weathafella Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 6 minutes ago, qg_omega said: I see three PV lobes, all over Europe. No blocking and zonal pac flow over the country. I know it's the 18z OP GFS but I don't care what model it is, I believe it has the right idea. Agrees with my thoughts from early December after the snowstorm in November. November snow historically is not a good sign for the winter. We are going to miss a good six weeks of winter with a very hostile pattern. I hope it changes in mid January but I'm not hopeful until we see the MJO actually move into phase 7. It's currently stalled in 5 and that's going on 15 days. I'm not trolling here but the misinformation in this forum spread by a small few is disappointing. Cherry picking 222. Show us 6-10 and then 11-15 on ensemble products if you want to bolster your argument. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 D10 on EPS. Main PV over Siberian coast and a secondary lobe over Canada. Nothing over Europe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: D10 on EPS. Main PV over Siberian coast and a secondary lobe over Canada. Nothing over Europe. That’s also a nice cross polar look. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 The newest fake news by some posters is November snow ruins winter. It’s actually the opposite. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: The newest fake news by some posters is November snow ruins winter. It’s actually the opposite. I'm guessing nobody actually ran the stats who was making that claim. At least up here it's definitely the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: D10 on EPS. Main PV over Siberian coast and a secondary lobe over Canada. Nothing over Europe. Sounds like a few more years in high school could be just what Omega needs . HS kids gone wild lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: Maybe he is taking the torch from allsnow...he used to troll our threads and then would disappear for weeks while we got crushed. Allsnow is a good poster. He is very knowledgeable. He tells it how it is 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: I see three PV lobes, all over Europe. No blocking and zonal pac flow over the country. I know it's the 18z OP GFS but I don't care what model it is, I believe it has the right idea. Agrees with my thoughts from early December after the snowstorm in November. November snow historically is not a good sign for the winter. We are going to miss a good six weeks of winter with a very hostile pattern. I hope it changes in mid January but I'm not hopeful until we see the MJO actually move into phase 7. It's currently stalled in 5 and that's going on 15 days. I'm not trolling here but the misinformation in this forum spread by a small few is disappointing. That's not over Europe lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Exterminte, exterminate the intruder! Put lazer guns on "Stun slowly with facts!" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Facts? Who needs facts these days? That PV is definitely over Europe just like qq said. Kidding aside, if Ray nails this winter forecast, he should become the winter weather expert and get a red tag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Yeah I don’t see that at all. I just pointed out earlier the heights near AK and over in nrn Siberia as the issue. Even the strat PV isn’t split there in Europe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 The MJO has been stalled near 135 E though. That hasn’t helped. It should progress more to the east with time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 34 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Allsnow is trolling other forums with warmth That's not over Europe lol 25 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: The MJO has been stalled near 135 E though. That hasn’t helped. It should progress more to the east with time. I’m not sure where I’m trolling about warmth @Snow88. I’m getting tired of shoveling all of this potential you have been posting about, as we stare in the barrel of another cutter. @CoastalWx I could not agree with you more regarding the next few weeks. The Kelvin wave slowed the mjo progression in p5. Unfortunately, convection is very hard to forecast. I would be careful about posting the RMM plots, the vp200 maps are more accurate imo. Either way you slice it, we should be in p6 by the end of the week. The pna should improve after the 4th, and the majority of the guidance agrees with this. @40/70 Benchmarkoutstanding seasonal outlook! We should have a killer 2nd half of winter. @ORH_wxman I know we have not been on the same page the last few years. I can’t say I didn’t give you reason to feel the way you feel. My apologies for the immaturity I showed. I don’t come to this forum anymore, but my best to sne for 2019. We should be tracking soon. A few more week and this downtime will be a distant nightmare. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Isn’t qq omega the poster formerly known as Nikolai? