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March 13th ... west Atlantic bombogenesis type low clipping SE New England, more certain ...may be expanding inland

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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HIPPYVALLEY

HIPPYVALLEY

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Logan11 said:

Mitch is gonna get buried again I think.

I've liked the modeled W deform look better than last storm.  I'm still going conservative hear due to experience and valley but if Adams got 2'+ last storm it shows that anything is possible.  That place is generally as big a snow hole as Springfield. 

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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Posted
6 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said:

wait....is this like a joke? If so it is pretty funny. If not, could a norlun event happen within a larger scale storm?

heh... both I guess... 

Well.. the refusal to just phase the N/stream and capture this thing, collocate ...do the Fuki Wara as that happens, then the two trundling away into the graveyard SHOULD be happening, but the models refuse to do that... 

So what are they going to do with all that uber cold mid level trough closing off ...centered over roughly the PA/NY region?  

As that migrates over head ...the coastal storm seemingly violating physics in moving from inside it, to outside it ... all the while, vestigial jet-stream velocities continue circulating underneath... coastal storm aside, this latter evolution is typically found in the vicinity of Norlun events.  

So I was quasi kidding there with the Norlun but I suppose it wouldn't be ridiculous if one sort of got going... 

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J Paul Gordon

J Paul Gordon

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

heh... both I guess... 

Well.. the refusal to just phase the N/stream and capture this thing, collocate ...do the Fuki Wara as that happens, then the two trundling away into the graveyard SHOULD be happening, but the models refuse to do that... 

So what are they going to do with all that uber cold mid level trough closing off ...centered over roughly the PA/NY region?  

As that migrates over head ...the coastal storm seemingly violating physics in moving from inside it, to outside it ... all the while, vestigial jet-stream velocities continue circulating underneath... coastal storm aside, this latter evolution is typically found in the vicinity of Norlun events.  

So I was quasi kidding there 

It sounds quite fascinating at any rate!

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Logan11

Logan11

Posted
Posted

I suppose the inch of qpf they generate out here for me is sort of from a quasi Norlun.

5 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

heh... both I guess... 

Well.. the refusal to just phase the N/stream and capture this thing, collocate ...do the Fuki Wara as that happens, then the two trundling away into the graveyard SHOULD be happening, but the models refuse to do that... 

So what are they going to do with all that uber cold mid level trough closing off ...centered over roughly the PA/NY region?  

As that migrates over head ...the coastal storm seemingly violating physics in moving from inside it, to outside it ... all the while, vestigial jet-stream velocities continue circulating underneath... coastal storm aside, this latter evolution is typically found in the vicinity of Norlun events.  

So I was quasi kidding there with the Norlun but I suppose it wouldn't be ridiculous if one sort of got going... 

 

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powderfreak

powderfreak

Posted
Posted
17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Ukie qpf on that site doesn't go past 72 hours. You'll have to ask ginxy to post one of the weather.us maps. 

The fact these lower resolution models are still showing big upslope has to be a pretty awesome sight for your eyes...seems like a classic setup. It looks so good that you'd prob get actual responses from the IMBY SNE crowd if there wasn't an imminent blizzard. 

Thanks for the info... I can never find UKMET QPF, lol. 

Yeah I'm just happy everyone can find something in this storm.  I don't have to sit here and passively aggressively try to get this to come west :lol:.  It's been a good signal for days.  Some negatives like wind speeds are pretty light, but when the global models start spitting healthy QPF that's usually the tell-tale sign up here. 

Good luck to all.

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powderfreak

powderfreak

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18 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said:

That has me at 0.25.  That’s way, way off anything I’ve seen for my area. Could b, but color me skeptical.

The BTV4 is at the end of its range out by you.  I think that's a function of it's grid not that it thinks Maine will only get a 0.25" near Augusta.

But you're right its odd.  I'm not sure I've seen that before.

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
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1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Thanks Will!  With all this last minute ramping up I feel pretty good.

Yeah not much to worry about in BOS metro area I dont think. Looks to be enough into the CCB that even a little unlucky exhaust from banding should not be a huge issue. I think 10-12 is the floor there....with a ceiling of 18+. 

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