Voyager Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Here is the NAM snowfall map for tonight...whether you like snowfall maps or not it is pretty representative of reality for this predict as the taint line is very small...it is mostly rain or snow. @Voyager is hopefully not flying home today. Nope. Tomorrow. I get back to PA about 7pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 I feel bad for @Wmsptwx @2001kxand @pawatch. Terrible luck with these first two waves as suggested now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Don’t know how looking at radar but still snowing. At times moderate to heavy. York, Pa near ski roundtop area to Dover, Pa. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 We are going to like the Nam for storm 3. It is flatter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 We need to really watch radar trends when this develops. Sometimes these setups the shield shifts further east than modeled. Not saying it will happen just a thought. Ok back to work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, daxx said: We need to really watch radar trends when this develops. Sometimes these setups the shield shifts further east than modeled. Not saying it will happen just a thought. Ok back to work! No doubt. Both of the next two storms are hour by hour for the LSV. No one is safe from snow or rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 The NAM snow maps are going to be close to a HECS I am guessing. It is a monster in both intensity and length. This map is 10 hours into the storm! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: The NAM snow maps are going to be close to a HECS I am guessing. It is a monster in both intensity and length. This map is 10 hours into the storm! Oh my! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Guys...good luck...I’m ready for spring out here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 22 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: The NAM snow maps are going to be close to a HECS I am guessing. It is a monster in both intensity and length. This map is 10 hours into the storm! Which storm is that? So many storms back to back I can't tell which one you guys are talking about...lol If it's the Sunday/Monday storm, what are the estimated start and end times? I'm supposed to do a Philly Flower Show trip on Monday, and I'm not looking forward to driving in that mess after spending a week here in Phoenix. I hope the trip cancels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Well the map is a bit under done in my opinion. Sometiems snow fall maps are over stated well this one is understated. If we get 10 hours of moderate snow with some bursts over 1" an hour I would expect 12"+ but the maps is more of an 6-10" so not a Hecs. This is for Sunday only. Column stays cold enough for snow through all of PA, except Philly, most of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Listen to you guys trying to wish the snow away. Come on! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just have to say it: My god the GFS sucked with last night's system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 19 minutes ago, canderson said: Just have to say it: My god the GFS sucked with last night's system this winter--- I had to fix this. Just my opinion but like I said yesterday, 84hr NAM > 24hr GFS a lot of times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 40 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: I feel bad for @Wmsptwx @2001kxand @pawatch. Terrible luck with these first two waves as suggested now. It's okay dude, we'll live lol. I'm far too obsessed with basketball right now to notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Nam shows that healthy qpf weakness I know and love 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Icon is more of a slop storm for tonight. 1-3" where it does have some snow which is mostly western LSV going Northeast from there. Some sleet for southern LSV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: That gradient in Lancaster county is likely to be very real. Me, @Superstorm @pasnownut are going to be riding the line... Yup. Gonna be a nailbiter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Latest HRRR pulling back on snow amounts overall for tonight, except southern border counties maybe a smidge more but definitely < 3" LSV as of the current run. Another 9 runs to go before the event though so it could go back up I guess. Wet snow with temp close to 32. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 The SR Meso Canadian (goes by many names depending on resolution...Herpy Derpy, Herps Derps, RRR Derps) is very much like the Nam but a little dryer (for tonight). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Tomorrow morning we're meeting some friends for breakfast at Lancaster Central Market. I"m fully expecting to see first-hand a severe gradient from Harrisburg to Lancaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 47 minutes ago, Voyager said: Which storm is that? So many storms back to back I can't tell which one you guys are talking about...lol If it's the Sunday/Monday storm, what are the estimated start and end times? I'm supposed to do a Philly Flower Show trip on Monday, and I'm not looking forward to driving in that mess after spending a week here in Phoenix. I hope the trip cancels. This is wave 3. Nam suggests start time around Noon Sunday and running until around Midnight Monday Am so around 12 hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just melted down my 3.8" of snow and it measured 0.38" of liquid. Perfect 10:1. Would have thought it might have been a tad higher. This also brings my YTD liquid to 7.09" and, as of this moment, season-to-date snowfall to 34.1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, canderson said: Tomorrow morning we're meeting some friends for breakfast at Lancaster Central Market. I"m fully expecting to see first-hand a severe gradient from Harrisburg to Lancaster. Wife and I will be heading downtown as well...fully expect to see a gradient between my house and Lancaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 1, 2019 Author Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: This is wave 3. Nam suggests start time around Noon Sunday and running until around Midnight Monday Am so around 12 hours.. Things are just moving along so fast in this flow right now...a couple of days ago this was a Monday deal, then Sunday night into Monday morning, and by Sunday it will be arriving at dawn and done by dusk at this rate... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Good Lord I just read totals from last night, congrats to you guys. 0.4 is my closest measurement on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Things are just moving along so fast in this flow right now...a couple of days ago this was a Monday deal, then Sunday night into Monday morning, and by Sunday it will be arriving at dawn and done by dusk at this rate... Yea, I keep calling it the Monday storm to people off line but I am way off with that statement. Good we will get to see the snow during daytime but less chance of the roads "caving" fully if rates are not enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Yea, I keep calling it the Monday storm to people off line but I am way off with that statement. Good we will get to see the snow during daytime but less chance of the roads "caving" fully if rates are not enough. I need this completely out of here and New England by Monday afternoon. Have a flight to BOS Monday afternoon. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Rgem is just like the NAM and RRRDrps for tonight...drier than Nam but still 2-4" with an extreme gradient in far SE LSV. RGEM is the same as the RRRDRPS except a differet resolution I beleive. Both from up North. Maybe they are the same all together? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: I need this completely out of here and New England by Monday afternoon. Have a flight to BOS Monday afternoon. . If flying SW I would be a bit worried. Both because of the snow and their penchant to ground flights early and often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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