Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Hp wins the war on thr cmc. Still get snow but that hp means business. Gfs a little flatter at h5 than 18z. Not much though. Could be noise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: I do not think the H5 looks as good as the 18z. I am only looking at the H5 maps Noticed that as well. A little flatter IMO uh...ninjad (as you say it) 3x. Glad we all agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 a step back.....hopefully euro is onto something. Govt shutdown killing GFS now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Bob Chill said: Hp wins the war on thr cmc. Still get snow but that hp means business. Gfs a little flatter at h5 than 18z. Not much though. Could be noise at 102 HP is noticably further west and not out in front, which may suppress this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 this panel is disappointing. I would think heavier precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Ji said: this panel is disappointing. I would think heavier precip GFS can underdo the NW precip shield, but w/ a 1040 HP, I'm not willing to be any @showmethesnow money on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Most elongated and slowest moving upper level energy ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackb979 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Still a decent 4-6 hit for most of the area. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 gfs laughs at the cips analogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: this panel is disappointing. I would think heavier precip Problem is by that time the shorwave axis is pointing at 2oclock. Very postive and sheared. Storm has a lot of juice as it approaches so offsets the weaker lift. Very good slp track though. I'll take my chances all day with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Most elongated and slowest moving upper level energy ever. ya that wont get it done. We need a Euro/NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Too early to say we might be seeing our first "goalposts" here in terms of the range of outcomes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Ji said: gfs laughs at the cips analogs but last laugh is still 3 days out..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Too early to say we might be seeing our first "goalposts" here in terms of the range of outcomes? Too early. We're still between a foot and almost nothing at this range. 72 hours earliest before setting bars imo 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 FV3 still more amped and mixed...and does the PA BS thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Snows out here for almost 50 hours. Yeah. Its not a monster bomb. But 2 days worth of light snow all powder would be a perfect end to this horrid drought. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: ya that wont get it done. We need a Euro/NAM Please tell me you aren't sitting on the big snowstorm fence with this one? Dude anything from 2-6" is a really good storm all things considered 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Most elongated and slowest moving upper level energy ever. That piece of energy crashing into California is a real problem. Steals energy from the storm and turns it into a string out mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 FVC3PO is a good hit.....hasnt wavered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, leesburg 04 said: Please tell me you aren't sitting on the big snowstorm fence with this one? Dude anything from 2-6" is a really good storm all things considered psu said all the analogs are hecs so my standard just went to Hecs or bust 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Too early to say we might be seeing our first "goalposts" here in terms of the range of outcomes? yes but this one hasnt had crazy swings... Overnight tomorrow you will start to see them narrow. Still time for subtle changes that can make a diff. Personally, i dont feel comfy until inside 24 unless model consensus is a lock. We've been fooled enough. CIPS analogs that PSU just posted should cause some pause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Please tell me you aren't sitting on the big snowstorm fence with this one? Dude anything from 2-6" is a really good storm all things considered Just dont look at the cmc. Especially psu... uh oh 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 TeamJi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: FVC3PO is a good hit.....hasnt wavered. I just wish it would come back to TT... So hard to read the other maps 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: Please tell me you aren't sitting on the big snowstorm fence with this one? Dude anything from 2-6" is a really good storm all things considered Anything under 6 inches is a nuisance snow.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 I would definitely take the GFS.. a dry snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: yes but this one hasnt had crazy swings... Overnight tomorrow you will start to see them narrow. Still time for subtle changes that can make a diff. Personally, i dont feel comfy until inside 24 unless model consensus is a lock. We've been fooled enough. CIPS analogs that PSU just posted should cause some pause. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: FV3 still more amped and mixed...and does the PA BS thing H5 looks way different. NS is way west. Still trying to phase it. Will match the analogs better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Snows out here for almost 50 hours. Yeah. Its not a monster bomb. But 2 days worth of light snow all powder would be a perfect end to this horrid drought. absolutely. 50 hours of fluff from above that only gets a few inches of accums is a GREAT event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Don Cherry's Jacket Posted January 9, 2019 Share Posted January 9, 2019 Party on everyone. Not winter until I get here. Loving the trends even on the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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