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December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm


Orangeburgwx
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gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_24.png

A thought on this... There's a lot of convective feedback off the coast here... Look at the pattern of the pressure contours! I think the models are going to have a LOT of trouble with this, especially the GFS, which seemed especially prone to botching this kind of stuff during our early January storm this past winter. This screwy representation has a lot of implications, especially with moisture transport. Check out how dry NC is here! I think we trend wetter in this particular instance, especially once convection allowing models get in the game. 

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Just now, ILMRoss said:

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_24.png

A thought on this... There's a lot of convective feedback off the coast here... Look at the pattern of the pressure contours! I think the models are going to have a LOT of trouble with this, especially the GFS, which seemed especially prone to botching this kind of stuff during our early January storm this past winter. This screwy representation has a lot of implications, especially with moisture transport. Check out how dry NC is here! I think we trend wetter in this particular instance, especially once convection allowing models get in the game. 

Thank you sir!! I’ve been highlighting this for a couple days now. The low does this wonky let me jump on over to the convection blob and has for multiple model runs on the OP.

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