CoastalWx Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s amazing how much that group fights warmth. We’ve furnaced thru almost +6 thru the first 5 days of the month relative to time of year. And next week will probably get us up up +8 for the month. But because a few sheltered valleys in Maine had a frost at 33, and a sleet pellet fell on the Canadian border it hasn’t been endless summer. This crew is something else . You’ll be there in one month. I look forward to torturing you then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 6, 2018 Author Share Posted October 6, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: You’ll be there in one month. I look forward to torturing you then. I of course prefer chill and seasons in season, but I can also admit when we are torching and furnacing like we have in September and now Oct. There’s a difference between admitting it and trying to deny it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I of course prefer chill and seasons in season, but I can also admit when we are torching and furnacing like we have in September and now Oct. There’s a difference between admitting it and trying to deny it With Nino kicking in, the overall furnace ends late next week. It doesn’t mean we can’t have AN temps, but not like we’ve seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Today’s wx sure went downhill the last 24 hours. From sunny and 70 to cloudy and 60. They’ve blown these short term forecasts all summer and fall so far . Today looks fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 I take that back, just saw satellite. Hopefully some of that dissolves as it moves east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Last minute change...yesterday at 6:00 pm Ryan mentioned that there was some low level clouds down around Jersey....and he said he was afraid they were going to drift north...and plague us today; especially western and central areas. Looks to be the case unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: I of course prefer chill and seasons in season, but I can also admit when we are torching and furnacing like we have in September and now Oct. There’s a difference between admitting it and trying to deny it I haven't read any posts that deny it's been above normal. I think what some are debating are the "endless summer" calls of highs in the 80s "from now on". Yeah, it's been warm and we've even had a day or too with higher dp's but for the most part the daytime highs have not been summer like. Sure we're +5 or whatever for October but if we had a week of highs averaging 64°, I don't think anyone would be saying it was warm weather. It's all relative. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 So I went back to see how the call of the so-called "all cold crew" went against the "seasons in seasons crew" and we can just see who had the better call: The seasons in seasons crew said on 9/27 " There’s going to be several days next week in the low- mid 80’s with dews. Please look at modeling" followed by "Lol at 70-75 and 50" So the cold crew correctly called for temps in the 70s while the seasons crew called for 80s yet some how the cold crew is in denial? Of course the seasons crew is now focusing on next week with calls of "When it’s 87 /69 in CON or BTV next week .. let’s revisit". Again the so-called cold crew has tempered expectations and they are in denial? Sure we're above normal and I haven't seen anyone deny that but just because someone counters an extreme call doesn't mean that they are in denial. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Excellent post Herb...and that has been my point, and the All cold crews point from the beginning, and our only point. But some how it always gets twisted, and made to look like denial or ignorance by some. Great summary of what has really transpired with this debate....and not a twisted and skewed view of the facts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 12 hours ago, BRSno said: Thoughts on Oct 11/12? Depends on what future Michael does.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 So I went back to see how the call of the so-called "all cold crew" went against the "seasons in seasons crew" and we can just see who had the better call: The seasons in seasons crew said on 9/27 " There’s going to be several days next week in the low- mid 80’s with dews. Please look at modeling" followed by "Lol at 70-75 and 50" So the cold crew correctly called for temps in the 70s while the seasons crew called for 80s yet some how the cold crew is in denial? Of course the seasons crew is now focusing on next week with calls of "When it’s 87 /69 in CON or BTV next week .. let’s revisit". Again the so-called cold crew has tempered expectations and they are in denial? Sure we're above normal and I haven't seen anyone deny that but just because someone counters an extreme call doesn't mean that they are in denial.Glad I'm in the WGAFCSent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Got down to mid 40s, but either wind or clouds cane in because temp slowly crept up. Woke up at 530 and temp was 45... not sure what we made it down to. But it was 40 at like 10:30 and I thought we would keep plunging into the 30s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Ran my central air maybe 2 nights the last month? Electric bill was a third of what it was for August and first few days of September. We take that. Shows the seasonal step down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 27 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Ran my central air maybe 2 nights the last month? Electric bill was a third of what it was for August and first few days of September. We take that. Shows the seasonal step down Yeah. My bill for July and August were horrific. Hopefully my September one will come in more reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 So I was stowed away for a week , unbelievably. Fast foliage change here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So I was stowed away for a week , unbelievably. Fast foliage change here. Welcome back to the land of the living! Hope you're on a better path now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 7 minutes ago, MetHerb said: Welcome back to the land of the living! Hope you're on a better path now... Thanks day by day. Appears my skiing life is over and probably most extreme sports I enjoy, that’s O K no regrets and did things some never had the chance to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 38 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Thanks day by day. Appears my skiing life is over and probably most extreme sports I enjoy, that’s O K no regrets and did things some never had the chance to Damn boy. Not the news I wanted to hear from you post-op. Rest up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Thanks day by day. Appears my skiing life is over and probably most extreme sports I enjoy, that’s O K no regrets and did things some never had the chance to Really? Forever? Man that sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Center of future Michael moves over us in about 5 days on the 12z gfs. More rain we dont need Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Thanks day by day. Appears my skiing life is over and probably most extreme sports I enjoy, that’s O K no regrets and did things some never had the chance to You can always spoon Tequila Barry and go on a toboggan together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 If the GFs happens it would do two things. Slam dews in the 70s over us, and maybe give some SVR? That would be a torch though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 I actually agree to some extend, re Kevin's sentiment up there about blowing the short terms... But, it's hard to say if 'sentiment' fits the fact. We were discussing that (elsewhere) this morning, how there seems to be a recent 'optimistic' bias in cloud contamination vs clear that's gone on really since the end of August. It might be interesting ...albeit tedious, to compare cloud against forecasts - gee ...not sure where to even go to find that. Not sure about the temperatures, but with clouds seemingly abundant ... it might be keeping highs down with lows high - lousy way to run an "above normal" pattern, huh - we get no benefits from it :/ ... I really couldn't care less if it's 54 F at 2am ... but I'd really would rather it be 75 mid afternoon until the 2nd week of November then go Zurich cold with old dog-bark mornings from under your car's hood - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 As an after thought ... we just passed through about a +2 standard deviation accumulated precipitation episode spanning the last 45 days or whatever it's been ... Might be hard to establish clear air under inversions with so much continental -scale sized moisture abundance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: If the GFs happens it would do two things. Slam dews in the 70s over us, and maybe give some SVR? That would be a torch though. Ugh. Friggin backdoor threat Thursday. I hope that confluence trends weaker north of ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Gfs says first freeze for many in SNE next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Thanks day by day. Appears my skiing life is over and probably most extreme sports I enjoy, that’s O K no regrets and did things some never had the chance to Get well Steve! Limits either by age or orthopedics happen to all of us. You WILL be able to be out in the snow. Snow shoeing is a lot of fun and great exercise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 Euro blows up a nice gale in our vicinity at 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 6, 2018 Share Posted October 6, 2018 6 hours ago, MetHerb said: I haven't read any posts that deny it's been above normal. I think what some are debating are the "endless summer" calls of highs in the 80s "from now on". Yeah, it's been warm and we've even had a day or too with higher dp's but for the most part the daytime highs have not been summer like. Sure we're +5 or whatever for October but if we had a week of highs averaging 64°, I don't think anyone would be saying it was warm weather. It's all relative. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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