• Member Statistics

    16,116
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Irish
    Newest Member
    Irish
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
WEATHERMINATOR

March 3rd-4th Shellacking threat

Recommended Posts

5 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Thats my experience.  We shall see - the idea is that its slightly colder just north, allowing larger dendritic growth.  

Thanks again. Hopefully we can squeeze out one more storm next weekend while the cold air is in place.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Thanks again. Hopefully we can squeeze out one more storm next weekend while the cold air is in place.

I will be in Port St Lucie next weekend . Hopefully I dont miss anything.

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Well when you don't build snow days into the syllabus past March, you are bound to get slammed. I think tonight into tomorrow is looking great and I think we will get much closer to hitting our average snowfall for the year. However, I hope this does not change the narrative of this winter because 95% of it still sucked for our area. I am glad that we are finally cashing in, but I hate how fast March storms melt, even when it is cold.

BTW what is going on with the complaining?! 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

GFS pretty much shows you why an event like January 87 for example severely busted.  This event is probably forecast as mostly rain 30 years ago for NYC 

  • Like 3
  • Confused 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Snow88 said:

I will be in Port St Lucie next weekend . Hopefully I dont miss anything.

With that being said now we will get a 30 incher. Just like it didn't snow when I actually built in snow days to my syllabus for the year. 

  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

GFS pretty much shows you why an event like January 87 for example severely busted.  This event is probably forecast as mostly rain 30 years ago for NYC 

And the forecast for that January 87 event was 1-3" changing to rain. I was in 8th grade and that was the first positive bust of my lifetime

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

TWC app now forecasts 8-12” for NYC! I also checked for Queens & LI, and both still came up with 5-8”. I guess they’re thinking the Island has some rain mixed in but Manhattan is west enough to stay all snow? But 8-12” is very liberal for them!

 

 

667C371A-04FD-494F-8EBA-3C165C57F06D.png

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Meteoropoulos said:

TWC app now forecasts 8-12” for NYC! I also checked for Queens & LI, and both still came up with 5-8”. I guess they’re thinking the Island has some rain mixed in but Manhattan is west enough to stay all snow? But 8-12” is very liberal for them!

3B5448D1-9659-40F4-B103-15802A683939.png

6FEC3759-FAEE-40BD-A1F0-68D2C68884B3.png

Seems legit to me with ~1" QPF

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, weatherlogix said:

Ehhh, looks like it's showing a More northerly push

 

Just now, weatherlogix said:

Ehhh, looks like it's showing a More northerly push

HRRR can be erratic before a storm

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

44/29, with sun.

I hope all of yesterday’s snow melts before this event, for the sake of accurate measurements.

  • Like 1
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, weatherpruf said:

I prefer to say "immediate metro" which doesn't include NEPA, Sussex or even Monmouth and Ocean, in my view ( the sociological boundary is much more expansive, even including "metro" areas of its own, like the Edison statistical area, itself a sub-city ) it's just a flat out big area population wise, so the weather is gonna be a little different in some parts. When its cloudy or rains who cares ( well I know you do ) but snow amounts are a different thing. Last year I had just shy of 4 inches when areas to my west had double digits. 20 minute drive.

Not to beat a dead horse but I’m not sure how you wouldn’t include Monmouth when Sandy Hook is right across the harbor from Staten Island and Brooklyn. You can literally see the Verrazano bridge from there.

  • Confused 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Not to beat a dead horse but I’m not sure how you wouldn’t include Monmouth when Sandy Hook is right across the harbor from Staten Island and Brooklyn. You can literally see the Verrazano bridge from there.

Monmouth literally borders Staten Island and Queens.

  • Like 1
  • Confused 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Rjayiloveyouitstony said:

I think it’s going to snow. This board is boring banning people for no reason. It’s all bxengine fault. I won’t be here no more good luck my friends

Take care Tony.

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Rjay said:

Take care Tony.

Take care too. Anthony and yanksfan I’ll miss your posts. Forkyporkydorky youre good. Rjay u the man. Damn why you guys gotta ban me. Anyway good luck. Ban this account for the last time

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
18 minutes ago, snowheavyattimes said:

If we do get a lot of snow it will stick around for a while.Temps go below freezing Mon night and stay below freezing until Friday or maybe even Saturday.I

even with cold temps high  sun angle will do a number on the snow...quickly...

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

even with cold temps high  sun angle will do a number on the snow...quickly...

Perhaps but a few years ago we had a solid March pack due to the very cold weather. This will definitely stick around for a few days.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

This storm is booking. I'm leaning towards lower amounts on long island due to this.

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

  • Thanks 1
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, tek1972 said:

This storm is booking. I'm leaning towards lower amounts on long island due to this.

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
 

It may be traveling fast but the radar looks great with a ton of coverage. It will all equal out in the end.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.