aldie 22 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 17 minutes ago, H2O said: I'm all for freely discussing most anything. And here comes the inevitable BUT, but the danger is with how polarized things have become lately politically, once pandora's box is opened wrt talking that stuff here it muddies up what most of us are here to discuss which is weather. There is no question that what is going on right now affects many here. The shutdown is real and the DMV area probably has a higher % of gov't workers affected than many other places. And if part of the games our politicians are playing affects our wx forecasting services then it will no doubt cause a reaction here. It like that old adage of when at a party the 3 things you aren't supposed to discuss are age, religion and politics. I would prefer not to deal with it here and only ask that if it is mentioned then we don't clutter the main threads with it. Nothing good will come of it as I can guarantee that people here have differing opinions and none of us are in a position to change whats going on except every first Tuesday in November. Shutdown??? I thought they were on strike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 All storm cancel for rest of winter. Too much of a good thing. Good sledding in southern Georgia though. <long range thread summation> 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 its really annoying at this point. Hope, hype, despair, repeat. Too many hang onto every run and even into the very LR which doesn't always verify. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 42 minutes ago, mappy said: if you feel like joining the fray though, you are welcome to do so here. http://www.americanpol.com/ it is this websites political subforum. it used to be part of this site years ago, but was broken off after 2016. you will probably see some familiar faces. FYI: its not really moderated, other than way over the line stuff. So enter at your own risk. ick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, H2O said: its really annoying at this point. Hope, hype, despair, repeat. Too many hang onto every run and even into the very LR which doesn't always verify. eventually hope and hype have to win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, Jandurin said: ick LOL pretty much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 If we don't score this weekend the next chance is the 20th ish and if the latest GFS 6z is correct the two week dry spell could be extended. The country over all looks dry. What happened to the qpf bombs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 hour ago, anotherman said: It's not even allowed in banter? If we just avoid talking about our problems as a country they will continue to get worse. Not weather banter, no. Honestly, it's far too divisive and would cause this thread to get out of touch with what it's supposed to be about. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 8 minutes ago, nj2va said: Winter Storm Watch for Garrett County/WV mountains for 4-8"...prime upslope conditions there. Good news for the ski resorts. I've got tickets to an oyster fest this weekend in Bmore, otherwise I'd consider heading up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 58 minutes ago, H2O said: its really annoying at this point. Hope, hype, despair, repeat. Too many hang onto every run and even into the very LR which doesn't always verify. I think I probably need to take a break from reading it for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 I would lock up 2-4" of powder in a heartbeat right now if I could... even if others south of us got way more. So... starved... for flakes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Chuck was right...it’s just RICs year to shine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Thought I'd bring this up to give a little more hope for our chances (someone ninja'd me in the other thread last night in mentioning this, lol) Take a look the years of those shutdowns Government shutdowns...particularly the lengthier ones like this one...have often precluded big winters here. In fact...the last time we had a December to January shutdown? 1995-96...lol The usual caution with correlation vs. causation, but...ya know And the last 4 shutdowns that lasted 12 days or more? All climo+ years (two of which contained blizzards, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 I really don't see the value in model play-by-play for a model everyone has access to see... for the Euro its one thing, but for the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, caviman2201 said: I really don't see the value in model play-by-play for a model everyone has access to see... for the Euro its one thing, but for the GFS? this post is strung out and suppressed at 114hr 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: I really don't see the value in model play-by-play for a model everyone has access to see... for the Euro its one thing, but for the GFS? can only speak for myself, but i appreciate it. I'm at work and check quickly to see what the model did without needing open the model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Its funny how quick the debs return once a few model runs show only light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: Its funny how quick the debs return once a few model runs show only light snow Yep the debs return! The pattern does not support a coastal storm, never did. Why fantasy cast it all the way to Saturday and be disappointed later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, yoda said: Its funny how quick the debs return once a few model runs show only light snow and how that model run is most definitely correct, while the shellacking from yesterday was definitely wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, ers-wxman1 said: Yep the debs return! The pattern does not support a coastal storm, never did. Why fantasy cast it all the way to Saturday and be disappointed later. I'm tracking a light snow event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: I'm tracking a light snow event. Enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, ers-wxman1 said: Enjoy it. many of us will, thanks for your approval. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 21 minutes ago, mappy said: can only speak for myself, but i appreciate it. I'm at work and check quickly to see what the model did without needing open the model. I guess I can see that... maybe for me I just find it easier to pull up TT on my phone real quick and loop through it. Reading the forum can be more confusing with all the bad PBP and "analysis" than just looking at the model real quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 9 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said: Enjoy it. Thanks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, caviman2201 said: I guess I can see that... maybe for me I just find it easier to pull up TT on my phone real quick and loop through it. Reading the forum can be more confusing with all the bad PBP and "analysis" than just looking at the model real quick. gotta know who to read and who to skip over 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanTheMan Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Did the early December storm not trend more strung out and weaker for a bit before amping up down the stretch? #Weenielogic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, mappy said: gotta know who to read and who to skip over true that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Let's have more discussion on what officially constitutes a "trend" and why we probably aren't getting a 12-18" snowstorm. I'm still not clear on those points. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, caviman2201 said: true that skip my posts... i mostly add colorful commentary and let those who are more knowledgeable do the real talking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Let's have more discussion on what officially constitutes a "trend" and why we probably aren't getting a 12-18" snowstorm. I'm still not clear on those points. The only 100% clear trend is that if you once worked for Mike Shananhan as a young assistant you will get a head coaching job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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