Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 WWA now, NWS snowfall cut from 6-12 to 3-6, meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 hour ago, OceanStWx said: The median values are like 10-11". The high end values are actually still quite high, because if it stays all snow there is still 18" potential. So their range just got wider. Thanks, appreciate the intel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Welp more time to watch the game atleast looks like plowing should be a snap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 16 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: WWA now, NWS snowfall cut from 6-12 to 3-6, meh. It's gonna be fun to see the southern folks wake to find Coal in their stockings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, kdxken said: It's gonna be fun to see the southern folks wake to find Coal in their stockings. Its was never going to be a prolific snow producer due to taint in SNE; question now is how much sleet vs ZR is SNE going to get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 as much as the gfs is garbagy etc...days and days ago when it was way nw and stubborn about it, perhaps it was sending a message that the southern stream would not be denied I think in their own way, all models try to tell us something and even the terrible ones often get an important piece of the puzzle correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, Modfan said: Its was never going to be a prolific snow producer due to taint in SNE; question now is how much sleet vs ZR is SNE going to get. not so sure I agree with this, with all the talk about that great high pressure etc and snow coming in like a wall there have been so many juiced up swfe that have surprised on the southern fringes in years past...this easily could have been 6 plus from central NJ north with just a few hours of heavy snow at the onset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 11 minutes ago, Modfan said: Its was never going to be a prolific snow producer due to taint in SNE; question now is how much sleet vs ZR is SNE going to get. Much of RI, CT and south of 90 in trouble. Prob see upgrade to icestorm warnings later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 12 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: as much as the gfs is garbagy etc...days and days ago when it was way nw and stubborn about it, perhaps it was sending a message that the southern stream would not be denied I think in their own way, all models try to tell us something and even the terrible ones often get an important piece of the puzzle correct Nah. It was doing that when the srn stream was less amped. It’s still gonna be wrong too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Man this storm and winter pretty much can eat it. I’m all set. Good luck to north country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man this storm and winter pretty much can eat it. I’m all set. Good luck to north country. So no frozen threat in SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Man this storm and winter pretty much can eat it. I’m all set. Good luck to north country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Pretty much. These cold temps in the 20s prior to 7a really scream arctic antecedent air. What a pissah. And just like this winter has, this low will probably plow through my fanny as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 4 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: This storm is going to catch some off guard. A significant event with nowcast details. Hopefully with al the build-up, folks won't be caught off-guard. However, I agree 100% that the nowcasts will be fun. As far as the cold on the backside. check out the FV3 for tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pretty much. These cold temps in the 20s prior to 7a really scream arctic antecedent air. What a pissah. And just like this winter has, this low will probably plow through my fanny as well. Convection from PAH to BRO. That shouldn't be a problem at all for modeling. The good news is that it's a north/south line, so moisture transport shouldn't be a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Hopefully with al the build-up, folks won't be caught off-guard. However, I agree 100% that the nowcasts will be fun. As far as the cold on the backside. check out the FV3 for tomorrow night. Pants optional at work tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Enjoy the storm and the GTG. I’m trimming my snows to 1-2” then 2-3” of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Despite taint, BOX is bullish for the Pit. Snow, sleet and freezing rain in the morning, then snow likely in the afternoon. Total snow accumulation of 12 to 16 inches. Ice accumulation around a trace. Cold with highs around 20. Temperature falling to around 12 in the afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Convection from PAH to BRO. That shouldn't be a problem at all for modeling. The good news is that it's a north/south line, so moisture transport shouldn't be a problem. Any more ideas for SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just noticed that BOX hasn't updated their map since 2:30 yesterday. I'm guessing what finally is issued will be dramatically different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Cool, so ice holocaust potentially averted? I'd be just fine with that. Let it rain and we'll try to catch the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Any more ideas for SNE? Your backyard may see a little more ice that previously thought. I still think you don't crack freezing, but the warmer models aloft do allow for full melting for a time Sunday morning. Maybe you pull advisory snow on the front side, followed by sleet and freezing rain. Maybe if you're lucky you grab a third of an inch ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Looks like pingers heading this waySent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I think my weather-tap radar will come in handy with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: I think my weather-tap radar will come in handy with this event. You at Pit 2 for this? Should be fun up there. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Your backyard may see a little more ice that previously thought. I still think you don't crack freezing, but the warmer models aloft do allow for full melting for a time Sunday morning. Maybe you pull advisory snow on the front side, followed by sleet and freezing rain. Maybe if you're lucky you grab a third of an inch ice. I think the icing from NW RI hills west in CT will be a now cast type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Thinking 4 inches of snow here now with a good icing event after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Modfan said: I think the icing from NW RI hills west in CT will be a now cast type event. Totally. A good tool will be matching modeled temps aloft with upstream CC from radars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: You at Pit 2 for this? Should be fun up there. Enjoy. No, I'm at Pit1. Should still be good I think. BOX is going for 12-15. I'm hoping MLK temps could stay sub-0. Progged for mi casa is 3*. It will look and feel like a winter of yore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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