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July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread


bluewave
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2 hours ago, psv88 said:

Yea, shooting up to 85 here. The south shore of western suffolk and eastern nassau is mid to upper 80s now, wasnt expecting that

The early heat wave predictions had a drop off but still continuing into Mon. Original outlook turning out more accurate. 

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Just now, psv88 said:

up to 89, come on, maybe a squirrel can fart next to my pws

lol! Found this on twitter, showed how the Vue & VP2 with FARS had a 1 degree difference in temp.  Someone has both stations at same location, I don't know why.

I'm up to 89 as well.

 

 

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9 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

88 here

Upton sounds concerned about later on in regards to severe storms for our area.

Mesoscale Discussion 1568
< Previous MD
MD 1568 graphic
   Mesoscale Discussion 1568
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1211 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

   Areas affected...southern New England southwest to northern Virginia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 221711Z - 221845Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Severe risk -- mainly in the form of locally damaging
   winds -- will increase over the next new hours across southern New
   England and the mid-Atlantic region.  A severe thunderstorm watch
   will likely be required.

   DISCUSSION...Despite modest lapse rates aloft, daytime heating of a
   moist warm-sector (east of the advancing cold front crossing western
   PA and south of a warm front lying from northern PA to southern New
   England) is allowing gradual airmass destabilization to occur.

   Latest visible imagery continues to reveal cu/cb development, within
   the zone of clearing (per visible imagery) east of the higher
   terrain.

   With continued heating/destabilization, and a gradual increase in
   southwesterly mid-level flow across the region ahead of the
   advancing upper trough, the environment will become increasingly
   supportive of organized storms.  Attendant risk for locally damaging
   winds will accompany stronger multicell/transient supercell storms,
   with this risk expected to become sufficient to warrant WW issuance
   within the next hour.

   ..Goss/Guyer.. 07/22/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...AKQ...CTP...LWX...
   RNK...

   LAT...LON   42027265 41767146 40977189 40377395 39517467 37847631
               37547877 38047943 40407734 41677415 42027265 
 
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2 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

2PM Roundup:

ACY: 95
PHL: 92
New Bnswck: 91
TTN: 90
LGA: 89 (90 inter hour)
EWR: 89 (89 so far)
TEB: 89
ISP: 87 
NYC: 87 (90 inter hour)
BLM: 86
JFK: 85

 

 

 

Guess the 90 at EWR a few times, wasn't actually 90.  Bummer.  At least LGA was confirmed & surprise surprise NYC made it to 90.  I think we found the farting squirrel @psv88 he's in Central Park today :lol:

  • Haha 1
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7 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:
Mesoscale Discussion 1568
< Previous MD
MD 1568 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1568
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1211 PM CDT Mon Jul 22 2019

   Areas affected...southern New England southwest to northern Virginia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 221711Z - 221845Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Severe risk -- mainly in the form of locally damaging
   winds -- will increase over the next new hours across southern New
   England and the mid-Atlantic region.  A severe thunderstorm watch
   will likely be required.

   DISCUSSION...Despite modest lapse rates aloft, daytime heating of a
   moist warm-sector (east of the advancing cold front crossing western
   PA and south of a warm front lying from northern PA to southern New
   England) is allowing gradual airmass destabilization to occur.

   Latest visible imagery continues to reveal cu/cb development, within
   the zone of clearing (per visible imagery) east of the higher
   terrain.

   With continued heating/destabilization, and a gradual increase in
   southwesterly mid-level flow across the region ahead of the
   advancing upper trough, the environment will become increasingly
   supportive of organized storms.  Attendant risk for locally damaging
   winds will accompany stronger multicell/transient supercell storms,
   with this risk expected to become sufficient to warrant WW issuance
   within the next hour.

   ..Goss/Guyer.. 07/22/2019

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...AKQ...CTP...LWX...
   RNK...

   LAT...LON   42027265 41767146 40977189 40377395 39517467 37847631
               37547877 38047943 40407734 41677415 42027265 
 

Hoisted, as I'm sure you and everyone else already know

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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0538.html


 Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 538
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   215 PM EDT Mon Jul 22 2019

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Connecticut
     District Of Columbia
     Delaware
     Eastern Maryland
     New Jersey
     Southern New York
     Southeast Pennsylvania
     Rhode Island
     Eastern Virginia
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
     1000 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
     A tornado or two possible

ww0538_radar.gif

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28 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

I could see someone in the area getting some serious wind damage. 

And the park predictably hit 90, as the top layer of soil had dried out. 

It may be more a warm flow off the castle and small hill on a NE wind. That heavily shaded area can only be competitive on NE or E flow days.

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