Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: It's a pretty close call for a nasty ice storm for you up through ORH, I'm almost leaning towards it. Knock like 2C off the surface progs and there you go. Just gonna have to see how it plays out. If Euro holds serve like it has for 4 days it might be go time. I can tell you one thing.. anyone thinking it gets above freezing within 10-20 miles of the coast are going to be shocked tomorrow when it’s in the 20’s - near 30 tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 45 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I’m with my 4 year old son and that area is less kid friendly. I love Sugarbush. We are staying in Rutland though and doubt we can make it up there in the morning given the weather. Might even struggle to get to Killington. Thanks for the input. Pico! Cheaper, great mountain, family friendly, closer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 11 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Too many people bought into the hype machine that was created in the media. Even at the gym this morning I overheard a couple of people talking about receiving 2-3 feet of snow. The folly of some on-air mets (Harvey included) putting out big snow amounts 72 hrs before the event, especially with the uncertainty in this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: The folly of some on-air mets (Harvey included) putting out big snow amounts 72 hrs before the event, especially with the uncertainty in this system. I agree. It would have been better to start conservative and then adjust as needed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I agree. It would have been better to start conservative and then adjust as needed. Managers demand. I would have put up vague language without amounts. Like “possible sizable winter storm..” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Latest GYX probabilistic maps still show PWM with 14-16”, but I did notice that the 90% low-end has been cut back to 6; was 11 yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 32/15 here now.. wind out of the north at 6 so the northerly drain has started!! were screwed I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: 32/15 here now.. wind out of the north at 6 so the northerly drain has started!! were screwed I think. Very much so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 51 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Too many people bought into the hype machine that was created in the media. Even at the gym this morning I overheard a couple of people talking about receiving 2-3 feet of snow. If the general public is still thinking that way they are going to be extremely surprised if these models keep going north. There will be an outcry on social media which is really the thing responsible for having to put out snow maps so early. Once some idiot posts a D7 Euro map that shows 2’ up and down 95, it goes viral and becomes unstoppable, even a week out. I thought it was funny last night as the 00z models were coming out showing a lot more warmth that Pete B. said that because of the government shutdown, it’s playing havoc with the models lol. Is there any truth to that? Less balloons being being launched and such? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said: Cut back to about 8” up here on low end, but expected is still 17”. We’ll see how it all shakes out. Hope our friends to the south end up with some pleasant surprises. Thank you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1pm Broad L.P 986 over Poughkeepsie SE ward” area” to 986 Boston Harbor ish by 7pm generators ready ... QPF is getting ridiculous again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: 1pm 986 over Poughkeepsie to 986 Boston Harbor 7pm generators ready ... QPF is getting ridiculous again That kind of implies some good back end stuff after everything crashes se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Man, this is one hell of an interesting storm to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 24 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 32/15 here now.. wind out of the north at 6 so the northerly drain has started!! were screwed I think. I agree. I'd be very careful about writing off the sig icing potential for northern CT. Plenty of room to wet-bulb are way down. Maybe coastal CT warms into the upper 30's to lower 40's, but I doubt we do in northern CT. At worse we may get a 33 or 34. It's going to be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 There is so much up in the air. 4-8" is a comfortable range for BOS. It's tough to know how much rain versus sleet, and if there will be snow to end the storm. I don't think much has realistically changed as much as we're just uncertain on how the nowcasting will be as storm is ongoing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 The NAM is too warm up in Canada anyway. Had a min temp between Montreal and Quebec City south of the St. Lawrence of about -10F at 12pm est, reality is more like -15F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: I agree. I'd be very careful about writing off the sig icing potential for northern CT. Plenty of room to wet-bulb are way down. Maybe coastal CT warms into the upper 30's to lower 40's, but I doubt we do in northern CT. At worse we may get a 33 or 34. It's going to be close 84 straddles the 32 line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 If we are able to drop a good 4-6'' of snow too that could act to stop some of the warmer air from moving in as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 84 straddles the 32 line? That's what I'm sort of leaning at. Heck...some guidance suggests a max of ZR like in SW Hartford County/SE Litchfield County/NW New Haven County...and that is an area which can do well with icing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 35.2 with a Dp of 24 in Trumbull CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Bought tickets to Wildcat yesterday because it looked like they’d be safe from any pingers. Haven’t kept up with anything but see the trend is warmer, how screwed am I? TIA and remember if there’s no snow IYBY come ski it in the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Really wondering if it made sense to cancel plans for tomorrow. All those assurances of no above freezing temps seem to have evaporated for my area. Rain and mid 40's tomorrow? I suppose the crashing temps and freeze up will have to suffice for an excuse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: Really wondering if it made sense to cancel plans for tomorrow. All those assurances of no above freezing temps seem to have evaporated for my area. Rain and mid 40's tomorrow? I suppose the crashing temps and freeze up will have to suffice for an excuse. Gonna be tuff to see 40’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Gonna be tuff to see 40’s Or 30’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Gas up the Gennys on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 38 minutes ago, BombsAway1288 said: If the general public is still thinking that way they are going to be extremely surprised if these models keep going north. There will be an outcry on social media which is really the thing responsible for having to put out snow maps so early. Once some idiot posts a D7 Euro map that shows 2’ up and down 95, it goes viral and becomes unstoppable, even a week out. I thought it was funny last night as the 00z models were coming out showing a lot more warmth that Pete B. said that because of the government shutdown, it’s playing havoc with the models lol. Is there any truth to that? Less balloons being being launched and such? And keep in mind that were numerous news organizations posting stories and images online days before the storm. It's not just "idiots" The hype for the storm was everywhere online and offline. They wanted the public to "tune in" and they got the public to do so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Oh boy oh boy oh boy . Real deal Holyfield Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Oh boy oh boy oh boy Post em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tiger_deF Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Oh boy oh boy oh boy . Real deal Holyfield You can't just tease us like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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