ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 6 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I noticed it on the 36-hour HRRR, ha. There's a chance for a quick pounding if the lift is solid for areas of RT 2 north. Not a given by any means but enough to warrant keeping an eye on it. If the rates are there, even 1-2 hours of isothermal snow can paste the landscape. NAM even gets it down the pike...but my guess is it is too cold. But who knows...we'll see how things look in the morning. Sometimes these highs can hang on just long enough for a little 2-3 hour surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 This may over perform some, Especially if we can hold on to the cold even another hour or two while the heavier precip is over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 25 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Hard to believe since it's colder than most guidance but you are right that is like isothermal paste for about 3-4 hours with good rates. Love to see the Bufkit sounding of ORH snap back to +SN at 03z when the lift really goes to town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 If it's to be believed, NAM 10:1 would give me about 5 inches by 06z on Tuesday but I'm guessing we're looking at lower ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 RGEM? Just looked-warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 6 minutes ago, weathafella said: RGEM? Just looked-warmer. Of course. Hoping at least ORH can score a couple before the flip. Let’s break this streak of bad luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: RGEM? Just looked-warmer. Actually looked a tic cooler, but still not great south of the NH border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 At least at 850 it was slightly cooler. Actually washes the warmer 850 temps out a bit around 04-05z across the chicken coops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Actually looked a tic cooler, but still not great south of the NH border. I was referring to it vs NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: I was referring to it vs NAM. Oh yeah, definitely warmer south of NH. But what's 5C between model friends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Snow vs rain........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Snow vs rain........... Not for you. NAM might tickle warning criteria, RGEM is more like advisory for LEW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: Not for you. NAM might tickle warning criteria, RGEM is more like advisory for LEW. Nam was a tic or two better at 0z, RGEM still needs some work but was better as well at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Nam was a tic or two better at 0z, RGEM still needs some work but was better as well at 0z I think we're going to do okay given the set up. I could see a pretty widespread 2-4" from Dendrite on NE even down to the coast in ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: I think we're going to do okay given the set up. I could see a pretty widespread 2-4" from Dendrite on NE even down to the coast in ME. I like 3-5" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Gfs trending towards euro later next week. Shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Gfs trending towards euro later next week. Shocked. You're going to miss it when it's gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gfs trending towards euro later next week. Shocked. Euro is struggling this year...don't worry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Cold New Year’s Eve Rain... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Looks like we'll get that annoying 0C 850 line out of the country for a bit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Cold New Year’s Eve Rain... I would take rainy Christmas over rainy NYE. Northampton 1st night is fun but we will probably skip if raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro is struggling this year...don't worry. Snow88 told me so. I believe him. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 14 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: You're going to miss it when it's gone. If those FV3 stats continue, I might. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Looping the GFS H5 you see a contour not unlike an erection popping up from old Mexico in the medium range. Pretty funny actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: Looks like we'll get that annoying 0C 850 line out of the country for a bit. We AN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: Looping the GFS H5 you see a contour not unlike an erection popping up from old Mexico in the medium range. Pretty funny actually. Sonoran meat release? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: Sonoran meat release? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 I’m willing to bet that BOS fails to record 1” by 1/15. I start rooting for futility by 2/1 if BOS is < 5” with a bleak outlook. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Maybe we have a chance with the January 9th storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 How funny it would be for winter to wind up like this, where our only good snow and our coldest temp was in November--followed by a spring full of backdoor fronts and cut-off lows. Board participation would plummet. Happy 2019 folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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