dendrite Posted December 3, 2018 Share Posted December 3, 2018 15 minutes ago, leo2000 said: That is an insane image for week 5-6. Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: That is an insane image for week 5-6. Jesus. Should that verify people won’t know what hit them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Should that verify people won’t know what hit them. Frigid look. Not much skill in that time range though. But it does loosely match the euro seasonal last month. It'll be interesting what the new one says which should be out sometime in the next 36-48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: What was your old screen name ? I know, this is awesome 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 21 minutes ago, dendrite said: HM and isotherm are great at what they do. I've never been a huge fan of the really long range/seasonal forecasting. I'm glad there's some out there that are into it who are advancing our knowledge in that area and making those forecasts slowly, but surely, better. It just really isn't for me and it doesn't make anyone less of a man or woman. Even having skill in that area of forecasting means you have a lot of failures. You can know everything there is to know about angular momentum or mountain torque, but it isn't going to guarantee a 2-4+ week outlook. They are fun reads though and it's easy for some to get lost in them like a romance novel. I think there is also some talking by each other. Nobody called for a torch pattern. All I said was that it may not be a wintry look and a 2 week period of this occurring. We all know it could mean a chance of snow especially inland, but it’s the look where that could melt two days later. I’m not sure where all the angst is coming from. I feel good about the post 12/10-12-25 or so period where this occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 42 minutes ago, Zach’s Pop said: Not at all. 4 or 5 days of nice weather will be great. But that is very different of what a couple of you were preaching last week. Pattern recognition is what separates the men from the boys. Hopefully some of you become men someday Women from girls, Dogs from puppies, Cats from kittens? Lots of Mets troll winter lovers, it's an in thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I think there is also some talking by each other. Nobody called for a torch pattern. All I said was that it may not be a wintry look and a 2 week period of this occurring. We all know it could mean a chance of snow especially inland, but it’s the look where that could melt two days later. I’m not sure where all the angst is coming from. I feel good about the post 12/10-12-25 or so period where this occurs. You keep saying nobody called for a torch pattern, that is absolutely not true. Not you but there were a lot of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If you're looking for jackpot....move on. This isn't it. Best case scenario is relative scraps after the mid atl gets nailed. #millerablows Why? Miller A s can be fantastic especially for the coast. Lets do Dec 21 09 again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 31 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: You keep saying nobody called for a torch pattern, that is absolutely not true. Not you but there were a lot of them. I honestly haven’t seen any say torch? However this is most certainly more than a few days like some said above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I honestly haven’t seen any say torch? However this is most certainly more than a few days like some said above. Well...some you know were 2 of many 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toekneeweather Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 If I ever wanted to see a model look 144 hrs away I would choose this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 We might get a chance at some flurries from ocean effect snow showers on Wednesday as winds turn northerly due to a coastal storm wind field impacting Cape Cod. No accumulations are likely. I am not sold on the storm potential this upcoming weekend. It looks mundane at best. Just a passing cold outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, Toekneeweather said: If I ever wanted to see a model look 144 hrs away I would choose this! You live in west NC or something, if so congrats on that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 The timing of the models with this system reminds of a potential storm that is going to happen. With the number of questions left to be answered, it could very well become a storm like Blizzard of 2016. Again the odds are really low at this time, but given we are six-plus days out, you never know for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Well...some you know were 2 of many That’s a CONUS point Of view from Mike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: That’s a CONUS point Of view from Mike. You mean it’s not AEMATT? I still think we get a day or two of legit torch (+10F) sometime before Christmas. One blip...but not a torch pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 I think Cape Cod needs to watch this H5 low that develops right off the coast of ACK. The hires NAM is bringing some snow over the region, the front from the northwest and the coastal storm offshore could spark some outbreaks of snow showers on the coastline. 850mb temps drop to around -10C over the coastline while ocean temps near 9-10C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 11 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The timing of the models with this system reminds of a potential storm that is going to happen. With the number of questions left to be answered, it could very well become a storm like Blizzard of 2016. Again the odds are really low at this time, but given we are six-plus days out, you never know for sure. You'll be interested to know that TWC was just hyping that system. Under their scenario #1 they said all interests from Boston to DC should be monitoring this system for potential northeaster. Of course scenario #2 was OTS, but they didn't have a preference for one over the other, saying anything can happen, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: You'll be interested to know that TWC was just hyping that system. Under their scenario #1 they said all interests from Boston to DC should be monitoring this system for potential northeaster. Of course scenario #2 was OTS, but they didn't have a preference for one over the other, saying anything can happen, lol. Kinda like Wolf if he was an on air forecaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Why? Miller A s can be fantastic especially for the coast. Lets do Dec 21 09 again You must've loved that one. I remember the main deform set up just to my east and New London county down to LI got nailed. Still picked up a solid 10", so it was a win. Sign me up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If you're looking for jackpot....move on. This isn't it. Best case scenario is relative scraps after the mid atl gets nailed. #millerablows I hate um 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 I hope NC gets nailed, very rare for them to ever get anything. DC might get a good hit as well. The rest of us will probably have to wait till end of December, maybe even near Xmas. No Grinch this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 This no snow angst reminds me of the talk in December 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: This no snow angst reminds me of the talk in December 2010. I'll take another 21" Jan '11 deformation band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: This no snow angst reminds me of the talk in December 2010. Just inexperienced weenie fooder. The vets who been in the game for years, know the animal that lays beneath. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 hours ago, Zach’s Pop said: Not at all. 4 or 5 days of nice weather will be great. But that is very different of what a couple of you were preaching last week. Pattern recognition is what separates the men from the boys. Hopefully some of you become men someday I took full advantage, man....got all of the leaves up and installed the new weather station. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I took full advantage, man....got all of the leaves up. Hopefully after the next system whiffs I can melt a little more snow and get mine up. I have a hunch I won't be raking them up until April though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: I'll take another 21" Jan '11 deformation band. I’ll take the 13” of man snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Didn't Kevin say last week two white events this week for sne? Sent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toekneeweather Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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