Wmsptwx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Lol cashtown is the place to be, doesn't taint at drop off the hat like snow nut deals with or have to deal with constant "weakness is precip shield" issue voyager, pawatch and myself stumble into. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 25 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: 0z Ukie says Monday is also the Bubbler storm. This model used to be pretty darn reliable...time for it to get it's mojo back... i would sign up for this. i don't coach ball any more, so i welcome March snow with open arms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 6 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes indeed! Friday should be our @bubbler86 storm! The 0z Euro put the LSV in the bullseye for Friday morning. I agree that the Euro also improved for the Sunday storm as well. It moved closer to putting all of CTP in the bullseye. We just need about a 50 mile shift southeast with the low track to put our far southern tier into the good snowfall on Sunday. Here are the Euro maps for Friday & the combined total snow amount for both events through Monday. I really hope friday works around here. Would set the mood right for a fun period coming up. Nice to see most models coming around to something int he starved LSV 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 hour ago, MAG5035 said: Things have really come around with regards to tonight into early Fri's event as well as the Sun night/Mon one. For tonight's event I was concerned about sizable corridor of central PA effectively missing out on both yesterdays clipper (too far north) and tonight's (too far south). The NAM was def on the northern end of things and now the rest of the major suite including the GFS is on board with running a snow swath across at least the lower half of PA. Looking like a 2-3" type deal with perhaps some scattered 4-5" amounts (esp Laurel's). This end of weekend thing after looking rather disorganized the last couple days is now currently looking much more potent with yet another Gulf moisture laden system and the potential for a higher impact winter storm. Missing from this event vs previous couple is presence of high pressure to the north to aid in CAD. Thus, it is important the low tracks south of PA and not through or NW of us. Def looking like more of a gradient type storm with probably not much of a mixing/ice zone. Getting into March can start presenting cold air availablity issues for storms depending on setup but this pattern going forward into probably at least the first 2 weeks of March is primed with a ton of cold air. That coupled with a slight relaxation of the western trough (still running a -PNA) should help suppress the storm track enough to give us a good shot at this weekend event and perhaps more. Overnight Euro really ripped true central PA with some mixing issues southern tier while GFS is tracking more south and providing PA with generally all snow. Top end potential of this storm is probably going to be tempered some as wave will be progressive and the lack of the high to the north also would play into weaker u wind anomalies (low level easterly flow) with the coastal low as progged. Either way, I think all of us would sign up for 6-8" type event. Glad you are seeing the potential as well bud. a few of us have been thinking that things might come together in this period once the MJO/SOI lags finally worked into the Op's, and they have been spitting out some nice solutions in the last couple days. I'll take the taint down here if it means a big storm close (or hopefully just under me) while you guys further W and N crank. That how it goes down here, so I'm fine w/ it. Would be nice to see us get one far enough south for a flush hit though. Not gonna lie. Last evenings runs had some pure weather porn w/ the maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flatheadsickness Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 tickity tickity tock anything Euro can suck on my _ _ _ _ anthing Canadian too the f3v is poo poopity poopity ploop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, Flatheadsickness said: tickity tickity tock anything Euro can suck on my _ _ _ _ anthing Canadian too the f3v is poo poopity poopity ploop So... are you saying use the gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I am coming down to Mount Joy with the wife tomorrow to visit her uncle in Hospice. Will be nice to see Lancaster county covered in snow. 9 inches up here yesterday with over 2 feet on the ground. Good weekend to come up if you are a sledder. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 7 minutes ago, daxx said: So... are you saying use the gfs? I hope it is not the Icon he is setting up to reveal as his fav. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 12 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I am coming down to Mount Joy with the wife tomorrow to visit her uncle in Hospice. Will be nice to see Lancaster county covered in snow. 9 inches up here yesterday with over 2 feet on the ground. Good weekend to come up if you are a sledder. Best wishes to your family. I'm 5 minutes outside of Mount Joy...please bring some of that white gold along with you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 19 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I am coming down to Mount Joy with the wife tomorrow to visit her uncle in Hospice. Will be nice to see Lancaster county covered in snow. 9 inches up here yesterday with over 2 feet on the ground. Good weekend to come up if you are a sledder. Sorry to hear about your family member. Have a safe trip. I Made that trip many times from down here to the Tug. That area truly is a special place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 17 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Best wishes to your family. I'm 5 minutes outside of Mount Joy...please bring some of that white gold along with you... 8 minutes ago, daxx said: Sorry to hear about your family member. Have a safe trip. I Made that trip many times from down here to the Tug. That area truly is a special place. Thanks, guys. He was diagnosed with throat