the kids in driveway for a bit I was in the yard the last few days, yesterday in the snow. I'm going to teach Bryce how to steal signs in baseball like the frauds Red Sox. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Oh they'll be out. And so will I. 6z euro is a furnace Sunday into srn ME and NH. You ACATT peeps need to embrace this. It's going to change after next week, but for God's sake enjoy it for once. Hopefully dry cuz embracing warm and wet has very little redeeming values Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Hopefully dry cuz embracing warm and wet has very little redeeming values Wet is not good, but I don't see that Saturday. Even Sunday may not be too wet. I love snow, but no sense in downplaying the record warmth coming. These recent weekends have been awful wx wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 I'll be out on the deck Saturday if it's dry. Grill something good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Just a slab of protein on the grill. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 There's no doubt though it looks way better after about 1/16 or 1/17. Still possible we sneak in a snow threat next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There's no doubt though it looks way better after about 1/16 or 1/17. Still possible we sneak in a snow threat next week. Yeah no doubt a big PNA change after next week. Something to look forward to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Not sure who's said what over the last page or so ... so all credit where it is due, but the 00z GFS operational run ( and few priors that I can recall ) have been more aggressive with -EPO than it's ensemble means, but now the mean "might" be catching on just looking at the individual GEF members. As rumor has it the EPS has been showing changes in the Pacific in the extended for a few days now.. . The 00z Euro is hitting at a middling robust blocking ridge over Alaska. Given that these more sophisticated operational versions of disparate model types are nodding over that index switching modes, these are not altogether bad operational indicators for cold. I'm interested in ESRL's EPO progs from 00z because just eye-balling the GEF members individually, it does appear to be more of them situated blocking nodes and or ridge axis at higher latitudes of N-NE Pacific arc. The take away there/mean is that they actually have it, not so much any given particulars that are unlikely to be correct. We'll cross the orientation bridge when the time comes. But, from D4.5 right out to the end of the D13 ..that entire period is now rather robustly -EPO in the operational 00z, and 06z GFS, so those rumors of the EPS Pacific are not 'entirely' alone. In the dailies, the GFS has been signaling a whopper cold whack out there around ( now ) 204 or so hours.. but total smear time is probably a 3.5 day stint at < 520 dm thickness.. with some nadir temps that are dropping steam plumes. Yet the robuster ridge(ings) over the Alaskan sector are still out there in the la-la range of that model. I like it when 564 dm centers over Fairbanks! There's likely to be a few renditions of mass loading into the Canadian shield, with on and off disturbance orientations/existence but, the dearth of bona fide winter patterning is apparently on a shortened lease here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Kind of a perfect scenario unfolding...record warmth then the pattern flip for full blown winter. Ginxy’s ‘buckle up kids’ delayed not denied. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 48 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: Caveats apply obviously, but the GFS is finally beginning to resemble winter, EURO as well. Could we be turning the corner in 7-10 days? Torch it, then track it?! That’s how it looks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not sure who's said what over the last page or so ... so all credit where it is due, but the 00z GFS operational run ( and few priors that I can recall ) have been more aggressive with -EPO than it's ensemble means, but now the mean "might" be catching on just looking at the individual GEF members. As rumor has it the EPS has been showing changes in the Pacific in the extended for a few days now.. . The 00z Euro is hitting at a middling robust blocking ridge over Alaska. Given that these more sophisticated operational versions of disparate model types are nodding over that index switching modes, these are not altogether bad operational indicators for cold. I'm interested in ESRL's EPO progs from 00z because just eye-balling the GEF members individually, it does appear to be more of them situated blocking nodes and or ridge axis at higher latitudes of N-NE Pacific arc. The take away there/mean is that they actually have it, not so much any given particulars that are unlikely to be correct. We'll cross the orientation bridge when the time comes. But, from D4.5 right out to the end of the D13 ..that entire period is now rather robustly -EPO in the operational 00z, and 06z GFS, so those rumors of the EPS Pacific are not 'entirely' alone. In the dailies, the GFS has been signaling a whopper cold whack out there around ( now ) 204 or so hours.. but total smear time is probably a 3.5 day stint at < 520 dm thickness.. with some nadir temps that are dropping steam plumes. Yet the robuster ridge(ings) over the Alaskan sector are still out there in the la-la range of that model. I like it when 564 dm centers over Fairbanks! There's likely to be a few renditions of mass loading into the Canadian shield, with on and off disturbance orientations/existence but, the dearth of bona fide winter patterning is apparently on a shortened lease here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: That's definitely deeper signaled than the recent ERSL's ...which frankly, they didn't so much reflect an actual -EPO as much as 'appeared' to merely pull down the EPO by shear numerical wave spacing in having that ungodly -PNA ripping underneath. The latter - in other words - was stressing the domain space of the EPO just because it was/is so strong... We see this in the shared domain space of the AO and NAO all the time ... The AO tanks and the NAO drops from positive to modestly negative - that's usually an indication the NAO isn't 'really' neggiee so much as just having part of it's domain space weighted down by the flop over in geographical area..etc..etc.. However, this image above is clearly not that... We're not pulling shit when we're talking -2.5 SD spanning five days ... That's a legit signal. It'll be interesting to see if the ESRL's variation on these reflects - also - the change. Useful comparison for future referral too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 Also, looks like somewhere in the area of 4.5 to 5 members of the GEF support the 00z GGEM's idea of something to watch D7/8 next week... One of which ends up like this, and the previous panel shows this clocked eastern New England - P009 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: No hyperbole, windows open, grilling, kids playing, and probably some plant bulbs pushing up in spots. I'm down. These recent shitty weekends with the kids has me losing my mind. Maybe a little Zach Brown band playing with an IPA in hand. And a vape pen? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: And a vape pen? Flowers bro. Always flowers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2020 Share Posted January 9, 2020 wtf 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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