CapturedNature Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 The back is broken climo wise...we are on the downward trend. You can talk about the different markers for the different steps but we are no longer climbing the climo ladder. We are descending...into what is to be determined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 17 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Dont know who is cold mongering most of the forum hopes we go back to 85 over 55 but I guess thats what you call cold, anyway back broken we descend. Noticing more leaves in the yard its downward slide time. Couple of weeks begins the best part of summer with all the kiddies back in school, tourists back home and water perfect. We mank Pretty colors won’t change it. I don’t see a pattern change other than the natural erosion of big heat potential as the season progresses. EPS H5 11-15 is warm. The beat goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 8 minutes ago, MetHerb said: The back is broken climo wise...we are on the downward trend. You can talk about the different markers for the different steps but we are no longer climbing the climo ladder. We are descending...into what is to be determined. Fair enough. Just like on January 20th Winter's back breaks and climo starts rising again (at least at BTV) but you've got a lot of winter left. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 19 minutes ago, weathafella said: Pretty colors won’t change it. I don’t see a pattern change other than the natural erosion of big heat potential as the season progresses. EPS H5 11-15 is warm. The beat goes on. We hot and humid overall well into September . Maybe things move around a bit after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 24 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Fair enough. Just like on January 20th Winter's back breaks and climo starts rising again (at least at BTV) but you've got a lot of winter left. Ha, you can won’t get this board to admit that on 1/20. Climo wise it may be broken, but Mother Nature can **** on climo all she wants. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 10, 2018 Author Share Posted August 10, 2018 21 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Fair enough. Just like on January 20th Winter's back breaks and climo starts rising again (at least at BTV) but you've got a lot of winter left. I don't think that's fair -- climate and pattern is apples and oranges. The purpose of back break jargon relates(ed) to pattern, but again "fairness" i'll be a moot point when it comes to subjectivity. I wasn't merely saying climate when I, personally, coined the expression. They'd no putpose for doing that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We hot and humid overall well into September . Maybe things move around a bit after that I'm guessing right around 10/1? Frost and cold shots will appear? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 10, 2018 Author Share Posted August 10, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm guessing right around 10/1? Frost and cold shots will appear? Lol. I think you mean 4th period watches... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: Haha what? Because of "Mother Nature loves her averages?" That's more tongue in cheek but usually if a long dry spell, a wet period is often in the card after that. Everything averages out in the end more often than not. Maybe when we flip the switch to winter in October or whenever it happens, we'll see a lot more precip up here was the rub and sort of a joke seeing as it's been a very dry summer. I've always thought I'm pretty objective with no real agenda but still not sure how that statement as it relates to precip ebbs and flows leads to an agenda driven post... Not to worry - some days back, I got a similar kind of response for commenting that "normal" wx is merely the average of abnormal wx. This met summer is shaping up to be one of my warmest here, despite the BN June, and this month has a good shot at being the warmest August of our 21 years in the foothills. However, it's also a fact (noted earlier - in the banter thread?) that my average daily mean drops below 65° today for the 1st time since July 8, and it's all downhill for the next 5 months. I fully expect some semi-autumnal days later this month (maybe much later) but we're not about to go all August 1988, when the 1st half of the month was about +8 and the 2nd half -4. (Gardiner, where we lived in 1988, had avg temp of 77 for 1st half and 63 for 2nd half, with daily averages dropping a bit more than 2° 1st half/2nd half.) Fair enough. Just like on January 20th Winter's back breaks and climo starts rising again (at least at BTV) but you've got a lot of winter left. Temps start rising, true, but the midpoint of my snowfall season comes as Jan moves to Feb. That's unlike classic summer storminess; on average 2/3 of TS here come prior to August 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 10, 2018 Author Share Posted August 10, 2018 1 minute ago, tamarack said: Not to worry - some days back, I got a similar kind of response for commenting that "normal" wx is merely the average of abnormal wx. This met summer is shaping up to be one of my warmest here, despite the BN June, and this month has a good shot at being the warmest August of our 21 years in the foothills. However, it's also a fact (noted earlier - in the banter thread?) that my average daily mean drops below 65° today for the 1st time since July 8, and it's all downhill for the next 5 months. I fully expect some semi-autumnal days later this month (maybe much later) but we're not about to go all August 1988, when the 1st half of the month