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Rtd208

October 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread

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45 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

looking really impressive on the HRRR and RAP; both showing W/NW 50-60KT gust potential somewhere between 11-2 tonight.

That takes this right from a nuisance event to something potentially damaging. Trees along the coast are still in full leaf.
 

incredible clouds currently on the island  

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9 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

That takes this right from a nuisance event to something potentially damaging. Trees along the coast are still in full leaf.
 

incredible clouds currently on the island  

Most of the trees out this way are still fully leafed. We're still probably about a good 10-14 days awake from peak here. Now if you go up about 500 feet or so into Orange County it's another story. 

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Definitely a small window for isolated severe weather tonight around midnight, mostly confined to the east end of long Island. A quick spin up isn't out of the question

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The biggest rainfall in several months and possibly within the past year for parts of the region is now poised to affect the New York City area. Areas of moderate rain were advancing to the north and west of the region with moderate rain recently falling at Allentown. Farther south, rain has been falling heavily in Washington, DC and Baltimore for the past 1-2 hours. As of 1:39 pm, Washington, DC had picked up 1.09" rain. The daily record there is 1.38", which was set in 2002.

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Hrrr keeps uping the ante when it comes to wind gusts tonight. Instead of those stronger gusts being isolated to eastern long island they make it west into the city.

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16 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

A good swath of heavy rain is about to move into the NYC metro.

Getting into the peak of the rain event with the yellows and oranges on radar going over us. Coming down good but I wouldn't go as far as calling it heavy rain. It's nothing compared to the very heavy rain you get in summer t-storms, where you can get an inch of rain in 20 minutes. This is more like a high end moderate rain, but of course we will end up with very heavy rainfall totals because it lasts much longer than a summer t-storm. But this definitely isn't HEAVY rain. It seems heavy for this time of year, but again nothing like the true heavy rain in summer downpours.

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4 hours ago, NJwx85 said:

Most of the trees out this way are still fully leafed. We're still probably about a good 10-14 days awake from peak here. Now if you go up about 500 feet or so into Orange County it's another story. 

We were at about 60 percent this morning in many areas, wind sheltered is still around 80-85% but it has been raining leaves more heavily than water so hopefully if that SJ moves through here it ends up mostly harmless.

.55" so far.

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