moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Despite taint, BOX is bullish for the Pit. Snow, sleet and freezing rain in the morning, then snow likely in the afternoon. Total snow accumulation of 12 to 16 inches. Ice accumulation around a trace. Cold with highs around 20. Temperature falling to around 12 in the afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Convection from PAH to BRO. That shouldn't be a problem at all for modeling. The good news is that it's a north/south line, so moisture transport shouldn't be a problem. Any more ideas for SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just noticed that BOX hasn't updated their map since 2:30 yesterday. I'm guessing what finally is issued will be dramatically different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Cool, so ice holocaust potentially averted? I'd be just fine with that. Let it rain and we'll try to catch the next one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Any more ideas for SNE? Your backyard may see a little more ice that previously thought. I still think you don't crack freezing, but the warmer models aloft do allow for full melting for a time Sunday morning. Maybe you pull advisory snow on the front side, followed by sleet and freezing rain. Maybe if you're lucky you grab a third of an inch ice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Looks like pingers heading this waySent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I think my weather-tap radar will come in handy with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: I think my weather-tap radar will come in handy with this event. You at Pit 2 for this? Should be fun up there. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Your backyard may see a little more ice that previously thought. I still think you don't crack freezing, but the warmer models aloft do allow for full melting for a time Sunday morning. Maybe you pull advisory snow on the front side, followed by sleet and freezing rain. Maybe if you're lucky you grab a third of an inch ice. I think the icing from NW RI hills west in CT will be a now cast type event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Thinking 4 inches of snow here now with a good icing event after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Modfan said: I think the icing from NW RI hills west in CT will be a now cast type event. Totally. A good tool will be matching modeled temps aloft with upstream CC from radars. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, Hoth said: You at Pit 2 for this? Should be fun up there. Enjoy. No, I'm at Pit1. Should still be good I think. BOX is going for 12-15. I'm hoping MLK temps could stay sub-0. Progged for mi casa is 3*. It will look and feel like a winter of yore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Looks like 2-4 for BOS/here. Down half of what I thought. Harvey probably not liking the 6-12. Feel like we could see some nasty ice west of me and into Nw RI and CT. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Looks like 2-4 for BOS/here. Down half of what I thought. Harvey probably not liking the 6-12. Feel like we could see some nasty ice west of me and into Nw RI and CT. Euro really really did well on the mid and upper levels. Once I saw that 5/6/7 runs in a row..you had a feeling more ice less snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Well if Scott is that negative, so am I, winter sucks 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Anyone got the 6z Euro curious to know if it warmed at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Man this storm and winter pretty much can eat it. I’m all set. Good luck to north country. Scooter you called this early we shall see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Torch not shocked w any outcome in this scenario but what a way to sucker punch a area on day 8 or more of model watching 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Scooter you called this early we shall see It’s fine up your way. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: It’s fine up your way. Enjoy. Ya...listen snow numbers are slashed everywhere , just I will stay below freezing big snows NNE as powderfreak ....wait Ginxy thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 51 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Pretty much. These cold temps in the 20s prior to 7a really scream arctic antecedent air. What a pissah. And just like this winter has, this low will probably plow through my fanny as well. lol glad you werent around in the 80s then, this was a yearly occurrence back then. No one seems to be able to give a proper answer, what causes a pattern that gives us suppression that alternates with coastal huggers? We had that in the 80s and we have that now. The winters were colder back then but much less snowier. They had this same pattern though where storms either went way south when it was cold enough to snow and then they hugged the coast at other times- so we got screwed from all different directions. I refuse to believe it was just "luck" it happened every year, and this year is just like that. Was it because of the MJO (back then too?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 7 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: lol glad you werent around in the 80s then, this was a yearly occurrence back then. No one seems to be able to give a proper answer, what causes a pattern that gives us suppression that alternates with coastal huggers? We had that in the 80s and we have that now. The winters were colder back then but much less snowier. They had this same pattern though where storms either went way south when it was cold enough to snow and then they hugged the coast at other times- so we got screwed from all different directions. I refuse to believe it was just "luck" it happened every year, and this year is just like that. Was it because of the MJO (back then too?) I was. I’m 39. It’s a frightening throwback. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: lol glad you werent around in the 80s then, this was a yearly occurrence back then. No one seems to be able to give a proper answer, what causes a pattern that gives us suppression that alternates with coastal huggers? We had that in the 80s and we have that now. The winters were colder back then but much less snowier. They had this same pattern though where storms either went way south when it was cold enough to snow and then they hugged the coast at other times- so we got screwed from all different directions. I refuse to believe it was just "luck" it happened every year, and this year is just like that. Was it because of the MJO (back then too?) Your not gonna receive many answers today man , women and children should hide If things ticker another hair milder aloft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 13 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Torch not shocked w any outcome in this scenario but what a way to sucker punch a area on day 8 or more of model watching I still think this ends up cooler at the sfc, but yeah, that’s why it’s useless obsessing over details at d8. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: I still think this ends up cooler at the sfc, but yeah, that’s why it’s useless obsessing over details at d8. A colder rain, great. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 fyi--what a hoot if the amounts in the 90% probability played out. EDIT: the ice map isn't embedding right. The new ice map is icier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I was. I’m 39. It’s a frightening throwback. ah, nostalgia..... in the words of the immortal Billy Joel, "the good ole days weren't always good." https://www.billyjoel.com/song/keeping-faith-7/ ‘Cause the good ole days weren’t Always good And tomorrow ain’t as bad as it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 It could happen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: It could happen... Don’t fear the reaper ....the sleet reaper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: A colder rain, great. I’m jealous if you sneak in a dew of 50F. My driveway needs to melt asap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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