dendrite Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You may get sultaned tonight. Keep the cox above water. We just can’t dry out and everything going dormant isn’t helping water uptake. I saw that SOS line you were talking about on multiple models. I fully expect it to center over me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Just emptied 1.31" and looks like we may have up to another inch to go for this duel low system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 20 minutes ago, dendrite said: We just can’t dry out and everything going dormant isn’t helping water uptake. I saw that SOS line you were talking about on multiple models. I fully expect it to center over me. What a difference its been from your place over to here. We have finally been getting some rain over the last 4-6 weeks but before that it had been dry to the point that people with wells were starting to have issues. As PF pointed out in the post below yours, we seem to be coming out of that now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 30 minutes ago, mreaves said: What a difference its been from your place over to here. We have finally been getting some rain over the last 4-6 weeks but before that it had been dry to the point that people with wells were starting to have issues. As PF pointed out in the post below yours, we seem to be coming out of that now. All of the cocorahs stations here are about 2ft since July. I’ll have to add my totals up at home later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 35 minutes ago, mreaves said: What a difference its been from your place over to here. We have finally been getting some rain over the last 4-6 weeks but before that it had been dry to the point that people with wells were starting to have issues. As PF pointed out in the post below yours, we seem to be coming out of that now. We missed most of the July and August rains, but it certainly hasn't felt like a drought with above normal rain in September and well above normal rain in October....and looks to continue now in November. There was standing water in my yard this morning. Hopefully this means the precip anomalies are moving in up here for the winter . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: We missed most of the July and August rains, but it certainly hasn't felt like a drought with above normal rain in September and well above normal rain in October....and looks to continue now in November. There was standing water in my yard this morning. Hopefully this means the precip anomalies are moving in up here for the winter . Wet begets wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Wet begets wet. Looks like around 10" here since September 1st. Wet Met Fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Maybe we see a little sun on Sunday? No sun this week and maybe Sunday will be the only day with a shot of sun in a 2 week period? WTF at this forecast. More multi-day rainers again next week. Monday Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 40s. Monday Night Showers likely. Lows around 40. Chance of rain 60 percent. Tuesday Showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 60 percent. Tuesday Night Rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Chance of rain 80 percent. Wednesday Rain. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 80 percent. Wednesday Night Showers likely. Lows around 40. Chance of rain 60 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Happy Birthday DIT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Happy Birthday King Weenie! Roll around nude on your neighbor's lawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Happy Birthday DIT. Damaging, hurricane force NW gusts this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 3 hours ago, dendrite said: We just can’t dry out and everything going dormant isn’t helping water uptake. Once the trees go dormant, so do most of our log jobs - until freeze-up. Contractors know to plan for maintaining their iron in November. (And again in spring - 2 mud seasons here) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Time to un-pin the two October threads, especially that storm thread from a week ago. Good pre-season training . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Wow, pouring, again. #endlessrain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Gonna need the sultan signal soon into NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Gonna need the sultan signal soon into NH Could be trouble if he’s still on the DL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 1.2" today. Yay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 1 hour ago, mreaves said: Could be trouble if he’s still on the DL. We DL . I am at 63 plus rain for the year. Crazy wet, looks like I blow away 2011 58 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 7 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: 1.2" today. Yay. eager to see what you report from the overnight. Meanwhile, methinks BOX is being a bit aggressive for the winds in GC. They have us in an advisory which I think makes sense, but the p/c and zfp both have this. Today Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then scattered showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Areas of fog before 1pm. Temperature rising to near 55 by 11am, then falling to around 45 during the remainder of the day. Breezy, with a light and variable wind becoming west 15 to 20 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 32. West wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. I'd shave 15 mph off of both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Winds are almost always overdone in those...that being said, even winds in the 30s are fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Winds are almost always overdone in those...that being said, even winds in the 30s are fun Yeah--those gusts are exceeding the advisory they have in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Take the under on the winds for interior west zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Anyone been to the new MGM in Springfield? Thinking of checking it out today. Have to bring my wife to BDL so I will be right in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 9 minutes ago, BrianW said: Anyone been to the new MGM in Springfield? Thinking of checking it out today. Have to bring my wife to BDL so I will be right in the area. There is a drink there that costs $28000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 13 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Take the under on the winds for interior west zones. GYX has lower gusts at Pit 2 (with a high wind warning) than BOX does for GC. Bring them way down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 3 hours ago, moneypitmike said: eager to see what you report from the overnight. Meanwhile, methinks BOX is being a bit aggressive for the winds in GC. They have us in an advisory which I think makes sense, but the p/c and zfp both have this. Today Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then scattered showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Areas of fog before 1pm. Temperature rising to near 55 by 11am, then falling to around 45 during the remainder of the day. Breezy, with a light and variable wind becoming west 15 to 20 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 32. West wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. I'd shave 15 mph off of both. I'm more concerned with the susatined 15-20 coupled with gusts to 60 mph. Gust factors of 4 are basically unheard of without some wonky convective influences. In general a typical CAA wind event is about a 1.5 gust factor, but a stronger or strongly forced event could be around 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 I’d like to see 2018 rain totals for the region. Have to be close to breaking records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 16 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I'm more concerned with the susatined 15-20 coupled with gusts to 60 mph. Gust factors of 4 are basically unheard of without some wonky convective influences. In general a typical CAA wind event is about a 1.5 gust factor, but a stronger or strongly forced event could be around 2. So gusts 30-40. Sounds closer to reality. The only real risk for damage in SNE will be in NE Mass. Fun up by you though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: So gusts 30-40. Sounds closer to reality. The only real risk for damage in SNE will be in NE Mass. Fun up by you though. Probably somewhere between the two. I would increase sustained and lower gusts. But there is a window for you too, around 20z, where a rouge 60 mph is not out of the question. Again, I would hedge more towards 50 mph, but a couple models do support higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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