Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Congrats Dendrite on the Thunder snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Interesting on the 18z RGEM that it's got a good deal of ZR tomorrow on the coastal plain of NNE. That's an odd set-up for ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 WWA extended to 7pm here for freezing rain. 32.5/31.8 with fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Most of interior SNE over to NE winds or N winds...that's gonna lock in whatever temps are already there...might even tick down a notch in northern areas of SNE into S NH. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Might even get TSSN out of this. Quite dynamic. Ninja , yea just looked at soundings for Brian, nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 22 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I think like most they’re just really not sure. It’s a razors edge and the latest runs may start having them push it a little higher but we’ll see. A man can hope! Started to feel like winter again today going for a long walk in the woods with the dog with a fresh coating on the ground in the snow pack still in the woods. Felt real nice. Perfect weather for track and wildlife. During the last five days we’ve seen bobcat tracks fox tracks raccoon tracks coyote tracks turkeys squirrels and rabbits along with lots of deer but we haven’t found a shed rack yet Yes, It is wintry out there, I experinace most of that sign here during hunting season for deer 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Dryslot is back in the game after the last page of posts. We added a couple more posters in the past hour or two to the fun. I've been on the end of the bench throughout but coach told me to get my helmet on.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Skating rink out there right now. Could be an interesting morning. Scheduled to depart PWM at 7:15; taking the over on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 37 minutes ago, dryslot said: Well thanks, There reading my mind, But that may end up being the low end...........lol Farmington's "most likely" dropped from 5" to 3" with that map, and the 49% chance of >4" is now 49% for >2". Now watch that new forecast bust low. We can hope, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, tamarack said: Farmington's "most likely" dropped from 5" to 3" with that map, and the 49% chance of >4" is now 49% for >2". Now watch that new forecast bust low. We can hope, anyway. I was thinking the same after they made the update lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Its getting pretty slick out there with FZDZ, Temps still well below freezing holding at 25°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Most of interior SNE over to NE winds or N winds...that's gonna lock in whatever temps are already there...might even tick down a notch in northern areas of SNE into S NH. That's what is happening here. It's 32.5F off a high of 34F. Originally forecast to reach 42F. Looks like rain moving in here by 6pm or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 18z GFS not backing down with the QPF. Big difference from RGEM/GFS vs NAM/HRRR in terms of tomorrow in CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 18z GFS not backing down with the QPF. Big difference from RGEM/GFS vs NAM/HRRR in terms of tomorrow in CNE. Like night and day. One model says I get 7" the other 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 These are some pretty big differences that could have large sensible weather impacts tomorrow. The NAM/HRRR/BTV4 like SVT-Dendrite-Dryslot axis for meso-band. The GFS and RGEM are definitely a bit further north into C/N VT and N.NH/W.ME mtns. Be interesting to see the 18z EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 HRRR bringing Warning criteria snows to S.VT and SW NH hills tomorrow morning. Man some forecasts are going to bust hard if that stuff ends up dropping a quick 6-10" through the higher elevations of CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 48 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Congrats Dendrite on the Thunder snow Cold air hanging tough. Only 22.8F right now. I don't see any models showing me I should be that cold. Where would you guess the pivot point would setup?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Not going to warm very much if the winds remain NNW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 10 minutes ago, powderfreak said: HRRR bringing Warning criteria snows to S.VT and SW NH hills tomorrow morning. Man some forecasts are going to bust hard if that stuff ends up dropping a quick 6-10" through the higher elevations of CNE. This has a big positive bust potential i think for areas that were expecting nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: Not going to warm very much if the winds remain NNW. Picking up on the cold air holding tough at least at lower levels, might this influence the track of the low? Maybe that is what the nam and hrrr are seeing? And it would be those types of models that would be more sensitive to that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 40 here. Cooling off a tad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, mahk_webstah said: Picking up on the cold air holding tough at least at lower levels, might this influence the track of the low? Maybe that is what the nam and hrrr are seeing? And it would be those types of models that would be more sensitive to that? I think the Mesos will handle this type of scenario better as well, Models have ticked colder some at the surface anyways and looks to cut off the warming aloft, just coming into range on the HRRR here at 21z, And it has 5.4" @15z Weds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: I think the Mesos will handle this type of scenario better as well, Models have ticked colder some at the surface anyways and looks to cut off the warming aloft, just coming into range on the HRRR here at 21z, And it has 5.4" @15z Weds With more to come for u Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 29-30 here in Nashua 32 degree line on methuen/ Salem border to my east and westford to my south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, mahk_webstah said: With more to come for u Yes, Looks that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: This has a big positive bust potential i think for areas that were expecting nothing. True, you expect nothing then if nothing happens, all good. If something happens, even better, lol. What have your expectations been the past few days? I always thought you'd be at least 3-6" but yesterday everything seemed to back off a bit for a few cylces of runs. Think back to what the models showed 3 days ago though...which was like 12-18" everywhere north of the Mass border. Probably going to find somewhere in the middle of that original idea and yesterday's lackluster runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 33.3F with fog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 True, you expect nothing then if nothing happens, all good. If something happens, even better, lol. What have your expectations been the past few days? I always thought you'd be at least 3-6" but yesterday everything seemed to back off a bit for a few cylces of runs. Think back to what the models showed 3 days ago though...which was like 12-18" everywhere north of the Mass border. Probably going to find somewhere in the middle of that original idea and yesterday's lackluster runs. Right along I had 4-8” total for both rounds and that looks quite possible, But after being on the low end after today, I figured maybe end on the low end but that could change now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Looks like if you go back to Friday's model runs and early Saturday runs, this is heading back that way (EURO had 8-12" for Dendrite and Dryslot in that time frame) and then it backed off quite a bit Sunday/Monday and now coming back on Tuesday's runs a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Here's the BTV forecast map going forward... The one thing I can't help but notice is the adjacent forecast from Gray south of the Whites. I mean that has some decent bust potential southeast of the Whites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 8 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Looks like if you go back to Friday's model runs and early Saturday runs, this is heading back that way (EURO had 8-12" for Dendrite and Dryslot in that time frame) and then it backed off quite a bit Sunday/Monday and now coming back on Tuesday's runs a bit. U got the latest looks like a nice glaze heading my way around 8pm 29.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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