ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Are we the usual 27-28 degree dry powder? At least for the first 4-6 hours it will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 They had a trace at IAW and might get another at Hobby. I will just assume good omens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 NAM still thumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Nam is icebox cold. We pound we thump we mostly snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 NAM is stupid cold to start. Look at that massive area below 850mb, -8C or so near 900mb? It also has a good thump to 500mb where the DGZ is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Yeah NAM gone wild. Too bad it's the NAM. It's an impressive solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nam is icebox cold. We pound we thump we mostly snow It's got a heck of a warm tongue. But look at the soundings thursday evening/night. A massive area from near 850-700 near -1C for a time. That's probably the lift from above creating those massive dendrites to help offset warming. At least on NAM verbatim. It's also a large warm area so that tells me we'll need the big lift or we go to pellets quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 no...it's not. sorry - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah it's an ice box just inland. Even on the coast, if you can get a few miles inland, the flow is light enough where it could be 32-33 snow for a time. The flow is E-ESE so places like TAN could get it on it. It's not a stout, killer onshore flow until dawn. That's usually my experience. If the flow is light enough, you'll start out as snow. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if we scored 2-3” and then turns to some light rain before it shuts off. I think anywhere more than 5 miles away from the water had a shot at first inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I wouldn’t be surprised at all if we scored 2-3” and then turns to some light rain before it shuts off. I think anywhere more than 5 miles away from the water had a shot at first inch or two. It would have to work out perfectly. I’m not gonna stray far from conservative here near water, but interior areas near you and north may do ok relatively speaking. Anyways still early so be happy with a coating lol. Hopefully we start seeing guidance show this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Yes it is - not sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: no...it's not. sorry - 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes it is - not sorry The Real Housewives of Weenie Valley 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It would have to work out perfectly. I’m not gonna stray far from conservative here near water, but interior areas near you and north may do ok relatively speaking. Anyways still early so be happy with a coating lol. Hopefully we start seeing guidance show this. Yeah... anything before mid December is gravy in my book. This is interesting though. I work in Duxbury, about a mile or less from the water, so obviously expecting very little there’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Looking good for first flakes and first measurable for me. NAM is weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's got a heck of a warm tongue. But look at the soundings thursday evening/night. A massive area from near 850-700 near -1C for a time. That's probably the lift from above creating those massive dendrites to help offset warming. At least on NAM verbatim. It's also a large warm area so that tells me we'll need the big lift or we go to pellets quickly. Check out that bent back WF sig at 57-60 hours. That's prob pounding 1-2" per hour in that zone before the flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 EPS pretty much guaranteeing 3+ for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 18z NAM is best case scenario. Colder yet, snowing heavily at 54(unless theres a warm layer somewhere ,700, and surface below freezing before a torch and dryslot thereafter. Edit- was for NYC thread sorry... applicable for SNE though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yes it is - not sorry wasnt' talking to you ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Ok sorry- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Warm tongues seem to punch through faster than modeled too Ping ping ping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Looking good for first flakes and first measurable for me. NAM is weenie. Yep. We open the books. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: wasnt' talking to you ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Check out that bent back WF sig at 57-60 hours. That's prob pounding 1-2" per hour in that zone before the flip. It’s parakeets and bengal tigers smacking into polar bears and snowy owls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 And it begins 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 13, 2018 Author Share Posted November 13, 2018 Our team is staying with 2-4” for the state as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: I had to say it lol. Enjoy it..pretty sick start to season. There's definitely going to be some great skiing this Thanksgiving. Just about 15" total to date in my valley location, and much more at the higher elevations... pretty crazy for November 13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 I think trace will be final measurement at Logan and much of coastal 128, the more and more I consider this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Our team is staying with 2-4” for the state as well. B team? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 NAM is much colder for Cape Cod, shows 3" of snow falling even at Chatham, MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 13, 2018 Share Posted November 13, 2018 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: NAM is much colder for Cape Cod, shows 3" of snow falling even at Chatham, MA There is no prayer for snow on Cape Cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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