March 14/15 W & NNE weenies jumping from the Tobin Coastal Storm Discussion

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

For the worry warts like Dryslot 

https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/status/841459323972784132

You're the one that's worried, Its in your tone.

[dryslot]

Down stream obs will be telling.

[powderfreak]

I can't really process this...the quantity of QPF in this one is staggering.  This is the next 17-hour total on the HRRR.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, dryslot said:

You're the one that's worried, Its in your tone.

If you're looking at the Srefs.. you're worried lol

[dryslot]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

If you're looking at the Srefs.. you're worried lol

I look at everything, You read twitter...................lol

[78Blizzard]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

For the worry warts like Dryslot 

https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/status/841459323972784132

Interesting that the correct mslp grid shows the isobars kinking to the east.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

HRRR is pretty damn cold... looks like 12" for interior SE Mass with more to come before any mix 

[dendrite]

9 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Hopefully the 0z Nam don't go where the 21z SREFS just went.

Jesus...track right over you.

and lol at the mean QPF

 

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Down stream obs will be telling.

Upstream.  

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

I look at everything, You read twitter...................lol

Well that may be.. but you've posted every run of the srefs the last 3 days

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, moneypitmike said:

Upstream.  

Yeah that one

[dendrite]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

For the worry warts like Dryslot 

https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/status/841459323972784132

Sweet...worrying about lower res GEFS members 12hrs from the onset.

[dryslot]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Well that may be.. but you've posted every run of the srefs the last 3 days

Sure

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, dendrite said:

Sweet...worrying about lower res GEFS members 12hrs from the onset.

Just tells us GFS over corrected . No biggie 

[sankaty]

Through 10 hours 0z NAM looks even more west.  Oy.

[DomNH]

I think it's going to be NAM GW again.

[bboughton]

I've never seen anyone talk about this model, but did anyone check out the Advanced Research WRF on TT? 

Don't even know what that model is for (is it same as BTV?) but I'd take that snow output. 

[ariof]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Jesus...track right over you.

and lol at the mean QPF

 

No matter the ptype this kind of qpf put a bit more of a dent in the ongoing drought. Should be good for the Quabbin.

[dryslot]

Way west

[weatherwiz]

Still worried for down this way about super high amounts.  The thump of snow will be rather impressive when it happens but think the duration is too short..and we are inbetween bands for a time before the second focus area of fronto moves overhead and its very brief

 

 

[SR Airglow]

3 minutes ago, sankaty said:

Through 10 hours 0z NAM looks even more west.  Oy.

Looks more like due north to me but definitely not east. Crap.

[LSC97wxnut]

Time sensitive, but, She's a 'beaut Clark....

[dryslot]

That kink to the east @ H5 mat save this from being to far west @ 21z

[bboughton]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just tells us GFS over corrected . No biggie 

I don't think you kept reading...

[Hoth]

Dudes, the radar in Virginia down to NC is f*$&ing nuts. Holy geez, this thing is juiced! lol Wiz still calling 6-10.

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just tells us GFS over corrected . No biggie 

Never knew you to be a huge GFS fan..

[moneypitmike]

4 minutes ago, sankaty said:

Through 10 hours 0z NAM looks even more west.  Oy.

 

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Way west

 West is the new east.

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Hoth said:

Dudes, the radar in Virginia down to NC is f*$&ing nuts. Holy geez, this thing is juiced! lol Wiz still calling 6-10.

no...I never made an official map with 6-10''...had 8-12'' on my map for the entire state with a huge axis for 12-20'' with the banding.  My new map looks like this:

[SR Airglow]

South coast already mixing on the NAM by 15z(11 AM). This is not going to be pretty for coastal weenies.

[TalcottWx]

Not overly concerned with what the nam is doing at this lead time