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powderfreak

March 14/15 W & NNE weenies jumping from the Tobin Coastal Storm Discussion

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5 minutes ago, BRSno said:

GFS is more rain than anything else :lol:

In Boston? Not sure what you are looking at but it's mostly snow there...it flips around 5pm.

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

In Boston? Not sure what you are looking at but it's mostly snow there...it flips around 5pm.

I'm seeing rain out past 128 by 2 PM?

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Just now, Hoth said:

Lol, poor Corey. Flying home for this. Ouch.

He should get in his car and head for the Berks or Catskills, otherwise we're going to be reading some serious meltdowns tomorrow.

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Just now, SR Airglow said:

I'm seeing rain out past 128 by 2 PM?

Are you looking at soundings or trusting the precip algorithm?

 

I cannot imagine this is a rain sounding:

 

 

170314033941.gif

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2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

In Boston? Not sure what you are looking at but it's mostly snow there...it flips around 5pm.

Seriously. It's funny seeing coastal weenies complain about a little taint.

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Are you looking at soundings or trusting the precip algorithm?

 

I cannot imagine this is a rain sounding:

 

 

170314033941.gif

That's a good look although doesn't match up with what I'm seeing at the surface - we happily take that though. I definitely overreacted and apologize for that.

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At hour 18 the GFS precip map shows rain all the way to pratcially hartord, yet the 850 line is barely touching New London. Is there some sort of sneaky layer in there or something?

 

EDIT: Guess it could be the surface? But i'll take my chances with that given the dynamics. Wish other models showed 850's similar to this though.

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1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Are you looking at soundings or trusting the precip algorithm?

 

I cannot imagine this is a rain sounding:

lol at the p-type algorithm.

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2 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

At hour 18 the GFS precip map shows rain all the way to pratcially hartord, yet the 850 line is barely touching New London. Is there some sort of sneaky layer in there or something?

don't look at the precip maps.  PRobably has it as rain b/c sfc temp is like 33 

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1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

precip rates will keep it snow even if sfc is like  35 

The sfc won't be 35 with those precip rates anyway.

 

BOS will get screwed if they don't get the precip rates that all guidance is showing...but if they get those precip rates, they will get double digits before any taint.

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