STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 8 hours ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Could this be the dreaded triple phased jet storm? Get in the basement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 40 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Still think this is warm/wet outcome for most, on the 9th/10th. VT and ME in best spots for snow. Better than the Carolinas and Virginia, that's a bold statement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 All I’m seeing is that the heights over the eastern CONUS continue to trend higher, as they have over the past several days. I also said several days back that this “blocky” look across guidance will fade over time and that is also trending favorably. I also think (with high confidence) that PV lobe will drop in, and is being telegraphed by a plunge in the AO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 When cmc at d5+ makes the most sense, you drank too much wine at the vatican. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: When cmc at d5+ makes the most sense, you drank too much wine at the vatican. Hah. No one said the CMC will hold that solution, or anything close to it... Thats my forecast. Maybe I’m way off. That’s just what I’m seeing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Hah. No one said the CMC will hold that solution, or anything close to it... Thats my forecast. Maybe I’m way off. That’s just what I’m seeing.. I kid wit ya. It does make sense guidance overdoing the low heights to our NE. This is why we think it comes north inside d5. I dont think it’s enough to take the low over the CT river though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Hah. No one said the CMC will hold that solution, or anything close to it... Thats my forecast. Maybe I’m way off. That’s just what I’m seeing.. Shouldn't while a phase leads to a more amped solution, it is also a colder solution with the PV lobe involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 13 minutes ago, jbenedet said: All I’m seeing is that the heights over the eastern CONUS continue to trend higher, as they have over the past several days. I also said several days back that this “blocky” look across guidance will fade over time and that is also trending favorably. I also think (with high confidence) that PV lobe will drop in, and is being telegraphed by a plunge in the AO. JB do you think this is considered a triple phase jet storm with the PV lobe diving in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 40 minutes ago, jbenedet said: What’s your forecast? I think suppression is the most likely. I was fooling around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 I think the mid-level lift will overspread the Cape and Islands from our mid-level trough with southeasterly 500mb winds over the area. It will be interesting to see tomorrow what the water vapor shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 When someone sticks their neck out and puts a forecast and reasoning out over a week ahead of time. Much respect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I think the mid-level lift will overspread the Cape and Islands from our mid-level trough with southeasterly 500mb winds over the area. It will be interesting to see tomorrow what the water vapor shows. Buy a raft and set a drift SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Buy a raft and set a drift SE Our shortwave is producing light snow over St. Louis, MO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Our shortwave is producing light snow over St. Louis, MO You may see a flake. Literally. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Our shortwave is producing light snow over St. Louis, MO I wore shorts during my workout yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: I wore shorts during my workout yesterday. Did you stay at a Motel 6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Stop with this nonsense. Go create a cape cod only thread for clouds and a possible flurry. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: I wore shorts during my workout yesterday. I’d have you squatting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’d have you squatting I did legs yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Congrats Boone NC again this Am, what a blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’d have you squatting That was after coffee this morning.... felt good to have it nominally chilly this morning. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 MA special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I did legs n eggs yesterday. Golden Banana ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: MA special. All signs say it, what might be a long shot for us is the development close to the coast of a secondary from the upper energy left behind, other wise congrats NC Mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 No doubt the it’s coming now. Big bump nw EPS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, Ginx snewx said: All signs say it, what might be a long shot for us is the development close to the coast of a secondary from the upper energy left behind, other wise congrats NC Mountains Just gotta watch that northern stream energy. Could be suppression depression for many in here jonesing for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: No doubt the it’s coming now. Big bump nw EPS Weird to see the south getting alot of snow this early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: All signs say it, what might be a long shot for us is the development close to the coast of a secondary from the upper energy left behind, other wise congrats NC Mountains It may come north, but I'm sort of 50/50 on it. We know how these go, and Chris gave some interesting thoughts about the sampling up there regarding satellite. Makes sense, to. So I'm open to the possibility of some sort of impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: No doubt the it’s coming now. Big bump nw EPS I didn't see a big bump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2018 Share Posted December 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Weird to see the south getting alot of snow this early 2004 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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