Carvers Gap Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 It's obvious today that a LOT of people bought into the superstorm scenario. So a lot are probably going to be disappointed. Give me an inch of snow and I'm happy. 3+ and I'm jumping for joy. If I want to see a ton of it, I'll go spend a weekend with my friend who lives in Banner Elk. I don't think most folks up this way bought into the Euro solution. We were excited about it, yes...and not happy when it went south. But remember, we have been out of the game for quite a while - not just last night's run. For us, this has been over for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Yes, any snow on Christmas day would be incredible. Snow in these parts is like being married with kids. You never know when you're going to get any, so you should just be happy when you get any at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I don't think most folks up this way bought into the Euro solution. We were excited about it, yest...and not happy when it went south. But remember, we have been out of the game for quite a while - not just last night's run. For us, this has been over for a while. I was hoping for the monster solution not necessarily expecting it. But to go from 12-14 inches to 1-2 inches is indeed a bummer. 6 inches, enough to cover the ground and make a nice blanket of white is what I'm looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I hate this hobby... I think I'm gonna go bang my head against the wall for a few hours. Oh yea, and the EURO is a bogus piece of garbage that I will NEVER trust again. EPIC FAIL!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I hate this hobby... I think I'm gonna go bang my head against the wall for a few hours. Oh yea, and the EURO is a bogus piece of garbage that I will NEVER trust again. EPIC FAIL!!!!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
markemark Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Wow! The Euro will either be an epic win or an epic fail. [ ] Epic win [x] Epic fail Lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I hate this hobby... I think I'm gonna go bang my head against the wall for a few hours. Oh yea, and the EURO is a bogus piece of garbage that I will NEVER trust again. EPIC FAIL!!!!! It just had a perfect phase then backed off. It can easily jump back on it, or the other models could. From my understanding the Euro is kinda of a crappy short range model which is the timezone we are entering. The last GFS really, wasn't that incredibly bad. Just missed the phase. The Hi-Res models are showing a more potent shortwave also. I'd really follow the guidance close over the next 24 hours and start observing actual current conditions to see which model if any is verifying. I put a quote in another thread that I'll post again here. Not that it's the exact same, but looking at the old data, there were a good many similarities. At least part of the difficulty in predicting the evolution of this storm was related to the forecasts of the evolution of the upper pattern. A short wave over the southeast carved out a strong upper low that moved up the east coast as opposed to the earlier solutions of a weaker wave passing well off the coast. Noaa, Blizzard of 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 :facepalm: nuff said just terrible 12z runs so far hopefully the euro can come through but i doubt it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The Euro can't make it snow. Relax, there is still room for uncertainty. It does look like an all or nothing scenario though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 what i dont understand is why most people here dont get that? Not judging this event by any means, but how many times does one have to get their hopes up for something 5 days away to only have them crushed, before they understand how no one can predict this stuff that far out? Granted i know nothing, really nothing. But i know enough that if you are in the bullseye 5 days out, it probably isnt going to happen. That being said, id love to get blasted this weekend. Keep some corporate visitors out of town Monday and Tuesday...lol It took me a while to learn that a snowstorm on the model 5 days out doesn't mean a snowstorm is actually going to happen. Even now though I do get disappointed. Right now I am disappointed that things have taken a turn for the worse but you do get used to it with the weather hobby. The disappointments make the snowstorm that you do get even better. Hopefully you'll get enough snow QC that the corporate visitors can't make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I'll be happy with any snow falling on Christmas Day. Much more than I ever expected this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I guess on the positive side we learned a little more about the Euro and its southern stream basis during La Nina winters. In the future it looks like we need to wait until s/w is onshore on west coast before we start getting all warm and fuzzy about a potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I love the play by play of the model runs, but it would be nice if they said what it was showing was better or worse, and exactly what it shows for the snow. Or you could take the time to learn how to read the maps. Then you wouldn't have to depend on someone telling you what's going on. Just a suggestion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Or you could take the time to learn how to read the maps. Then you wouldn't have to deppend on someone telling you what's going on. Just a suggestion. LOL.. the more he posts the more i think he is about 14 years old. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 LOL.. the more he posts the more i think he is about 14 years old. LOL...Last year I actually thought he was younger until he was talking about being married and I believe his first child on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalBomb Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Just getting in...anyone know how things are looking for eastern NC at this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 GGEM has the low down by Cuba at 72. This is just crazy, which could be a good thing that the models are so spread out still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Or you could take the time to learn how to read the maps. Then you wouldn't have to depend on someone telling you what's going on. Just a suggestion. lolz amazing how he can't figure out, "this isn't looking good" or "dream run" for if the run is good or bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 gotta itching feeling this one will come down to nowcasting, models are all over the place. 12z euro will be a huge run for our hopes and dreams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Why are we not trending toward a consensus? The modeled solutions are diverging? I don't understand why... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Just getting in...anyone know how things are looking for eastern NC at this time? We prolly look better than anyone else at this time but most models arent phasing. Depending on the model we could see anywhere from a few inches up to maybe 6"+ the Euro was a decent run for us last night. Really need this thing to phase around the panhandle of Florida and come up 75-100 miles off NC bombing out to make htis a epic storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 LOL.. For real!! This is an epic fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 If this storm busts it will for sure need it's own name for how badly the Euro played us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I nominate it The Grinch of 2010...or The Christmas Turkey of 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Can we get out of storm mode now that this thing is looking pretty weak? I miss being able to see the number of people in a thread and avatars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kanc2001 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Can we get out of storm mode now that this thing is looking pretty weak? I miss being able to see the number of people in a thread and avatars guess we gotta wait on the next Dr. Idontknow to speak for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Storm tracks by Bill Reh at NBC 17... http://www2.nbc17.com/weather/2010/dec/23/white-christmas-possible-weekend-ar-637635/ lol @ the 4th one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I nominate it The Grinch of 2010...or The Christmas Turkey of 2010. How about "The Bumpus Hound (Non)Storm of 2010"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Storm tracks by Bill Reh at NBC 17... http://www2.nbc17.co...kend-ar-637635/ lol @ the 4th one... If #4 verified, I'd be spitting nails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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