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George BM

June Discobs 2019

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48 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Getting hit good with an old fashioned boomer.  Plenty of t+l and heavy rain...and with temp of 68 and 58 dewpoint actually surprised at the intensity . 

Several cloud to ground impressive bolt strikes 

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1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

Pretty cool Tuesday morning . 40s in June has to be somewhat rare . 

 

 

nam3km_T2m_neus_52_crop_617x617.png

The cold pool in the NW Atlantic has only become even more remarkable. Spoke about this a few weeks ago as well. 

The AO and the NAO have been negative and the SOI today is negative yet again. Seems the first half of June is near normal hopefully temp-wise. At the least hopefully not extreme heat. 

Some experts state the tropical forcing favors continued high lattitude blocking until mid- June , but potentially could last longer. Where was this in winter?  

Many seasonal forecasts call for the the highest temps relative to normal in occur August to September, we will see. 

That has happened alot this decade, and based on the warm SW Atlantic , would think the warmest temps relative to average do happen this  September and October.   

A question to ponder is the current cold pool in the NW Atlantic, some informed weather pros have mentioned this is a signal for a winter 2020 negative NAO.  

I even came across some research that stated AGW is causing the winter NAO to be positive, I have not heard that one before. 

 

 

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Looking forward to the crisp and cool airmas on this Monday and Tuesday. Winds pretty gusty tomorrow though. 

 

 

 

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34 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Trace so far.  Hoping for that cell back west of IAD, but that one holding together is asking a lot.

Got split up here. Hoping to pick up scraps later.

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I’m in Deep Creek for the first part of the week.  Currently 56 degrees.  Forecast low is 46 and tomorrow night’s forecast low is 38.  Picked up 0.81 of rain here today.

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12 hours ago, losetoa6 said:

Pretty cool Tuesday morning . 40s in June has to be somewhat rare . 

 

 

nam3km_T2m_neus_52_crop_617x617.png

Noooooo...my watermelons and tomatoes weep!

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54 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Noooooo...my watermelons and tomatoes weep!

Are you really concerned ? Certainly my eggplants are waiting for the 80's to take off. 

Mount Holly now has me at 46 degrees this Tuesday AM. 

Tomorrow night near dusk might get a windchill .......  LOL

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Great morning....have outside work today and its just what the dr. ordered temp wise  . Hit 48 ...currently 49 . Got Missed by all the storms yesterday..just some light rain but that nice storm Saturday held me over .

All guidance ranges from 43 - 46 tonight here . Late September/ Oct is right around the corner :)

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1 hour ago, North Balti Zen said:

For anyone looking/hoping to keep AC bills low to start the meteorlogical summer, this next few weeks looks like a home run.

Check this out 

 

 

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10 hours ago, frd said:

Are you really concerned ? Certainly my eggplants are waiting for the 80's to take off. 

Mount Holly now has me at 46 degrees this Tuesday AM. 

Tomorrow night near dusk might get a windchill .......  LOL

I'm ready for some +22 air at 925.

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1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I'm ready for some +22 air at 925.

Hopefully while occasionally getting into an enhanced 65+kt mid-level "ring of fire" flow. Epic Derecho train FTW!... And then the waters off the southeast coast and in the GOM can rise into the low/mid 30's celsius for peak hurricane season while we get a 1893 repeat in storm tracks. 

 

dot dot dot

 

68/50 at IAD with 20+mph wind gusts as of 10:37am edt Monday, June 3, 2019

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I do remember a July 4th about 10 years ago that was 68-70 for a high with full sunny skies and everyone brought blankets for the fireworks because it got in the low mid 50s lol.  

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1 minute ago, losetoa6 said:

I do remember a July 4th about 10 years ago that was 68-70 for a high with full sunny skies and everyone brought blankets for the fireworks because it got in the low mid 50s lol.  

Sure that wasn't 2014?

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1 hour ago, George BM said:

Sure that wasn't 2014?

I was pretty sure it was longer ago but who knows . @Sparky( Carroll co.)might have it written down.  Maybe he'll chime in 

Winds picking up here between Charles town and Frederick.  Beautiful to hang outside light fixtures . Rather be cruisin in my GN though 

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Sterling throwing out the F word possibity for far western areas in WV 

That will set the stage for an almost-chilly night as the
surface high builds overhead and winds become light. Have
forecast temperatures in the 40s for most areas, with 50s in the
urban centers and along the bay. Would not totally rule out some
patchy frost in the high elevation valleys (i.e., in Pendleton,
Highland, western Grant), but don`t have temperatures quite that
cold at this

Relatives in Somerset, Pa will definitely see 30s and Bradford ,Pa will probably hit 32-35 crazy .

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July 4, 2014 the high at BWI was 80 (Westminster was 75).

July 4, 2015 the high at BWI was 76 (Westminster was 71).

July 4, 2016 the high at BWI was 73 (Westminster was also 73).

So those three years were pretty cool, to say the least, relative to average high temps for that date.

The last few years have been in the 90s on July 4.

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11 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

July 4, 2014 the high at BWI was 80 (Westminster was 75).

July 4, 2015 the high at BWI was 76 (Westminster was 71).

July 4, 2016 the high at BWI was 73 (Westminster was also 73).

So those three years were pretty cool, to say the least, relative to average high temps for that date.

The last few years have been in the 90s on July 4.

Thanks for that . I'm pretty sure 2007 or 2008 was the year I'm thinking of but those above are also well below norm.

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1 hour ago, losetoa6 said:

Thanks for that . I'm pretty sure 2007 or 2008 was the year I'm thinking of but those above are also well below norm.

2009.  The 4th itself was good, in the low 80s, and then the 5th was in the 70s.

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Sitting outside on the deck drinking a glass of wine and taking in this perfect fall-like evening.

69 with a dew point of 39. Can't get much better than this in early June.

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