dryslot Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 19 minutes ago, LSC97wxnut said: January 2015 part 2? I forget, were there any long range indications of back-to-back (to-back-to-back) storms? I believe there was, As we received 28.5" on the 01/27, 10.5" on the 31st and then 10.0" on 02/02 that winter up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 As far as 2005 goes I liked everything right up to and including the 8 inch waa dump with temps in the single digits, it was what happened after dark that night that will forever be a sharp knife to a winter wx weenie's heart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 28, 2017 Author Share Posted December 28, 2017 Think of this cold. I wasn’t here in 1980 or 1989 but I do remember December 1962. We couldn’t get a big dog to blow up but I believe that’s the year of the NFL championship game in frigid yankee stadium. My friends and I were hanging around Times Square trying to score tickets and we couldn’t. These were the days when home games had a 75 mile radius TV blackout even for playoffs. We ended up at the old garden for a rangers leafs game. This “old lady” in her early 30s was bragging about all the pro athletes she knew. Jerry Casale was the center of the conversation. Look him up. Oh the Leafs won 4-1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 I have a hard time with the idea that this air mass cedes much territory without all hell breaking loose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 12z GFS run looks remarkable similar to last nights ECMWF at the surface. Interesting to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 When you put mass fields in motion, teleconnections change and airnasses collide...the more anomalous the antecedent airmass, the more atmospheric unrest there will be. 22 years back is a great example- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 1 hour ago, RedSky said: Congrats on the GFS Kim Jung Miller A- bomb That's the wrong Korea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Eps yesterday also hinted at a bit of a hook near the GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Moonlit Sky Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Has there ever been a major storm that had model agreement days and days out and then played out that way? As I've been watching the past few years, one of the themes is model uncertainty and waffling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 23 minutes ago, weathafella said: Think of this cold. I wasn’t here in 1980 or 1989 but I do remember December 1962. We couldn’t get a big dog to blow up but I believe that’s the year of the NFL championship game in frigid yankee stadium. My friends and I were hanging around Times Square trying to score tickets and we couldn’t. These were the days when home games had a 75 mile radius TV blackout even for playoffs. We ended up at the old garden for a rangers leafs game. This “old lady” in her early 30s was bragging about all the pro athletes she knew. Jerry Casale was the center of the conversation. Look him up. Oh the Leafs won 4-1. Great story, awesome recollection too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 5 minutes ago, Minenfeld! said: Has there ever been a major storm that had model agreement days and days out and then played out that way? As I've been watching the past few years, one of the themes is model uncertainty and waffling. Depends on what you mean by playing out that way. There have been any number of storms with a strong model signal say for a coastal that end up verifying as a strong coastal storm. But if you are talking about day 7 jackpot from Kevin to Dendrite while screwing Ray exactly for all 28 remaining runs of the GFS, no that will waffle back and forth. The key is not to get sucked in by details at this range. The models will shift, but the key is figuring out why they are shifting and monitor those trends (i.e. is the shortwave sharper/flatter/north/south/etc). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 8 minutes ago, Minenfeld! said: Has there ever been a major storm that had model agreement days and days out and then played out that way? As I've been watching the past few years, one of the themes is model uncertainty and waffling. March 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: March 2017 Every cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Here comes the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 About to zonk over Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: About to zonk over Boston. Is zonk the new word this season? Hoping for a D7 crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: Is zonk the new word this season? Hoping for a D7 crusher. Salivate over Day 6 setup 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: About to zonk over LI. fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 That thing is a triple phaser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Dumbells a second low into the maine coast.........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Slap your monitor high five and check out emotionally, doesnt get much better than that for us here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Slap your monitor high five and check out emotionally, doesnt get much better than that for us here. Ha that's a beast for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: Dumbells a second low into the maine coast.........lol I mean the warm air in the mid levels is racing north, then just collapses back SE as the low stacks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 This is for real. Get ready- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Octobomb and Sandy were locked 5 and 7 days out respectable. The more dominant the Atl blocking the easier a phase (more wiggle room w timing)can be sniffed long range imo (sandy) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Verbatim the GFS and Euro are about as hellacious a WAA thump you'll find. Obviously there will be a pivot and deformation band somewhere, but the modeled WAA portion is something else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 I could do without the high escaping east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 Just now, OceanStWx said: I mean the warm air in the mid levels is racing north, then just collapses back SE as the low stacks. Yeah, I'm sitting here toggling the 850s and they're screaming N into SNE than halt. Crushed for just about everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 28, 2017 Share Posted December 28, 2017 49 minutes ago, Minenfeld! said: Has there ever been a major storm that had model agreement days and days out and then played out that way? As I've been watching the past few years, one of the themes is model uncertainty and waffling. February 2013 is the one that immediately comes to mind. I barely remember it changing in the modeling for like 5-7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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