Hoth Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: I have been to westerly before, Probably drove right by it. My cousin once had a date with her brother at that house. Stole a guitar pick out of his car haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 3" on the GEFS Mean now over NE MA up into NHand S ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GEFS still has spread to the north too...maybe low goes over dendrite's fanny? Don’t say that, flooding potential would be yuge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, StormSurge said: If you squint... Nice! Looks like shot roughly around the Jeffries' house? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, Hoth said: My cousin once had a date with her brother at that house. Stole a guitar pick out of his car haha. Today with all the video surveillance they would have had him on the ground before the car door closed...................lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, jbenedet said: Don’t say that, flooding potential would be yuge. Mostly tongue in cheek...it's hard to buy the GFS/GEFS suite (particularly the northern most ensemble members) given that all the other 12z guidance is way south of it. We'll see what the Euro says soon, but I'll bet it's more on the Ukie/GGEM train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Hoping euro goes weaker than 0z and toward bermuda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Who woulda thought the GFS would be the furthest north 3 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 gefs are useless now. they will follow the op wherever it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Glad we don’t live there Look again. Temps don't crash at 850 until just before 00z Saturday. By that time you've seen around 2" of rain on the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: gefs are useless now. they will follow the op wherever it goes. It seems the case especially once you get closer in. 4-5 days out, they can still offer some ideas, though even then they do tend to mimic the OP more than you'd like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Who woulda thought the GFS would be the furthest north 3 days out. Especially when 8 of those members were south of 35 N. Lat just 24 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: gefs are useless now. they will follow the op wherever it goes. I’ve noticed that this year, agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, ORH_wxman said: It seems the case especially once you get closer in. 4-5 days out, they can still offer some ideas, though even then they do tend to mimic the OP more than you'd like. Yeah, sorry I meant now that we are within 72 hours. Not, now as opposed to last year or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 5 minutes ago, Hoth said: Nice! Looks like shot roughly around the Jeffries' house? 5th tee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Mid levels are over Kevin's head and he's happy? Am I missing something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: Mid levels are over Kevin's head and he's happy? Am I missing something nope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Well there is a cut off to when you switch to the OP run, Where that is can be debatable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 I don't think we'll be hearing from our friend in MD today about the 40 inches from DC to ME, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: Mid levels are over Kevin's head and he's happy? Am I missing something You? No. Him? Reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 2 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: Mid levels are over Kevin's head and he's happy? Am I missing something If we factor in the warm bias in thermals, to be fair, it would be snowy west of the rivah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Look again. Temps don't crash at 850 until just before 00z Saturday. By that time you've seen around 2" of rain on the mean. Are you saying a Rainer is happening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 1 minute ago, StormSurge said: 5th tee Oh I see. I used to wind up in the sand on the right of the green all the freaking time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Are you saying a Rainer is happening? Are you saying there will be no rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 A lot of the GEFS members do actually give some decent CCB snows once the system sinks SE to the benchmark...so looking at the 72 hour panels can be a bit deceptive. This isn't over Ginxy on it's way to PWM...it goes SE and still has a ton of easterly flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 4 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: Mid levels are over Kevin's head and he's happy? Am I missing something Guess you aren’t factoring in their bias? We do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 You get the 850 low below you in a dynamic setup, and its snow...don’t care what the precip maps show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, JC-CT said: Are you saying there will be no rain? I ve been saying to clients for 2 days.. this is most likely a storm that starts as rain and flips over during Friday to a crushing , heavy wet snow. Elevations favored, but even coasts and valleys flip to snow at some point. I just don’t know if that’s Friday morning or afternoon or when. That is the hardest part to figure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Are you saying a Rainer is happening? Happening? Not quite sure yet given the disparity in models, but given the background atmospheric conditions, I would hedge in that direction. We are relying on dynamics to cool the atmosphere and we will need an optimal track for thito occur. The GFS and GEFS are not that. There would be some backend snows but nothing prolific and not before a lot of front end rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 27, 2018 Share Posted February 27, 2018 Clients? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.