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March or BUST! - Pattern & Model Discussion


Baroclinic Zone

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no what's interesting about this run...  I bet folks are focused on that arc of super heavy QPF curvi-linearly taunting E out around 96 hours but ... on whole that probably has a deformation band over us as opposed to over eastern NY - 

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1 minute ago, dryslot said:

That's a flag that this is coming west to me.

Yeah... we've seen that before.  It's kind of like betraying where there is better deep layer mechanical forcing is.  Then, as we get closer, the system may shed the focus on the convective or convective related sequencing/latent heat release with the further east low and ends up west.  How do we know which is which though.  some times Norluns are what we get -  

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