STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 21 minutes ago, weathafella said: This event is trending better. Ray to Kevin to Brian/Mark/Gene to all of VT and Maine may well get 4+. I’m on the line between nothing and something. Methuen getting 4” hard sell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Up here consistent qpf under 1 over .5 should yield 4-8. Dynamics suggest some double digit lollies. I'll be in Vegas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 5 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: If the EURO holds steady at 12z, I could see 2-5" outside 495. C-2" outside 128? Looks like a snap to cold on the backside...maybe flash freeze for the rest of us? I saw Gloucester had a 9AM temp near 40 and a 1PM temp in the 20s. Plow operator asked me how likely Wilmington was to see 2" (his threshold) yesterday, and I told him 40%. I feel that was a good estimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Methuen getting 4” hard sell Agree....right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 I'm not too optimistic in Kevin's area - or here for that matter - but looks good for NW CT up through near ORH. Late bloomer hurts us south of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: I'm not too optimistic in Kevin's area - or here for that matter - but looks good for NW CT up through near ORH. Late bloomer hurts us south of the Pike. I agree. I said that yesterday, but it fell on deaf ears. All this talk about how west was great, and I feel like people overlooked that. Best dynamics are ne. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I agree. I said that yesterday, but it fell on deaf ears. All this talk about how west was great, and I feel like people overlooked that. Best dynamics are ne. I could definitely see a sweet spot in NW CT up through the Berkshires. Generally though latitude will help as the system blooms late. Kevin claims Will guaranteed him 2-4" which I don't see in this thread lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I'm not too optimistic in Kevin's area - or here for that matter - but looks good for NW CT up through near ORH. Late bloomer hurts us south of the Pike. 2-4” is fine . Hopefully the valley isn’t cooked . I hope you get some too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I could definitely see a sweet spot in NW CT up through the Berkshires. Generally though latitude will help as the system blooms late. Kevin claims Will guaranteed him 2-4" which I don't see in this thread lol No I never said that. I said I like Wills thoughts . It’s an elevation event and the hope is the valley and coast cool enough for an inch or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2019 Author Share Posted January 27, 2019 I'll be thrilled with 2" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 WPC has the 10% percent chance of 4” of snow from MHT to ORH to Torrington CT 40% chance of 4” from about NE of Dentrite to Dentrite to Greenfield to Berkshires border on SW Ma. 70% of 4”’is strictly whites and Spine of greens up and down VT as well as elevations in NY interested to see how this trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gibbsfreeenergy Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 When the drama is so strong via txt msg, even I have to come in and take a peak at it 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Just now, Gibbsfreeenergy said: When the drama is so strong via txt msg, even I have to come in and take a peak at it Shabbs !! Lol . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Seems like CMC develops that low much further SE than other guidance but still taints eastern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 21 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: WPC has the 10% percent chance of 4” of snow from MHT to ORH to Torrington CT 40% chance of 4” from about NE of Dentrite to Dentrite to Greenfield to Berkshires border on SW Ma. 70% of 4”’is strictly whites and Spine of greens up and down VT as well as elevations in NY interested to see how this trends So we lock in 2-4” in NCT with chance of more...got it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Nice euro run for hunchie. That's prob 4-8 for NW CT to N ORH county. Hippyvalley does well there too. Kevin to 495 belt is riding razors edge...could go either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Nice euro run for hunchie. That's prob 4-8 for NW CT to N ORH county. Hippyvalley does well there too. Kevin to 495 belt is riding razors edge...could go either way. Meaning what?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 ECMWF looks a bit warmer at 925 hpa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Meaning what?? Stay tuned. I think N ORH county to W MA and down to NW CT is looking good for at least advisory snows. Perhaps low end warning. Your area to 495 belt near me up to say, KASH and near Ray is more on the fence. Less confidence but definitely in the game for advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Looks good. Dynamic quick 4-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Stay tuned. I think N ORH county to W MA and down to NW CT is looking good for at least advisory snows. Perhaps low end warning. Your area to 495 belt near me up to say, KASH and near Ray is more on the fence. Less confidence but definitely in the game for advisory. I think we need that low to come east a bit more. If this thing was tracking GON-FIT or something I'd feel a lot better. Hard to get much around here on a SE wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Stay tuned. I think N ORH county to W MA and down to NW CT is looking good for at least advisory snows. Perhaps low end warning. Your area to 495 belt near me up to say, KASH and near Ray is more on the fence. Less confidence but definitely in the game for advisory. But should at least be able to grab 1-2 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Can't make this up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Thermals are a whisker cold enough here to keep it mostly snow...but precarious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Arctic hounds lock in my 1” for a deep winter appeal? Sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Nice, the Euro gives me about 2". Pair that with the cold and it may feel wintry for a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Thermals are a whisker cold enough here to keep it mostly snow...but precarious No issues here with that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: No issues here with that. It has been brutal down there (or here somewhat) if you like snow. Rain deep freeze rinse repeat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: No issues here with that. Do you track your monthly precip totals? Im at 7.05inches of liquid...just curious where you are at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 17 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I think we need that low to come east a bit more. If this thing was tracking GON-FIT or something I'd feel a lot better. Hard to get much around here on a SE wind. I think it's going to most likely. Guidance doesn't have the greatest track record trying to shove lows inland...in the low levels anyway. It's not a classic high like the storm a week ago, but there's def still some CAD there nosing down. That will prob be enough for areas like ORH. Maybe kevin...he's closer to the warm nose in the BL but he may get a few too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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