wxeyeNH Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Woops that was at 108. 985mb south of block island. Looks cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Ukie was a big hit too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Goes from South of Block Island to ENE. Give E sections over 1.5 qpf. Looks all frozen except Cape area.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 On Weatherbell. One inch total qpf from about Hartford up to Concord NH. East areas approach near 2" Lows pressure 985 to 987mb in our vicinity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 For the Euro's sake and bein' sort of in the hot seat, that's a good recovery run there. It's getting pretty close to schit or get off the pot time, and if it was going to stick with it's prior idea, ... it would be entering bust risk pretty much officially on this run being that it's a mere 4 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Euro is a nice blaster. Guidance at 12z lined up pretty nicely. I double checked Euro 925 and above and most of us are good which was never the case yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Is it time to start a thread for Wed or is not worth jinxing it yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 CNE and NNE still miss the brunt of the storm as it peels ENE but as you say Tip great recovery towards the other guidance. That's all we can hope for 4 days out... As you pointed earlier this even has the potential to be a bigger monster than a 985mb system if all came together.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: Is it time to start a thread for Wed or is not worth jinxing it yet? Maybe Tip should do that. The first few days of the other storm were all posted in the general thread. It was not till I teased everyone and posted the Euro clown maps on Tips thread did everyone start posting on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: Is it time to start a thread for Wed or is not worth jinxing it yet? Give it one more day. Right now it looks much more clear as far as snowfall compared to yesterday’s show. Nice, moderate event seems likely without too many curveballs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 That's pretty sweet, esp just inland. But the mid level track might argue paste near the coast too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Give it one more day. Right now it looks much more clear as far as snowfall compared to yesterday’s show. Nice, moderate event seems likely without too many curveballs Hopefully the guidance has a good idea right now. Prob more than just a moderate event if it goes like that. You'd prob see a good number of double digit totals on that setup. But keeping it conservative early on is usually the best way to go. Don't sleep on Mar 12th either. That one is loaded with potential too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Those weenie euro snow maps on Weather.us (well maybe not like the clown ones) are just pure paste down to PYM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Hopefully the guidance has a good idea right now. Prob more than just a moderate event if it goes like that. You'd prob see a good number of double digit totals on that setup. But keeping it conservative early on is usually the best way to go. Don't sleep on Mar 12th either. That one is loaded with potential too. I'm going to start a thread right now ... worded appropriate - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Tippy Jinx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 I basically am in a school right now that there are two significant events over the next 10 days to 2-weeks, then we're out for the season. Probably have a close call in early April engineered deliberately to make this look wrong even though it's still right ( ) but excluding permutations of such suspicious, albeit paranoid design ... I think after this two weeks it's more about dodging backdoor events, otherwise, we start greening lawns if perhaps two weeks earlier than normal ... Just going by the tenor of all and then seeing the NAO die a slow death ...what is likely to occur after. Being the Equinox probably isn't hurting this 100,000 foot assessment, either. By the way, we switch clocks ahead next week - ouch for model hobby, huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: I basically am in a school right now that there are two significant events over the next 10 days to 2-weeks, then we're out for the season. Probably have a close call in early April engineered deliberately to make this look wrong even though it's still right ( ) but excluding permutations of such suspicious, albeit paranoid design ... I think after this two weeks it's more about dodging backdoor events, otherwise, we start greening lawns if perhaps two weeks earlier than normal ... Just going by the tenor of all and then seeing the NAO die a slow death ...what is likely to occur after. Being the Equinox probably isn't hurting this 100,000 foot assessment, either. By the way, we switch clocks ahead next week - ouch for model hobby, huh But it makes for nicer grilling opportunities. We changed our deck to a screen porch and I had to move my grill. Hard to grill in the dark. I agree with you that this is winter’s last gasp coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Ok, on mobile, We can lock up that 12z Euro run now, Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ukie was a big hit too For whom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 26 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Maybe Tip should do that. The first few days of the other storm were all posted in the general thread. It was not till I teased everyone and posted the Euro clown maps on Tips thread did everyone start posting on it. How did his Juju work out not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: But it makes for nicer grilling opportunities. We changed our deck to a screen porch and I had to move my grill. Hard to grill in the dark. I agree with you that this is winter’s last gasp coming up. Longer ski days bro. Nothing better than skining up for last runs , watching a sunset all alone at 730 and skiing down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 Yes after next week I’m up for NAM during the week only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 I like this one! Can I get my first H500 capture and phase in the western Gulf of Maine? That would def make my season.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I like this one! Can I get my first H500 capture and phase in the western Gulf of Maine? That would def make my season.... Pretty sure it would make everyone’s season if it captured perfectly for their yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: For whom ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Pretty sure it would make everyone’s season if it captured perfectly for their yard. I’ve been wanting a GOM bomb since I moved here; never experienced one. I bring this up also bc I think this one has a really good shot. First one worth getting excited about in this regard... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: Well yeah, I'm looking at it for the mountains. IMO the GFS is way too elevational dependent with the QPF spread after its grid changed. It'll always highlights heavier precipitation where it thinks the terrain is, snow map aside. Just look at it for VT/NH and its just a rolling series of maxes and mins from mountains to valleys. Def. agree....absurd elevaion gradient all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 15 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I’ve been wanting a GOM bomb since I moved here; never experienced one. I bring this up also bc I think this one has a really good shot. First one worth getting excited about in this regard... They happen from time to time... I recall a couple huge tweener systems that backed 20+" into down east Maine. They were supposed to be big noreasters down this way, too, but the models all coalesced around it happening over western NS at the last minute. Usually we think of "smoking cirrus" as being systems suppressed south, but we had cirrus backing down from the N with bitter cold air and a stray flurry or two while CAR has bona fide blizzard. One or two them got as far S as PWM (Portsmouth) if I recall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 39 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I like this one! Can I get my first H500 capture and phase in the western Gulf of Maine? That would def make my season.... Yes it would as well as many others, Not quite sure what some on here are even talking about or even looking at, First of all, Maine is still part of the US, And the weds system tracks right thru the GOM in the bay of fundy which is a classic heavy snow track for most of SNE/CNE and NNE, I don't see where this went ENE missing most of NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 3, 2018 Share Posted March 3, 2018 13 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I’ve been wanting a GOM bomb since I moved here; never experienced one. I bring this up also bc I think this one has a really good shot. First one worth getting excited about in this regard... This one at early stages looks to have a fairly wide reach in circulation, I could go for a slow crawler into Maine with days of NW cyclonic flow upslope into NNE regions that like such things. I think this one has a chance to become more tucked in too, which is an odd thought for me as I run pessimistic in coastal storms lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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