BuildingScienceWx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Wagons west.. manifest destiny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Just now, moneypitmike said: It captured today's sustained cold much better than any other model in the runs running up to the event. Just saying... It busted on the ZR up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 I hate the east winds..kiss of death inside 495 early in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: It captured today's sustained cold much better than any other model in the runs running up to the event. Just saying... It had 50’s up past ORH. Save a horse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: It captured today's sustained cold much better than any other model in the runs running up to the event. Just saying... It had me in the 40s-what’s 20F among friends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: It had me in the 40s-what’s 20F among friends? As a matter of fact it had 50’s to ORH 6z run this morning. Euro has been steadfast as has EPS. Reggie has sucked last few events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 East winds as a result of a low up our fannies won’t be much better in February Ray . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 51 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 minute ago, weathafella said: East winds as a result of a low up our fannies won’t be much better in February Ray . It would matter, but obviously only to a point. 45* sst vs 35? Disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's all west and NW. No question there. The precip is generated from strong forcing below 700mb. I like that, usually means we will see heavy somewhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It would matter, but obviously only to a point. 45* sst vs 35? Disagree. It’s always about the mid levels. I’ve seen east winds initially in a system have no effect-12/28/93 is a good example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 If memory serves, GFS didn't even see this happening a couple days ago while Euro has been steady. If there's any adjustments in the euro I would think they would be relatively small. But hoping the GFS makes another correction closer in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It had 50’s up past ORH. Save a horse Well, it had ZR with those 50's. I'm not sure how much ZR the EC was serving up. I know the GFS and NAM were much less generous in that regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: It’s always about the mid levels. I’ve seen east winds initially in a system have no effect-12/28/93 is a good example. If you don't have east winds frying the BL for hours leading in, then you can still get a good dump with mid levels west. Yes, dynamics can offset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 I want Ray unhinged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: This is the 18z NAM that they were talking about. Need to be careful with these maps bc there’s a front end thump before the changeover to rain on most guidance for much of CT and eastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Well, it had ZR with those 50's. I'm not sure how much ZR the EC was serving up. I know the GFS and NAM were much less generous in that regard. The point is it was too far nw with surface low and it’s been a noted bias with it this year. Most here still are using the Euro for this though there’s oneor two who have called for all rain and GFS . Lines are drawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 The only thing keeping me sane is the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I want Ray unhinged. I like when Ray becomes unhinged, and then it busts sportively. That's my fav. Worst Ray is negative bust Ray. Together we are Ray Jay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 35 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It's been cp ftw many times over the past 5 years. Ask wxmanmitch in the Berkshires or Eduggs and the Albany folks or for that matter, Runnawayicebrrg in W Ct. how can he even ask that.....I am only at slightly below to perhaps average snowfall here in spfd since winter 04-05 i know it has been worse n/w and again and again and again it isn't just the big events...so many small and mid size too...I still cannot get over how well they have often fared Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Why does the 18Z GFS basically have a qpf hole in the Lakes Region of NH? Gives us 2-3" total snow. Are we in the perfect spot to get screwed with energy transferring from the Primary to the Secondary? Is is NE downslope off the Whites or should it be ignored? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 my morning posts being worried about this event may not be far off from having merit......the only thing keeping me from being unhinged is being used to so much winter wx heartbreak over the past 10-15 years after awhile one just goes numb...at least there are other opportunities down the road Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 2 minutes ago, codfishsnowman said: my morning posts being worried about this event may not be far off from having merit......the only thing keeping me from being unhinged is being used to so much winter wx heartbreak over the past 10-15 years after awhile one just goes numb...at least there are other opportunities down the road Yes. Definitely opportunities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Codfish’s hands felt like two balloons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 The euro is either going to school the others or this is going to be a crap event for most of eastern MA. 18Z MAV snow numbers for that area are tanking. 0Z is important for any final calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: The euro is either going to school the others or this is going to be a crap event for most of eastern MA. 18Z MAV snow numbers for that area are tanking. 0Z is important for any final calls. What’s it got for ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: What’s it got for ORH? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 Santa better leave the north pole with body armour sunday night..... Anger setting in from 18z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 17 minutes ago, weathafella said: 2 Ooof Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2017 Share Posted December 23, 2017 17 minutes ago, weathafella said: 2 I'm seeing a 6, 4, 4 respectively for AQW, ORE, BAF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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