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Isn’t qq omega the poster formerly known as Nikolai? No. It's noreaster27. Is he bothering you guys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 13 minutes ago, Allsnow said: I’m not sure where I’m trolling about warmth @Snow88. I’m getting tired of shoveling all of this potential you have been posting about, as we stare in the barrel of another cutter. @CoastalWx I could not agree with you more regarding the next few weeks. The Kelvin wave slowed the mjo progression in p5. Unfortunately, convection is very hard to forecast. I would be careful about posting the RMM plots, the vp200 maps are more accurate imo. Either way you slice it, we should be in p6 by the end of the week. The pna should improve after the 4th, and the majority of the guidance agrees with this. @40/70 Benchmarkoutstanding seasonal outlook! We should have a killer 2nd half of winter. @ORH_wxman I know we have not been on the same page the last few years. I can’t say I didn’t give you reason to feel the way you feel. My apologies for the immaturity I showed. I don’t come to this forum anymore, but my best to sne for 2019. We should be tracking soon. A few more week and this downtime will be a distant nightmare. As long as people can make reasonable posts, come by. But the trolling with baseless meteorology from people can be annoying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 Starting to wonder if Paul Kocin programmed the FV3. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 20 minutes ago, weathafella said: Isn’t qq omega the poster formerly known as Nikolai? He started posting at Eastern at like 6 years old lol. He knew more then , than now at age 17 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 Sweet! A post by Allsnow! Hope you are well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 Yeah anyone can post in here. Don't care what region you are from. Just keep it genuine though. In good faith. And if you are feeling reformed @Allsnow, then welcome back to you too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Starting to wonder if Paul Kocin programmed the FV3. I hope he is ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 26 minutes ago, Rjay said: No. It's noreaster27. Is he bothering you guys? Not bothering me. Then again as long as posters don’t threaten anyone I’m a live and let live type of person. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: He started posting at Eastern at like 6 years old lol. He knew more then , than now at age 17 Your posts were better 11 years ago too. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 We all joke and I admit I may bust chops with a post or too, but you know when I’m kidding. The incessant posts just to get people all hot and bothered are what tends to be the issue. It can go the other way too. We all love snow, but baseless posts about no cutters simply because one cannot accept the notion of them, is just as bad. In any case, speaking of trolling, the FV3 just continues to suck people in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: Your posts were better 11 years ago too. Yours were too. When you used to post weather instead of a personal vendetta to try to control me that you talked to the mods about. You post very little weather anymore.. and man it sucks. It’s either posts about me or Tolland or co cks. And honestly .. that’s sad 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 Brian made a fabulous weather post yesterday or the day before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: We all joke and I admit I may bust chop with a post or too, but you know when I’m kidding. The incessant posts just to get people all hot and bothered are what tends to be the issue. It can go the other way too. We all love snow, but baseless posts about no cutters simply because one cannot accept the notion of them is just as bad. In any case, speaking of trolling, the FV3 just continues to suck people in. There's too many models. Weenies can always find one they like which serves their agenda. Like when all hope is lost and James latches onto a few weenie members of the SREFs as showing a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We all joke and I admit I may bust chops with a post or too, but you know when I’m kidding. The incessant posts just to get people all hot and bothered are what tends to be the issue. It can go the other way too. We all love snow, but baseless posts about no cutters simply because one cannot accept the notion of them, is just as bad. In any case, speaking of trolling, the FV3 just continues to suck people in. Question is will it suck you in in a few weeks as GFS15. I have heard its cold bias but haven't seen any stats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Brian made a fabulous weather post yesterday or the day before. But that’s all he used to do. Now it’s what he and the mods talked about controlling posters . I miss those days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yours were too. When you used to post weather instead of a personal vendetta to try to control me that you talked to the mods about. You post very little weather anymore.. and man it sucks. It’s either posts about me or Tolland or co cks. And honestly .. that’s sad lol wut? Drunk? I've come to your defense countless times over the past decade from mods out of our region that were just doing their jobs. Yeah, I've grown a little more liberal here because I think the internet overall has trended that way. It's about mixing fun with the science and not necessarily reeling off 10,000 word boring diatribes. I think I've posted my fair share of weather, but there's only so much to talk about right now. 2 more cutters in the extended...yay whoopee! Will I have 47F and rain or 38F and rain? At least I try to call it like I see it. I'm not ACATT in the winter and AWATT in the summer like someone here I know. That gets predictably boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: But that’s all he used to do. Now it’s what he and the mods talked about controlling posters . I miss those days Controlling posters is a new one to me. Please do share in the banter thread. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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