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Sunday SWFE..Monday Coastal?


CoastalWx

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4 minutes ago, DomNH said:

Yeah, I think this worth mentioning. I don't think we'll see crazy 15:1 or better ratios anywhere but I can see a little better than 10:1 (like 11-12:1) as you go farther N and W from Boston. I said it earlier but the soundings look pretty good and there is decent lift in the DGZ.

Here's the thing and peeps should remember previous storms. This crashes fast, ULL high ratio stuff. Big lift in the conveyor belt , the kind of stuff that can put down some great rates. Perhaps NE mass SNH Maine get smoked besides qpf queen stuff. Looks good in that zone. 

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Going 6-10 in my hood (Brookline) just outside of Boston city line... 4-6 from WAA today, 2-4 from transition / CCB overnight into Monday afternoon.

Relatively conservative but I think we need a dramatically improved nowcast to reverse the east ticks we've seen since yesterday. Between the warm 925Ts (and extrapolating from rain already reported in Boston) and missing the bulk of the CCB, I don't think I can go higher.

And doubt this 4am NWS map verifies (did not see it posted earlier), I'd love to be wrong:

StormTotalSnowWeb.png

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46 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Going 6-10 in my hood (Brookline) just outside of Boston city line... 4-6 from WAA today, 2-4 from transition / CCB overnight into Monday afternoon.

Relatively conservative but I think we need a dramatically improved nowcast to reverse the east ticks we've seen since yesterday. Between the warm 925Ts (and extrapolating from rain already reported in Boston) and missing the bulk of the CCB, I don't think I can go higher.

And doubt this 4am NWS map verifies (did not see it posted earlier), I'd love to be wrong:

StormTotalSnowWeb.png

Not sure where they got that map from.  Even 00z models weren't showing this much.

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14 minutes ago, MainePhotog said:

NWS Gray just posted blizzard warnings for mid coast Maine.

Going to be an interesting storm.

They dropped the Blizzard watch for Cumberland, I'm waiting to see what they say in the evening discussion update. I'm a little bummed at that, but we'll see as we get into the winds if we actually get into Blizzard conditions.

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