was about +8 and the 2nd half -4. (Gardiner, where we lived in 1988, had avg temp of 77 for 1st half and 63 for 2nd half, with daily averages dropping a bit more than 2° 1st half/2nd half.) Yeah ... no, this implies I had some agenda when if you read what I said, it wasn't the same. So it's not "similar" really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah ... no, this implies I had some agenda when if you read what I said, it wasn't the same. So it's not "similar" really No agenda, just your frequent mind-probing discussions. It's all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 Temps may drop climo wise, but Mother nature doesn’t really want to agree. #deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm guessing right around 10/1? Frost and cold shots will appear? Maybe we stay hot and humid straight through winter. Just a never ending hhh wave that connects with spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 10, 2018 Author Share Posted August 10, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Temps may drop climo wise, but Mother nature doesn’t really want to agree. #deal Its more than less what I'd say to the climate part of that. Yes. When it does ... we can talk about breaking stuff. Some may argue the pattern has ... but tend to disagree - for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Temps may drop climo wise, but Mother nature doesn’t really want to agree. #deal Agreed completely. Same in winter. Averages may rise starting the last third of January, but February can also be the coldest month sometimes. Just like August can be the hottest month despite the downward climo trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: As far as your ending sentiment...I prefer not to rush..and in fact, am so good at it, that I actually just get bitter - haha. Like, so deeply stooped in acceptance, my mood is right down there with it. Especially in spring... Oh man don't get me started about April - what a gosh-forsaken wasteland of, to warm to snow and too cold to care that is that 30 ... I think you and I would get along. You sound like I do in April! It is one awful part of the year. I always get bitter/sad at the end of summer and winter. The fall isn't bad, but something about thunderstorms in summer and winter snow storms are just truly amazing. Once everyone starts saying they are done with winter, I'm usually thinking one more snow and ski trip! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: I'm guessing right around 10/1? Frost and cold shots will appear? Sorry you haven’t enjoyed this summer of yore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Sorry you haven’t enjoyed this summer of yore I've really enjoyed the torrential rain every other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 I think we can put today in the top 10 day bucket for NNE. 76/52 clear, dark blue skies, light breeze unlimited vis. After so many 60-70F+ dew days, dry air feels amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 1 hour ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: I've really enjoyed the torrential rain every other day. Yeah, the farmers in Franklin Co (biggest ag county in MA) have been especially pleased with the rotting ground crops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah, the farmers in Franklin Co (biggest ag county in MA) have been especially pleased with the rotting ground crops. Stop stealing our rain . Some pretty crazy CoCoRAHS numbers from SVT through your area all the way down into CT/HFD area over the past 40 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted August 10, 2018 Share Posted August 10, 2018 2 hours ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: I've really enjoyed the torrential rain every other day. I have makes things interesting! Cooler weather is right around the corner.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 Flash flood watch here for rainfall tomorrow. The summer of yore continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 00z NAM and GFS are still pretty wet up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 6 hours ago, dendrite said: 00z NAM and GFS are still pretty wet up here. Tossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 32 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Tossed. Just like most tossed the 50’s they had for Highs today. Euro FTW again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just like most tossed the 50’s they had for Highs today. Euro FTW again Congrats on 68° and +RA instead of 63° and +RA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 6 minutes ago, dendrite said: Congrats on 68° and +RA instead of 63° and +RA. Warm front getting farther north than thought. 70-72 with dews there too later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Warm front getting farther north than thought. 70-72 with dews there too later on Opposite. Rain won’t get as far north, but cool NE winds will ensue. I figured guidance was overdoing the rain up here. I suppose a couple of showers may happen late today. 4-5” in Wareham last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 11, 2018 Share Posted August 11, 2018 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Opposite. Rain won’t get as far north, but cool NE winds will ensue. I figured guidance was overdoing the rain up here. I suppose a couple of showers may happen late today. 4-5” in Wareham last night. Warm front should reach near or just south of 90. Gulf of Maine water temps are in low-mid 70’s. So no coolng or dry in SNE. Unless you mean NNE. I didn’t know you were there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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