dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said: believe it or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 That NAM run smokes like Killington to Gene tomorrow with a foot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Nah. Anything other than the NAM printing out 4"+ for the coastal plain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 12 minutes ago, dryslot said: Woof Nam is a beast slower moving and just crushes whites and Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, MaineJayhawk said: Nah. Anything other than the NAM printing out 4"+ for the coastal plain? Euro had 2-3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Euro had 2-3" Ok. We nowcast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Nam is a beast slower moving and just crushes whites and Maine. Closes off an H5 low just east of PSM and tracks it right along the Maine coast to Eastport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said: Ok. We nowcast. Looks to go to town just in the right spot on the Nam, We will see where the rest of 18z goes but even the 12z runs were trending slightly sharper with that trough, Reggie was not far off of that track either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 NAM gets NE MA with a nice little band to end it. Something that will have to be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 lol on the NAM 3k, commaheads my backyard up north. What am I doing in Lowell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM gets NE MA with a nice little band to end it. Something that will have to be watched. Most had walked away and justifiably so from looking at this, But it may have some last minute surprises for some down towards Ray, Definitely worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, MarkO said: lol on the NAM 3k, commaheads my backyard up north. What am I doing in Lowell? lol, You should be back up in NH, Yeah, Its has 7.5" here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM gets NE MA with a nice little band to end it. Something that will have to be watched. BTV wrf showed something similar at 6z w a flash to snow for ASH around 6-7am. Nam takes it a solid step further 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Holding steady at 24.1F. Would like clean the snow away before the RN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Those were my thoughts, 2" here at best right now, Of course we could end up in the comma head and those would be low end. Just wish we could keep the RN away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 BTV wrf at 12z really hits N ORH county and Monads a bit more over to denty then ENE And missed white mountains to the south and hits Maine foothills and cp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said: Given latest gyx map it could get interesting tomorrow morn but not sure I believe it. Waiting for their discussion Still waiting. They did post WWA's for most of their CWA, 1-3" thru 1 PM tomorrow with IP/ZR mixed in, so the only way I'd get to 4-6 in that scenario would be a snow burst later in the afternoon. Last time I saw 12+ hours of mix'n'mess suddenly blossom into 2-3" of quick snow was . . . never. At least it will be a net gain in the pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 18z HRRR pimping those higher totals too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, tamarack said: Still waiting. They did post WWA's for most of their CWA, 1-3" thru 1 PM tomorrow with IP/ZR mixed in, so the only way I'd get to 4-6 in that scenario would be a snow burst later in the afternoon. Last time I saw 12+ hours of mix'n'mess suddenly blossom into 2-3" of quick snow was . . . never. At least it will be a net gain in the pack. I'm pretty skeptical, But if there would be a time, It would be with this one the way it tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: 18z HRRR pimping those higher totals too It’s trending south on mesos looks like S VT berks to Lakes region in better shape into interior Maine cp and foothills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Latest from GYX..... .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... Strong short wave trough currently associated with severe weather out in northern Ohio will continue to move eastward overnight tonight. This low will trigger SFC low pressure development and very likely mesoscale banding. We are still uncertain as to exactly where the mesoscale banding will set up during the morning hours. However, where it does, a flip from rain to snow with 1-3" rates will be quite possible, even fairly close to the coast. The band should be pretty transient. However, a somewhat brief but nearly stationary pivot point of the band could allow some locations to pile up a decent amount of snow (possibly low-end warning criteria) in a fairly short amount of time. Took a blend of solutions at this time to derive snowfall amounts which yields warning criteria in central Somerset County and thus the warning there at this time. However, it could be an interesting few hours south of the mountains during the mid morning through early afternoon hours with a period of very heavy snow and perhaps thunder after the flip from rain. Trends will be watched closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'm pretty skeptical, But if there would be a time, It would be with this one the way it tracks. I consider you one of the better posters u keep referencing 2-3” . This has potential for a solid 6” or so and it’s pretty obvious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: It’s trending south on mesos looks like S VT berks to Lakes region in better shape into interior Maine cp and foothills I have kept an eye on it, And yes, It has been ticking south into something more favorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 As shown on the meso models (and as GYX stated) someone going to get a solid dumping at that pivot point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 32.9F here with fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I consider you one of the better posters u keep referencing 2-3” . This has potential for a solid 6” or so and it’s pretty obvious Well thanks, There reading my mind, But that may end up being the low end...........lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: 18z HRRR pimping those higher totals too Brian in the 6+ gene closer to 10 me either 1 or 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: There reading my mind, But that may end up being the low end...........lol I think like most they’re just really not sure. It’s a razors edge and the latest runs may start having them push it a little higher but we’ll see. A man can hope! Started to feel like winter again today going for a long walk in the woods with the dog with a fresh coating on the ground in the snow pack still in the woods. Felt real nice. Perfect weather for track and wildlife. During the last five days we’ve seen bobcat tracks fox tracks raccoon tracks coyote tracks turkeys squirrels and rabbits along with lots of deer but we haven’t found a shed rack yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Might even get TSSN out of this. Quite dynamic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Dryslot is back in the game after the last page of posts. We added a couple more posters in the past hour or two to the fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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