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Central PA Feb/March 2019 Disco: More Snow In Our Future?


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6z long HRRR with a glance at Friday Night's shot. That's another advisory type event for at least the same places under the current advisory and probably add some counties if that were to come to fruition. All of LSV and most of the south central at 6"+ between the two events. Developing low in a good spot for us. 

1367567541_ScreenShot2019-03-01at2_48_42AM.thumb.png.af927380d5989d7558ce721de598f9cb.png

1560613738_ScreenShot2019-03-01at2_54_35AM.thumb.png.340af16e3e28a14a6938fb3d9949303e.png

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11 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

I had 3.0” from 0.29” on my side.  Wind remained calm for me 

There is something about the orientation of my house being about 200ft up South Mountain and the "plains of Hagerstown" to the south west where it is extra windy here.  I woke up and thought it hardly snowed because the driveway was mostly clear but realized it had all blown off.  It is gusting to about 20-25.   

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American model wise, I think the GFS did so poorly last night, timing wise, that I am just looking at the Nam and HRR this AM for tonight.  Check out this qpf map. Ratios will probably be less than 10-1 but whomever stays on the western side of the rain/snow line could get warning level snow.  My forecasts from yesterday are going to bust way low as I thought this coastal was going to just be a lawn coater.  Did well for the first event but my post said both events combined so if this verifies, fail for me.

image.png.9e17f4018c2acac568e7929769a90788.png

 

image.thumb.png.c0d4106f65028b20a37e794283c33d27.png

 

 

 

 

 

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3 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:

American model wise, I think the GFS did so poorly last night, timing wise, that I am just looking at the Nam and HRR this AM for tonight.  Check out this qpf map. Ratios will probably be less than 10-1 but whomever stays on the western side of the rain/snow line could get warning level snow.  My forecasts from yesterday are going to bust way low as I thought this coastal was going to just be a lawn coater.  Did well for the first event but my post said both events combined so if this verifies, fail for me.

image.png.9e17f4018c2acac568e7929769a90788.png

 

image.thumb.png.c0d4106f65028b20a37e794283c33d27.png

 

 

 

 

 

About .3 of the precip on that 6z NAM is from last night’s round 1 storm.

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39 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:

Ended up around 2.5" here but excessive blowing so had to measure in the most protected area.  Driveway is mostly clear from being blown off. 

 

24 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

I had 3.0” from 0.29” on my side.  Wind remained calm for me 

Stunned we did a little better over this way. Lanco almost universally is reporting between 3" and 3.5" or so. 

You guys, and all of the I-81 corridor are going to clean up on Sunday's storm. 6"-12" is looking good. Lanco is the mix zone...I kinda like my positioning in the county being both north and west...

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