nzucker Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 7 minutes ago, bluewave said: Yeah, I recently mentioned the lack of 20-30” snowfall seasons this decade. ISP is yet to have a single season in this range for the 2010’s. Most of the years this decade were 40” and above. ISP snowfall 1 2019-04-30 7.2 75 2 2018-04-30 65.9 0 3 2017-04-30 39.3 0 4 2016-04-30 41.4 0 5 2015-04-30 63.7 0 - 2014-04-30 63.7 0 7 2013-04-30 46.9 0 8 2012-04-30 4.7 0 9 2011-04-30 55.3 0 10 2010-04-30 53.8 0 How did ISP get so much last year? I had 48" in the Bronx. Did they get a lot more in the January 950mb megastorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 it's been along time since we had a snow less winter like this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 15 minutes ago, nzucker said: How did ISP get so much last year? I had 48" in the Bronx. Did they get a lot more in the January 950mb megastorm? ISP picked up 15.8 with the 950 mb benchmark blizzard. They were also in a prime location for the heaviest late season snows. ISP 17-18 Dec....6.0 Jan.....22.0 Feb.....1.4 Mar.....31.9 Apr.......4.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: The Euro is the best right now. Most other guidance has the coastal areas as rain Canadian is a hair away from a 4-6" deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowheavyattimes Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 20 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Canadian is a hair away from a 4-6" deal. For what day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Just now, snowheavyattimes said: For what day? Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 What does the 12z euro show for the Wednesday storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, David-LI said: What does the 12z euro show for the Wednesday storm? Several inches than ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Are we talking Wednesday at day or Wednesday night into Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Are we talking Wednesday at day or Wednesday night into Thursday? Wednesday day into night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Euro looks nice for Wednesday. Juicier storm and the stronger high. If we could get the secondary to pop a little sooner it would be a nice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Another day that the highs beat guidance. 60 degrees at Newark now. 3rd 60 degree day this February. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=Kewr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 The Euro would also appear to be all snow at the coast with the first system though I didn’t check soundings. Definitely less mild than the GFS or CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 6 minutes ago, bluewave said: Another day that the highs beat guidance. 60 degrees at Newark now. 3rd 60 degree day this February. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=Kewr That was a given, idk why forecasters never go over on days like this. I think we will score some light events next week. There's a ton of confluence that's acting like a 50/50 low helping to keep systems from getting too amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Nao is taking a dip to negative next week. EPO is negative and mjo 8. A lot of favorable things for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 9 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Nao is taking a dip to negative next week. EPO is negative and mjo 8. A lot of favorable things for this storm. Using sound meteorology to prognosticate, not just model hug. Thumbs up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Using sound meteorology to prognosticate, not just model hug. Thumbs up. The southeast ridge is still there so there will be a fight between the ridge and confluence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 29 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: That was a given, idk why forecasters never go over on days like this. I think we will score some light events next week. There's a ton of confluence that's acting like a 50/50 low helping to keep systems from getting too amped. 63 now at Newark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 47 minutes ago, bluewave said: Another day that the highs beat guidance. 60 degrees at Newark now. 3rd 60 degree day this February. http://wxweb.meteostar.com/meteogram/link.shtml?choice=Kewr yeah I was a little surprised at how mild it felt outside in lower Manhattan now. Big spread in temps though. Staten Island is 61 while Queens Mesonet is 49. That not by the Rockaways either that's Queens College off the LIE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 29 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Nao is taking a dip to negative next week. EPO is negative and mjo 8. A lot of favorable things for this storm. Slop to all rain setup once again, only this time the antecedent air mass isn’t as cold. It is not favorable for this storm either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 15 minutes ago, dWave said: yeah I was a little surprised at how mild it felt outside in lower Manhattan now. Big spread in temps though. Staten Island is 61 while Queens Mesonet is 49. That not by the Rockaways either that's Queens College off the LIE. Cooler along the shores with the southerly flow and 41 degree ocean temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 32 minutes ago, Snow88 said: The southeast ridge is still there so there will be a fight between the ridge and confluence. But if teles are more favorable this time around, let's hope the confluence is stronger than last go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 10 minutes ago, snowman19 said: How many times are you going to keep doing this, this winter? Serious question? You’ve been super hyping everything into a snowstorm for going on 4 months now, with less than 2 inches total to show for it What about other winters though? I've noticed for years you downplay every snow threat. It has worked well for you this winter, but other recent winters when we had way above normal snowfall you were wrong most of the time. The way you post makes it seem as if you hate snow, yet your name is snowman. You have every right to like whatever type of weather you like, but I'm just curious ...... do you like snow or not? If you don't then maybe you should change your name to summerMan or something like that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 10 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: What about other winters though? I've noticed for years you downplay every snow threat. It has worked well for you this winter, but other recent winters when we had way above normal snowfall you were wrong most of the time. The way you post makes it seem as if you hate snow, yet your name is snowman. You have every right to like whatever type of weather you like, but I'm just curious ...... do you like snow or not? If you don't then maybe you should change your name to summerMan or something like that lol. New contest: Pick an alternate name for Snowman 19. I sorta like the one he has. As always .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15, 2019 Author Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: That was a given, idk why forecasters never go over on days like this. I think we will score some light events next week. There's a ton of confluence that's acting like a 50/50 low helping to keep systems from getting too amped. My forecast was actually lowered this morning from upper 50s to low 50s. Meanwhile it's 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 19 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: What about other winters though? I've noticed for years you downplay every snow threat. It has worked well for you this winter, but other recent winters when we had way above normal snowfall you were wrong most of the time. The way you post makes it seem as if you hate snow, yet your name is snowman. You have every right to like whatever type of weather you like, but I'm just curious ...... do you like snow or not? If you don't then maybe you should change your name to summerMan or something like that lol. I have no clue how he said the airmass this upcoming Wednesday will be worse than this past storm yet the models today show more snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Nam still showing a little snow for Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 hour ago, snowman19 said: Slop to all rain setup once again, only this time the antecedent air mass isn’t as cold. It is not favorable for this storm either That's very surprising you would say that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Upton has 1-2 inches for the area Sunday night into Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Upton has 1-2 inches for the area Sunday night into Monday Of rain? Lol jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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