Cobalt Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: Even better action from the coastal than the last few runs which were trending better. Sorry for asking, but do you mind if you compare with the 12z run? Weathermodels.com doesn't seem to want to load for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 18z Euro looks solid once again. I think it’s safe to say we are honing in on the potential here. Best chances for WSW right now probably NoVa, So MD, Northern Tidewater of Va, and Southern Eastern Shore of MD (Although that one may be a close call toward the shore). . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, MillvilleWx said: 18z Euro looks solid once again. I think it’s safe to say we are honing in on the potential here. Best chances for WSW right now probably NoVa, So MD, Northern Tidewater of Va, and Southern Eastern Shore of MD (Although that one may be a close call toward the shore). . Don't forget the rockville to columbia death band. It's real and happens when qpf max is in nova. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: 18z Euro looks solid once again. I think it’s safe to say we are honing in on the potential here. Best chances for WSW right now probably NoVa, So MD, Northern Tidewater of Va, and Southern Eastern Shore of MD (Although that one may be a close call toward the shore). . Not worried about mixing on the southern eastern shore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Sorry for asking, but do you mind if you compare with the 12z run? Weathermodels.com doesn't seem to want to load for me. Pretty big increase in QPF 12z 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 It happens in rainstorms and snow storms Weird weather feature Rockville to Columbia deathband, that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Don't forget the rockville to columbia death band. It's real and happens when qpf max is in nova.That is definitely one to watch. That band and Parr’s Ridge can never be discounted haha . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Not worried about mixing on the southern eastern shore?Basically Rt 50 on north should stay snow. Some mixing possible south of that, but if coastal gets rolling, then a flip to heavy snow could make up for it. It’s a fine line. I think that area is bisected in my first call forecast. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Euro would get Wes into warning level snowfall. He has the only yard in the entire region where i root for him to get more snow than me. Good run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Pretty big increase in QPF 12z 18z Getting close to as @Bob Chill would say “chips fall” time and Euro keeps trending better and better, can’t realky ask for more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: That is definitely one to watch. That band and Parr’s Ridge can never be discounted haha . I'm curious about the strong confluence and whether it will create extra lift/frontogen somewhere along parrs or even in southern PA. Or rockville... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 @Bob Chill Start the storm obs thread. You put in a TON of work on here. Time to start tracking temps and DP's. Bring it home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Quick question for those with 18z Euro access (wxbell doesn't have it). Are there any ice accumulation maps available? Those just to your south are flirting with warning level ice accumulation and potential power outages on most models. Thanks, and I wish all of you the best of luck with this one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Getting close to as @Bob Chill would say “chips fall” time and Euro keeps trending better and better, can’t realky ask for more. Yep, honestly Euro is WSW-level snowfall for all of NOVA and DC. One more bump and MD gets into the 0.5” too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Getting close to as @Bob Chill would say “chips fall” time and Euro keeps trending better and better, can’t realky ask for more. The area of coastal enhancement has boom potetial but also bust potential. We're very fortunate to get a nice dose of waa precip so enhancement is bonus snow instead of our only snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Euro would get Wes into warning level snowfall. He has the only yard in the entire region where i root for him to get more snow than me. Good run That hurts, man. Like deep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 I'm curious about the strong confluence and whether it will create extra lift/frontogen somewhere along parrs or even in southern PA. Or rockville...There will likely be a primary “deathband” that sets up someone in the areas you mentioned and goes to town. This is a perfect setup for it. A nice area of low level convergence is likely in the setup. The question is where. Not until gametime when that’ll be solved. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Just now, clskinsfan said: @Bob Chill Start the storm obs thread. You put in a TON of work on here. Time to start tracking temps and DP's. Bring it home. Yup. Bob should get the honor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: I'm curious about the strong confluence and whether it will create extra lift/frontogen somewhere along parrs or even in southern PA. Or rockville... There's no doubt it will happen. And my area will get stuck in the subsidence between the central Maryland death band and the Fredericksburg juice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 7 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Getting close to as @Bob Chill would say “chips fall” time and Euro keeps trending better and better, can’t realky ask for more. One more 50 mile bump and 6-10 inches forum wide. Let’s bring this S home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 For my own understanding, at this point, are we to continue to focus on the GFS/Euro or are we into the “other” model territory 24 hours out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 At this point you should use radar or the hrrr or just be patient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dereknel Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 How did Richmond look on the 18z euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Obs/nowcast thread is open Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 It’s good to keep my streak going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: It’s good to keep my streak going. Deepest sympathies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 Wow! 10:1 ratios here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 32 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I'm curious about the strong confluence and whether it will create extra lift/frontogen somewhere along parrs or even in southern PA. Or rockville... It’ll make a straight line between Rockville and Ellicott City and sit in place for the storms durations. Of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Stunning and saved. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.