cancer several months ago and it has advanced very quickly. Tumor burst over the weekend and he is internally bleeding...they tried surgery. Cancer...such an awful thing. They gave him 24 hours, and it is now 5 days later, he is in good spirit and laughing, and the family is having a good opportunity to share memories with him. It hasn't been a very exciting winter on the Tug for lake effect snow. Not one long lasting event, nor any that have brought more than a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 49 minutes ago, Flatheadsickness said: tickity tickity tock anything Euro can suck on my _ _ _ _ anthing Canadian too the f3v is poo poopity poopity ploop Lol...this is my fav post of all time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 I was assuming there was the system tonight and the next one later Sunday...is there another wave that might bring snow late tomorrow night as well? That potential wasn't even on my radar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I was assuming there was the system tonight and the next one later Sunday...is there another wave that might bring snow late tomorrow night as well? That potential wasn't even on my radar...There is a sneaky wave that could deliver Saturday.NAM showed it initially and now other models showing it now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, Superstorm said: There is a sneaky wave that could deliver Saturday. NAM showed it initially and now other models showing it now. . Is this from a developing coastal wave that was originally going to impact areas east of us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 12Z 3Km NAM just upped tonight. Now gives MDT nearly 5". Woo-hoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was assuming there was the system tonight and the next one later Sunday...is there another wave that might bring snow late tomorrow night as well? That potential wasn't even on my radar... Yea, it is the coastal I have been talking about with Dax re: what is and is not a Miller B and is the system affecting us tonight transfering much of its ooomph to the costal you are mentioning as late tomorrow night. That second system is a pontential moderate snow for youe Eastern guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: 12Z 3Km NAM just upped tonight. Now gives MDT nearly 5". Woo-hoo. How's it looking for southern York and Lancaster counties? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, anotherman said: How's it looking for southern York and Lancaster counties? I was a little off on my numbers, though it did up the MDT area to 4". Southern York/Lanco it's only 1-2". Not sure what's up with that, though, or why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Yea, it is the coastal I have been talking about with Dax re: what is and is not a Miller B and is the system affecting us tonight transfering much of its ooomph to the costal you are mentioning as late tomorrow night. That second system is a pontential moderate snow for youe Eastern guys. Thanks...I thought you were talking about the Sunday/Monday deal as that to me looks sort of like a Miller B evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, anotherman said: How's it looking for southern York and Lancaster counties? Snow map counting the coastal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Thanks...I thought you were talking about the Sunday/Monday deal as that to me looks sort of like a Miller B evolution. NWS disco describes it as a Miller A saying a low from the gulf rides up the coast to the Del Mar Va by Sunday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: NWS disco describes it as a Miller A saying a low from the gulf rides up the coast to the Del Mar Va by Sunday evening. The Thursday night and Friday night waves were the one I was comparing as to how their impact was sort of Miller B like as the second wave robs the first waves energy a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, CarlislePaWx said: NWS disco describes it as a Miller A saying a low from the gulf rides up the coast to the Del Mar Va by Sunday evening. Okay...maybe it was just the Euro that was showing it cutting towards WV and then a secondary popping off of Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Okay...maybe it was just the Euro that was showing it cutting towards WV and then a secondary popping off of Delmarva. Lol. Sorry. This is what happens when we are tracking multiple storms simultaneously. The NAM shows it snowing again Friday night with another new 1" of accumulation on top of whatever we get tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Damn, that NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Lots of wave confusion going on here...3 total waves in my eyes. The one approaching tonight that I see as minoring out as a coastal takes over and skirts East North East Friday night...then the third Wave later in the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 51 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Thanks, guys. He was diagnosed with throat cancer several months ago and it has advanced very quickly. Tumor burst over the weekend and he is internally bleeding...they tried surgery. Cancer...such an awful thing. They gave him 24 hours, and it is now 5 days later, he is in good spirit and laughing, and the family is having a good opportunity to share memories with him. It hasn't been a very exciting winter on the Tug for lake effect snow. Not one long lasting event, nor any that have brought more than a foot. thinking of you and yours bud. Enjoy the time with him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 Funny thing is I think all of us actually are pretty much on the same page. I might have caused the confusion because i overlooked the potential for Friday night into early Saturday. And then depending on your preferred model, the Sunday/Monday deal may be a Miller A (most models) or a Miller B (Euro somewhat) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 correct me if i'm wrong, but next Monday/Tuesday look to be single digit lows!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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