Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    15,389
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    crossbowftw3
    Newest Member
    crossbowftw3
    Joined
Itstrainingtime

Central PA Feb/March 2019 Disco: More Snow In Our Future?

Recommended Posts

30.1” - midtown Harrisburg 

Even if winter died today it’s a successful season. Although the storms were a pain because the mixing issues we still did pretty well. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I’m at 37.5”.   

Just read CTP’s morning disco and they’re really hitting the possible wind event on Sunday hard.  50kt winds are closing in on high wind warning criteria.  

 
Focus then shifts toward the potential of strong winds Sunday
PM, as trailing cold front sweeps through the area, allowing
strong winds associated with Grt Lks storm to mix to ground
level. This scenario of a powerful low passing north of Pa fits
the pattern we see with our strongest winds across central Pa
and a quick look at model 850mb winds suggest >50kt gusts are
possible. Have introduced the possibility of strong winds in the
HWO.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Cashtown_Coop said:

I’m at 37.5”.   

Just read CTP’s morning disco and their really hitting the possible wind event on Sunday hard.  50kt winds are closing in on high wind warning criteria.  

 
Focus then shifts toward the potential of strong winds Sunday
PM, as trailing cold front sweeps through the area, allowing
strong winds associated with Grt Lks storm to mix to ground
level. This scenario of a powerful low passing north of Pa fits
the pattern we see with our strongest winds across central Pa
and a quick look at model 850mb winds suggest >50kt gusts are
possible. Have introduced the possibility of strong winds in the
HWO.

@canderson That's going to bring down the last remaining trees on Front Street...

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

@canderson That's going to bring down the last remaining trees on Front Street...

Funny - they’ve been cutting a lot down this winter that are dead/diseased so hopefully wind won’t knock more down!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

@canderson That's going to bring down the last remaining trees on Front Street...

I hope he's been planting more, cause he won't have anything to worry about in the future.

:lol:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Earlier this morning in the previous thread I mentioned 3 time periods to watch coming up. 2/27, 3/2-3/3, and somewhere around 3/5-3/7. Of those 3 it appears that the 2 in early March might hold the most promise. Hopefully at least 1 of those works out because all indications point to an abrupt end to winter around 3/10.

Then again...has their ever been a winter with more chaos and uncertainty in the long range? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Earlier this morning in the previous thread I mentioned 3 time periods to watch coming up. 2/27, 3/2-3/3, and somewhere around 3/5-3/7. Of those 3 it appears that the 2 in early March might hold the most promise. Hopefully at least 1 of those works out because all indications point to an abrupt end to winter around 3/10.

Then again...has their ever been a winter with more chaos and uncertainty in the long range? 

and once winter is over we have April through July below average temps and back to back to back to back to back to back rain storms . I'll be poolside in my Carhart on July 4th trying to enjoy a Miller High Life and Root beer moonshine

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

 

46 minutes ago, Jns2183 said:


He needs an Anemometer at his house


. Pro

I do. I could put it on my garage I guess - here is a photo out the back 2nd floor windows I took yesterday. Between my house and garage is a protected area so not good for anything - the other side of the garage is a parking area so no land there either. Any ideas?

IMG-1923.jpg 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, canderson said:

 

I do. I could put it on my garage I guess - here is a photo out the back 2nd floor windows I took yesterday. Between my house and garage is a protected area so not good for anything - the other side of the garage is a parking area so no land there either. Any ideas?

IMG-1923.jpg 

 

climb that pole, put it on top :lol:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, canderson said:

 

I do. I could put it on my garage I guess - here is a photo out the back 2nd floor windows I took yesterday. Between my house and garage is a protected area so not good for anything - the other side of the garage is a parking area so no land there either. Any ideas?

IMG-1923.jpg 

 

Right across from the dish would be my guess.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, sauss06 said:

climb that pole, put it on top :lol:

Then he will have to pay for his neighbors window when it goes flying into their house.  :-) 

  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, sauss06 said:

and once winter is over we have April through July below average temps and back to back to back to back to back to back rain storms . I'll be poolside in my Carhart on July 4th trying to enjoy a Miller High Life and Root beer moonshine

Lol Susky is going to be angry much of spring.

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

So those that like to read models...when going to check out the 12Z American LR just go ahead and pretend the GFS is not there/already decomissioned and use the FV3 because it is our latest and greatest and has to be the best (and will make you feel better than the old hag GFS).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:

So those that like to read models...when going to check out the 12Z American LR just go ahead and pretend the GFS is not there/already decomissioned and use the FV3 because it is our latest and greatest and has to be the best (and will make you feel better than the old hag GFS).

240-288. LOLLLL!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
17 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said:

Lol Susky is going to be angry much of spring.

True that. Susky has been angry a lot since last summer. I believe the river has reached caution stage at Marietta at least once every month since last July. At least it seems like it. It was just within 3' or so of flood stage in the past week or two. 

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
36 minutes ago, paweather said:

That's exactly right!

Someone posted something in the MA thread.  That's your every day 48-60" bulleseye in the MD Panhandle.

0EBC8CC7-4069-42CE-9DF7-B07ED1AEED97.thumb.jpeg.ae833f3b44e0e1171bea581997b6acf0.jpeg

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:

Someone posted something in the MA thread.  That's your every day 48-60" bulleseye in the MD Panhandle.

0EBC8CC7-4069-42CE-9DF7-B07ED1AEED97.thumb.jpeg.ae833f3b44e0e1171bea581997b6acf0.jpeg

 

What are the details from this map?  Model?  Run?  Timeframe?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:

Someone posted something in the MA thread.  That's your every day 48-60" bulleseye in the MD Panhandle.

0EBC8CC7-4069-42CE-9DF7-B07ED1AEED97.thumb.jpeg.ae833f3b44e0e1171bea581997b6acf0.jpeg

 

sign me up, lol :pimp:

That map has some new pretty colors on it. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

What are the details from this map?  Model?  Run?  Timeframe?

This is the 12Z FV3 from 240 Hours to 300 hours after a 3 day snow storm.  We were talking about it in a few replies so did not think to add any more detail. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
45 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

True that. Susky has been angry a lot since last summer. I believe the river has reached caution stage at Marietta at least once every month since last July. At least it seems like it. It was just within 3' or so of flood stage in the past week or two. 

That's truly amazing to think about, this is been an absurdly wet cycle of seasons for sure. Hoping your thread gets us home with one more warning event!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said:

That's truly amazing to think about, this is been an absurdly wet cycle of seasons for sure. Hoping your thread gets us home with one more warning event!

Honestly...truly...in March, if it's going to snow, then let's go big so we can enjoy it for at least 12 hours. 

I also am fully aware that with a few exceptions, if my area jackpots then most likely you and other posters up north and west will likely get screwed. (at least to some extent) That's what made 3/13/1993 so special...Philly got nearly 1' and pretty much statewide it was a bomb. 

If I was guaranteed at least a foot with mixing so that everyone else in this forum got hammered...sign me up right now. Besides, a big, phased monster would be awesome to track...

Can you all imagine what this website would be like if anything like '93 happened again? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now

  • Recently Browsing   1 member

×