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Hoosier

Late January-Early February Clipper Train

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Good model agreement on an active regime with several clipper systems.  This starts on Thursday with one moving through the Lakes.  Signals for a beefier system Sun-Mon with more action beyond.  

After such a bad start to met winter, the rally cap is on.  

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Glad we got a thread on this now. At least two clippers this weekend with a potential higher end one early next week. Gfs has been nudging that bigger system south each run but euro is keeping it well north. Should be interesting to see how it unfolds. Model showdown again

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Definitely a big return to colder temperatures after this brief thaw, but I'm just not buying into this hype train yet of clippers. I'm thinking the GTA will be lucky to average about 1-2" a week in this cold pattern which is an improvement over the first half of met winter, but half inch clippers every 3 days doesn't do the same justice in February as it does in December. 

Essentially this looks like a cold boring pattern with not even headline worthy clippers (for the northern non lake effect regions)

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1 minute ago, hawkeye_wx said:

Oooh.  00z Euro also south to join the GFS/FV3/UK.... and it's strong, too.  This could be pretty fun if it pans out like the latest runs.

Damn you beat me to it! Lol. 0z euro is wagons south! Huge change from where it was. Looks like a good spread the wealth system to. It is even further south with low track than 0z gfs

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Just now, Stebo said:

If the 00z Euro is remotely correct Hoosier can make every thread for the rest of eternity.

You got a QPF map? I dont wanna wait for weather.us. It's a massive, extremely cold, hybrid system. Man, that would be a dream storm.

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5 minutes ago, hlcater said:

You got a QPF map? I dont wanna wait for weather.us. It's a massive, extremely cold, hybrid system. Man, that would be a dream storm.

It is in the 15-20 range for you.

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I hate when we see these dream runs several days out. Cue the heartbreak. Lol. But if we even get half that followed by this possible historic arctic dump my God the temperatures and wind chills will be unbelievable over that deep snowpack. Please verify :snowing:

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Oh I am not getting excited just yet, this is maximizing the potential. What is key though is that this system has been on the models now for at least 3 days in this time period. It is definitely something to watch

 

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1 minute ago, Stebo said:

Oh I am not getting excited just yet, this is maximizing the potential. What is key though is that this system has been on the models now for at least 3 days in this time period. It is definitely something to watch

 

Agreed. Both gfs and euro are showing a wound up system with ample moisture as it is a hybrid with some Pacific moisture. Timing remarkably similar as well. Track and strength will be the main things to watch in the coming days

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53 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

This map includes tonight's storm plus a few clippers and the big kahuna. That would certainly prime the atmosphere for a massive arctic dump

download.png

...and I end up with 2" ...lol.

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4 hours ago, Stebo said:

Oh I am not getting excited just yet, this is maximizing the potential. What is key though is that this system has been on the models now for at least 3 days in this time period. It is definitely something to watch

 

 Last weekends system in some shape or form was on the models for well over a week. Obviously track, intensity, degree of phasing, basically all details varied, but the consistency of something being there was unwavering for well over a week.

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A lot of ensemble support for at least one of these clippers to be something big, but wouldn't want to get caught up in any more details than that for at least a couple days. 

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