USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Monster Bombs on the long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 24 minutes ago, dryslot said: 12"? Some models have us in a subsidence zone, By the way, I'm riding out of Harrison tomorrow over to IZG and Bethal, And probably Coos Canyon. Along route 302? I’ve seen some of the trails/crossings thru that stretch. Also the crossing over moose pond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Along route 302? I’ve seen some of the trails/crossings thru that stretch. Also the crossing over moose pond. Yes, I'm unloading at the end of Long Lake in Harrison, I will be heading over that way towards Stoneham Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bmj16725 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Hopefully the 1.5"+ of non snow precip down this way is either overdone or of the non ZR variety. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yes, I'm unloading at the end of Long Lake in Harrison, I will be heading over that way towards Stoneham I recall riding on some trails up in the hills east of heald pond on the Lovell/stoneham line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Yes, I'm unloading at the end of Long Lake in Harrison, I will be heading over that way towards StonehamTomorrow? I'm taking my wife to bridgton and up to AJs for lunch on the sledSent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Euro actually gives me more snow ths run by virtue of qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 18z Euro, Up the anti some.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 7 hours ago, Greg said: A classic arctic high penetrates all layers not just the top and BL but mid levels also so they are not easily scoured out. The key is really high position. The over the top and northeast look allows flow to be easterly into the mountains. That works twofold: one rising air into the mountains cools adiabatically, two pressure gradient is direct north to south. Northeast flow develops and feeds the low level cold (as can evaporational cooling). As long as the high stays in that position there is little mechanism to scour out low level cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: Tomorrow? I'm taking my wife to bridgton and up to AJs for lunch on the sled Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Euro actually gives me more snow ths run by virtue of qpf. Yeah, these little tickles NW and big QPF #s make me glad I secured a plow guy for this storm. It will be worth the $35 to not come home to a 100' driveway a foot deep in man snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: This run got warmer aloft....we already know the sfc isn't gonna warm much except far SE and maybe south coast. That said, I'm still expecting it to overperform on the cold side though. Let’s torch the literal heck outta the mid levels and ice up the forum me and blizz only ones clapping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Good trend if you like ice damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Yup.If u go to AJs maybe I'll see youSent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 7 hours ago, wxextreme said: GYX tends to over predict, especially in Southern NH. I live in Northern MA and the general discrepancy between BOX and GYX (even though I am walking distance from the NH boarder) can be about 2-4 inches. I'd say you would be safe with your call, but probably toward the lower end. I want to say something snarky, but we do. So does BOX. Since we started probabilistic snow we’ve documented this. My SOO’s gut check is: is there is any real chance that your forecast is too low? If you say no, then you have a high bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Lava Rock said: If u go to AJs maybe I'll see you Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Yeah i'm not sure where were going once i'm up there, Going with a couple buddies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Good trend if you like ice damage. We are in trouble dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Let’s torch the literal heck outta the mid levels and ice up the forum Maybe CT can pull it off but it will be really hard to get a huge ZR storm in our area. So much cold below the warm layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiktock Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 29 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Talk dirty to us NH border dwellers. I live about 10mi NE of you. I'll be standing on 495 near Haverhill with a "YOU SHALL NOT PASS" sign if the sleet starts coming towards us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z Euro, Up the anti some.............. AWT 20 plus for our CNNE friends. Take pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We are in trouble dude Did you install the Hyundai genny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I love how the euro continues to defecate on pike south snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: AWT 20 plus for our CNNE friends. Take pics Thanks, Will do Steve, Stay safe and i hope you have power after this, Get well my Friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I love how the euro continues to defecate on pike south snow. Some low ratio snows. Get some 6:1 8:1 type taters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 hours ago, CT Rain said: It's precipitation falling as ZR. You could lose half of it of course to run off. Was just looking this up for someone. Radial accretion is like 20-40% efficient (median 28%). And flat surface is like 60-80% efficient (median 72%). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 17 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z Euro, Up the anti some.............. Steady Eddy. The King. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Thanks, Will do Steve, Stay safe and i hope you have power after this, Get well my Friend. Yea me too, probably sleet to rain if the Euro is correct with thermals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Some low ratio snows. Get some 6:1 8:1 type taters. Solution is crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: Was just looking this up for someone. Radial accretion is like 20-40% efficient (median 28%). And flat surface is like 60-80% efficient (median 72%). I asked Ryan this yesterday but he must have missed it. What is the accretion rate on snow that is clinging to branches power lines. Seems like bare surface would be better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Solution is crap. That too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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