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Winter Begins Jan 20th AWT


40/70 Benchmark

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3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Sleet is just useless. 

WPC has bullseye of 70> or greater shot at a foot from SW Vermont up to killington E to Squam lakes NH then S down east of Mt monadanock back west to SW VT 

I will take sleet > rain a billion times out of ten. There is NOTHING more depressing than snow to plain rain. NOTHING. Divorce and death does suck though

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8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

It’s showing up on models somewhat consistently 

one thing I noticed on 18z gfs , precip looked like it hit a wall of dry air over SW Maine and the area east of MHT to Concord a few hours longer holding off the thump 

There has been a hole in that area of nh on several models for a couple days. wonder why

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13 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Is this a repeat gtg when we got booted out of the room for hooting Barry’s 1-3?  8 verified btw.

Lot is on the line w that initial thumpidy dumpidy

if you toggle back on nam and gfs you can see that initial precip w the thump starts a couple hours later now 

of course these model observations are met w tantrums 

 

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5 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

Quite the spread in thermals @ h925 on the 12z GFS and NAM for BOS at 12z Sunday.  GFS was 5°C and NAM was -6°C.  This still has real bust potential.

Gfs is way more wrong than the NAM on that. Won't be close. 

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