CAPE Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Man, there are a lot of good storms for our area in the 120-144 range on the gfs ens Yeah not a bad run. There are some chances from day 5 through 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 This probably belongs in banter, but DGEX will be dead soon, and I think we owe it some respect. It has 8" for the beach along the NC/VA border. Good night, sweet prince Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 1 hour ago, BristowWx said: https://groups.google.com/forum/m/#!forum/weatheramerica...yeah it's not good..as if we didn't know..even LC is got towel in hand Even LC is going to go down in flames for February as he felt this month held the best potential for cold and snow of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 19 minutes ago, paulythegun said: This probably belongs in banter, but DGEX will be dead soon, and I think we owe it some respect. It has 8" for the beach along the NC/VA border. Good night, sweet prince Couldn't care less about the Va/NC border. Sorry . BTW, love your interest in "Rogue dgex runs"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 17 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Even LC is going to go down in flames for February as he felt this month held the best potential for cold and snow of the winter. Yes quite true. In all fairness Feb did look good for a while early on. Btw, I have fond memories of Middlesex county. My family is from Iselin. Exit 131 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowsux Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 1 hour ago, BristowWx said: That's LC. More analyisis less hype from him. He used to post here many moons ago. I know. I was just referring to JB and his weekend update. I love listening to them this time of year when a torch period is upon us. It's more about listening to him spin his position than anything. I find it fascinating. Late winter / early spring of 2012 was his most epic performance. The way he held his ground about how winter was gonna make this huge comeback, even when it was in the 70's by mid March and we were wearing shorts in PA.....was epic. Then we had a little 48 hour or so cold snap in early April and he claimed victory. That's hardcore. I like voracious people with brass balls who never admit defeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 2 hours ago, BristowWx said: That's LC. More analyisis less hype from him. He used to post here many moons ago. JB's Weekend Summary does that today for a change and well worth wasting 9 minutes of your life besides his initial climo banter. Start at 3:13 (second video from the top right of his relatively new layout. http://www.weatherbell.com/premium Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Don't fall for the 108 hr gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 On 2/2/2017 at 10:21 PM, anotherman said: Trying to will a storm to happen by showing my Earth Science class this.... How did I not know about this?! Very cool! eta: new favorite movie! You got to love how the only really unchanged engineering or technology from this Documentary is D.C.'s metro. Show this to WMATA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 This is gunna be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: GFS is going to reel some of us back in. Give JB a chance to for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Not funny, GFS. NOT FUNNY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: False prophet. Watch his video then see if you still think the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2017020500&fh=114&xpos=0&ypos=131 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2017020500&fh=114&xpos=0&ypos=131That would be the number one event of the winter for some! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 CMC says what u smoking GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Quite a change on the GFS. Not sure what to make of that. But it's acceptable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 3 hours ago, BristowWx said: That's LC. More analyisis less hype from him. He used to post here many moons ago. Berk or bastardi? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Just now, PDIII said: Berk or bastardi? Neither. Larry Cosgrove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Way weaker with the primary low at 72hrs than it was 24hrs ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 1 hour ago, BristowWx said: Quite a change on the GFS. Not sure what to make of that. But it's acceptable It's a fluke. No other model has it and it'll be gone at 6z. Most people here have learned, that's why you don't see much talk about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohwxguy Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=asnow&runtime=2017020500&fh=114&xpos=0&ypos=131 GFS indicates highs in the 50s the next two days and rising into the 60s Tuesday - Wednesday (possibly near 70 on Wednesday). Even if temps are able to fall quickly enough for a possible second wave of precip on Thursday, the ground will be rather warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Euro now has a slp on Alabama/Miss border at 96 hrs. vs nothing last two runs fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tstate21 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Euro now has a slp on Alabama/Miss border at 96 hrs. vs nothing last two runs fwiw Saw the maps on TT and was about to post the same thing. Compared to 0z Sat, the high coming down the plains is a bit slower as well. Anyone with paid maps care to comment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: Euro at 108. Lol Care to elaborate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 At 120 hrs, the map is void of anything! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=us&pkg=T850&runtime=2017020500&fh=120&xpos=5&ypos=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Euro at 108. Lol From 96 and 120 it doesn't look like we got anything unless snow extends way NW of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 6 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: Oddly, and sadly, the other thing I remember about that storm, is during its infancy it created icy road conditions near KC, and the great linebacker Derrick Thomas died from injuries sustained in a car accident due to the poor road conditions. Didn't realize it was that storm, so I just read a small article. It was icy conditions, but he was apparently going 100mph and weaving through traffic headed to airport. What a shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 The overnight EPS run was encouraging and I have to believe we might actually be tracking a real threat under 5 days. Another run or two should clarify this as to whether it actually exists or if it is just another nudge for our cliff jumpers. The overall look of the trough, as well as of the anomalies associated have improved. Surface Low pressure anomalies have sharpened and been drawn closer to the coast. Snowfall means have bumped up roughly an inch area wide. Individual members have improved with roughly double the amount of hits from the 12Z, The impacts (snowfall) of these members have seen a mean increase as well as what looks to be a mean shift northward of snowfall from its more southern solutions previously. All in all this was a very encouraging run. Side note: Been there and done that but I really think a window from roughly day 9-14 should be watched. EPS has steadily improved the look through that time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 5, 2017 Share Posted February 5, 2017 The 6z GFS is close. Very close to something big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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