powderfreak Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: Seems like mid level temps are better for snowgrowth further north and west and into the elevations too? THat's more or less what I meant to say, didn't come across like that. I'm not reading this as a huge difference in those things you mentioned. WAA isentropic lift and the thermal profiles should produce accumulating snows at all elevations just away from the oceans influence. Mid-level banding and such will be a nowcast probably for the second half of the event but the first thump stage looks pretty uniform to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: I'm not reading this as a huge difference in those things you mentioned. WAA isentropic lift and the thermal profiles should produce accumulating snows at all elevations just away from the oceans influence. Mid-level banding and such will be a nowcast probably for the second half of the event but the first thump stage looks pretty uniform to me. Yeah that first thump will be it for most then a dry slot punches through to the MA/NH border. Mid level's look great from ALB, VT, NH, ME as it organizes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: Yeah that first thump will be it for most then a dry slot punches through to the MA/NH border. Mid level's look great from ALB, VT, NH, ME as it organizes. How did you do in that immediate post Election Day 2012? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: How did you do in that immediate post Election Day 2012? I actually have no idea. Was living in Baltimore at the time. My amazing 3 years/2 winters with a total of around 2-3".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: How did you do in that immediate post Election Day 2012? His area did awful. There was a line over BOS. Anyone east of kenmore/back bay got royally porked. I think even your area got 5-6" in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: His area did awful. There was a line over BOS. Anyone east of kenmore/back bay got royally porked. I think even your area got 5-6" in that. Think we're looking at the same deal here but not 5-6" that close to the city. More 2-4" possible for a place just west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 6 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: Yeah that first thump will be it for most then a dry slot punches through to the MA/NH border. Mid level's look great from ALB, VT, NH, ME as it organizes. The ULL goes south of LI. That’s part 2 . By then it’ll be rain for you and ice inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah elevation won’t matter. It’s a matter of getting away from marine influence. Dang...hoping for some ocean enhancement once we get going in DJF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Going to be interesting trying to get a feel for my new climo, and how often I retain the cold.....this should be a good first test. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Euro looks a touch colder than 00z. (I don't have access to the off hour nonesense) Prett decent thump for a good chunk of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro looks a touch colder than 00z. (I don't have access to the off hour nonesense) Prett decent thump for a good chunk of SNE. I was going to leave wxbell for that, but figured I'd stay because I'm used to it, and I will end up divorced if I have access to 4 Euro runs daily. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 We Thump!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Still thinking 2 to 5 here then ip/zr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Euro is a good trump just inland. The key is obviously how good will that be. Is it one band that’s 15 miles wide that Gaines moderate snow for a half hour or is it a meaty 25+dGZ area that helps limit warming for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, ineedsnow said: Still thinking 2 to 5 here then ip/zr I would take under on 5. But solid 2-3 and some crust for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: I would take under on 5. But solid 2-3 and some crust for sure. We will need a NAM-Esque or GGEM type front end thump to get 5-8"...prob not happening. But advisory def looks like a good bet over the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I would take under on 5" with me. But solid 2-3" and some crust on the undies for sure. Ehhh......how does the storm look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNurse Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 I got 7" here in Bartlett, NH before the change over to rain. Kids didn't even get a delay. Left a polite message for the superintendent wondering why he gambled with our children's safety. Plow guy JUST now made it to my house to plow me out! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ehhh......how does the storm look? My number for you would be 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: My number for you would be 3" I agree....3" snowfall here would be golden. No complaints. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Euro actually Thumpity the south coast better than inland. 4 plus to Mass Pike 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: We will need a NAM-Esque or GGEM type front end thump to get 5-8"...prob not happening. But advisory def looks like a good bet over the interior. Yep, agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Sorry--for those of us no longer in SNE, can you give your thoughts for those of us up north? Is the mid-level low passing a bit too far south for us to cash in? It appears to be the case.....but you know, qpf and all..... 43* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I agree....3" snowfall here would be golden. No complaints. Your lat may help. I'd say 2-3 a decent bet. Maybe more if NAM or Canadian happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 6 minutes ago, WeatherNurse said: I got 7" here in Bartlett, NH before the change over to rain. Kids didn't even get a delay. Left a polite message for the superintendent wondering why he gambled with our children's safety. Plow guy JUST now made it to my house to plow me out! If ever in doubt, school districts (and parents) should err on the side of safety. Busses in God's country have chains and AWD, correct? Or are they all tracked vehicles now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Your lat may help. I'd say 2-3 a decent bet. Maybe more if NAM or Canadian happen. It should help...this is a SWFE, and I'm closer to the cold source. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Sorry--for those of us no longer in SNE, can you give your thoughts for those of us up north? Is the mid-level low passing a bit too far south for us to cash in? It appears to be the case.....but you know, qpf and all..... 43* 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Your lat may help. I'd say 2-3 a decent bet. Maybe more if NAM or Canadian happen. I’ve seen some models that wanna maximize that thump S of pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Thumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’ve seen some models that wanna maximize that thump S of pike I'd bet against that right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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